A thunderstorm produced damaging winds southeast of Bagdad.
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The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A thunderstorm produced damaging winds southeast of Bagdad.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 8:59 PM MST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 859 PM MST TUE JUN 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. && .DISCUSSION... HAVE UPDATED THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST FOR AREAS OF NORTH OF I-40 IN NAVAJO ANAD APACHE COUNTIES TO READ ISOLATED TSTORMS THIS EVENING THEN CLEARING. AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM FREDONIA TO FLAGSTAFF TO SHOW ARE SEEING SCATTERED TSