Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Delaware, February 21 to 22, 2015

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1222 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
LATE IN THE DAY AND GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO CHANGES WITH THIS ESTF UPDATE TO HEADLINES. ADJUSTMENTS MAINLY
FOR TEMPS AND POPS.

WE ARE EXPANDING THE WINTER STORM WARNING A SLICE FARTHER TO THE
SOUTHEAST. LOOKING AT 12Z SOUNDINGS VS MODEL PROJECTIONS, IF
ANYTHING MODELING ERRORS ARE TOO WARM. THE NAM VERIFIED THE BEST
WITH THE QPF PROJECTIONS THRU 12Z AND ITS WETTEST, DRIEST ECMWF
VERIFIED THE POOREST. LATEST NAM/RAP/HRRR ARE EITHER SNOWIER OR
SLOWER TO BRING TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING. SO IN THAT NEW WARNING
SLICE, IF WE ARE TOO HEAVY WITH THE SNOW, CHANCES ARE WE MAY BE
TOO LIGHT ON THE ICE.

THIS ALSO BRINGS THE GRADIENT UNCERTAINTY TO THE I295 CORRIDOR IN
SWRN NJ. WE WILL SEE WHAT ALL OF THE 12Z MODELS SHOW BEFORE
DECIDING IF A FURTHER SEWD EXPANSION IS NEEDED THERE TOO.

 THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST MOISTURE LOOKS TO EXTEND ACROSS CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA, WITH THE BEST FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING AND OMEGA EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA TO WESTERN
NJ AND BACK TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF MARYLAND. IT IS ACROSS
THESE AREAS THAT WE ANTICIPATE A HEAVIER AND STEADIER BURST OF
SNOW TO OCCUR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO LATE-DAY. WE THEREFORE HAVE
UPGRADED THESE AREAS TO A WINTER STORM WARNING AS WE EXPECT
ACCUMULATIONS TO REACH AROUND FIVE TO SIX INCH RANGE. FARTHER TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST, WE ANTICIPATE A RATHER SHARP GRADIENT WITH
REGARDS TO SNOW ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS AROUND THE INTERSTATE 295
CORRIDOR VICINITY. WE THEREFORE HAVE KEPT THESE SURROUNDING ZONES
IN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, AS WELL AS THE POCONOS, WHERE
SNOWFALL ACCUMS MAY FALL JUST SHORT OF WARNING CRITERIA.

FOR TEMPERATURES, WE MOSTLY TOOK A MET/MAV GUIDANCE BLEND WITH
CONTINUITY, AND WE EXPECT MAXIMUM TEMPS TO RANGE FROM THE 20S NORTH
TO THE MID 30S INTO SOUTHERN NJ AND THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
GOING INTO THIS EVENING, A CHANGEOVER FROM SNOW TO MIXED PRECIP,
INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET, IS ANTICIPATED AS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MILDER AIR ARRIVING ALOFT WITH COLDER AIR
REMAINING FOR A TIME AT THE NEAR SURFACE. A GLAZE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS TRANSITION
OCCURS FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA,
ESPECIALLY FROM AROUND THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR AND TO THE
NORTHWEST. BY EARLY MORNING SUNDAY, AS ALL LAYERS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE MODERATE, A CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED, WITH
ONLY THE NORTHWEST ZONES STILL DEALING WITH SOME MIXED PRECIP.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE FAR OFF FROM THE DAYTIME HIGHS,
AS WE EXPECT A GRADUAL RISE IN TEMPS TO OCCUR THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THIS EXTENDED COLD PATTERN ACROSS OUR REGION HOLDS THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK.

LOW PRESSURE THAT CUTS TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL MOVE INTO QUEBEC ON
SUNDAY. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
MODELS REGARDING THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT FOR OUR AREA WITH THE
FASTER NCEP GUIDANCE INDICATING A MORNING FROPA WHILE SOME OF THE
SLOWER GUIDANCE DEPICTING A LATE DAY FROPA. EITHER WAY, IT SHOULD
NOT HAVE A HUGE IMPACT ON OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER FOR SUNDAY ASIDE FROM
THE WIND DIRECTION (WITH SOUTHERLIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WEST-
NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND IT) SINCE THE TRUE COLD AIR, WHICH LAGS
BEHIND THE FRONT, SHOULD NOT REACH THE AREA UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPS ON SUNDAY HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO REACH 40F FOR THE FIRST
TIME SINCE FEB 12 SOUTH AND EAST OF I-95.

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN AN IMPRESSIVE 1047 MB SURFACE
HIGH OVER THE GREAT PLAINS AND THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT
OVER EASTERN CANADA/WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS THAT WILL USHER ARCTIC AIR BACK INTO THE REGION. THIS NEXT
ARCTIC BLAST IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK, THOUGH THE COLD WILL NOT BE QUITE AS EXTREME AS THE
SEVERAL OF THE MOST RECENT OUTBREAKS. WIND CHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING WILL BE CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL FOR THE POCONOS AND
FAR NORTHWEST NJ. HIGHS ON MONDAY ARE ONLY IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20S.
MONDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT NEXT WEEK. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS THE CENTER OF THE
HIGH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE FOR LOW TEMPS MONDAY NIGHT WITH A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
SETUP OVERNIGHT AND EXTENSIVE SNOW COVER ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF I-95.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TUESDAY AS THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE LOW SHOULD TRACK WELL TO OUR
NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA BUT IT THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THRU THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. LIGHT SNOW MAY
ACCOMPANY THE FROPA EITHER TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING. POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
USHER IN YET ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR LATE WEDNESDAY .
TEMPS GENERALLY 15-25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

18Z TAFS LIFR/IFR IN MAINLY SNOW INTO THIS EVENING, WITH SOME
PTYPE CHANGES OVERNIGHT SOUTHEAST HALF AIRPORTS.

THIS AFTERNOON...IF NOT LIFR, BECOMING LIFR IN SNOW. ACCUMULATION
ON MOST RUNWAYS EXCEPT POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHERN DELMARVA AIRPORTS.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS, SOME GUSTINESS NEAR THE COAST. LATE
THIS AFTERNOON A TRANSITION TO MIXED PRECIPITATION AT KMIV AND
KACY.

THIS EVENING...LIFR IN SNOW KABE AND KRDG. LIFR IN TRANSITIONAL
PRECIPITATION AT THE KPHL METRAO AREA TERMINALS. IFR IN RAIN
AT KMIV AND KACY. SOUTH WINDS CONTINUING WITH LLWS ALL TERMINALS.

OVERNIGHT...CONTINUING IFR. SNOW ENDING NORTHWEST TERMINALS.
MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO RAIN KPHL METRO AREA AIRPORTS.
RAIN CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. LLWS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE WITH LIGHTER
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.

SUNDAY MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR EXPECTED AS WINDS SHIFT TO
THE WEST TO NORTHWEST BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THIS IS A GENERAL
CONDITION FOR THE MORNING HOURS, MAY BE IFR EARLY IN THE FORECAST
GROUP AND VFR LATER IN THE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...LOW CLOUDS WILL ERODE WITH MVFR CONDITIONS
IMPROVING FROM NW TO SE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...NW WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KT. VFR
EXPECTED.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...VFR AND LIGHT WINDS.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...LOW CHANCE FOR SHSN. BRIEF/LOCAL
RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN SHSN, OTHERWISE VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
**SINCE MUCH OF DELAWARE BAY IS COVERED BY ICE WE WILL CONTINUE TO
  ADD THE PHRASING "ON ICE FREE WATERS" FOR THE FIRST FOUR PERIODS
  OF THE FORECAST**

GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY FOR OUR WATERS, BUT
WITH THE APPROACH OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE, AND SOME GUSTS INTO
THE 25 KNOT PLUS RANGE MAY OCCUR INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WE THEREFORE CONTINUE WITH THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR
NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS, BEGINNING AT NOON. SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED
TO BUILD IN RESPONSE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, INTO THE 4 TO 7 FOOT
RANGE FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS.

FARTHER SOUTH, WE ALSO ANTICIPATE TO REACH 25 KNOT PLUS GUSTS FOR
A TIME, BUT MORE LIKELY INTO THIS EVENING. WE THEREFORE HAVE
RAISED A SCA FOR OUR MORE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS, FROM
LITTLE EGG INLET TO FENWICK ISLAND DE, BEGINNING AT 00Z THIS
EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BUILD, AS WELL, INTO THE 3
TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...WINDS QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY MORNING BUT SEAS
NEAR THE COAST WILL STILL REMAIN ELEVATED BETWEEN 4 AND 6 FT
DURING THE DAY. SCA IN EFFECT TO COVER THIS HAZARD.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...NW WINDS INCREASE WITH 25-30
KT GUSTS POSSIBLE. SEAS OF 3-5 FT ARE FORECAST. SCA WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS LIKELY.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SEAS AND WINDS FORECAST TO BE BELOW
SCA CRITERIA. POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING FOR THE
DELAWARE BAY AND THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. BLOWOUT TIDES ARE
EXPECTED. IN ADDITION, WE CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF BLOWOUT
TIDES CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY MORNING, ALTHOUGH NEGATIVE ANOMALIES
ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CONTAINED IN THE MWW PRODUCT. AN SPS IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE ASSOCIATED AREAS ALONG THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER.

&&

.CLIMATE...
FOUR DAILY MIN TEMPS RECORDS WERE BROKEN YESTERDAY, FEBRUARY
20TH. THE MIN TEMPS RECORD FOR ILG AND TTN WERE SET EARLY IN THE
DAY (AROUND SUNRISE) WHILE THE RECORD OF -1F AT ACY AND -3F AT
GED WERE SET JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

DAILY RECORD MIN TEMPS WERE EASILY BROKEN AT ACY, ILG, GED, TTN,
ABE AND MPO THIS MORNING. TEMPS ARE SLOWLY RISING EARLY THIS
MORNING AS CLOUDS OVERSPREAD THE AREA, SO THE OBSERVATIONS BELOW
WILL LIKELY STAND AT THE NEW RECORD. WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING AN
RECORD EVENT REPORT JUST YET UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE JUST IN CASE THE
TEMPS DECIDE TO UNEXPECTEDLY DROP.

POR/ SITE/ PREV MIN T RECORD FEB 21 (YEAR)/ OBS MIN T AS OF 6 AM
1874 / KACY /  3 (1968)      /  -6
1894 / KILG	/  6 (1968,1934) /   3
1922 / KABE	/  0 (1936)      /  -3
1865 / KTTN /  6 (1893)      /   3
1948 / KGED /  8 (1959)      /  -4
1901 / KMPO / -8 (1993)      / -10

POR= PERIOD OF RECORD (YEAR THE OFFICIAL CLIMATE OBS BEGAN)

THE -6F THIS MORNING (FEBRUARY 21ST) IS THE COLDEST TEMPERATURE
RECORDED AT ATLANTIC CITY SINCE FEBRUARY 5, 1996 AND THE LATEST
OCCURRENCE OF A SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURE IN THE SEASON ON RECORD. THE
PREVIOUS LATEST SUB-ZERO DAY IN WINTER/SPRING WAS JUST SET
YESTERDAY AND BEFORE THAT IT WAS FEBRUARY 18TH WHEN THE LOW WAS
-7F ON THAT DATE IN 1979.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ060>062-
     101>103-105.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ054-055.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ070-071-104-
     106.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NJZ007>010-015.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NJZ021>023.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
     016>020-026-027.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NJZ001.
DE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     DEZ002.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     MDZ015-019-020.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ012.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ANZ452>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KLEIN
NEAR TERM...GIGI/KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...KLEIN
AVIATION...GIGI/KLEIN
MARINE...KLEIN/KLINE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

MDZ008-NJZ007>010-015-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-221515-
CECIL-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
UPPER BUCKS-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ012-PAZ070-071-104-106-221515-
NEW CASTLE-KENT MD-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
LOWER BUCKS-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ021>023-221515-
KENT-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012>014-016>020-026-027-221515-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ024-025-221515-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL BEGIN DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND CHANGEOVER
TO RAIN SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS
THAN ONE INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-221515-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ARE
POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-221515-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.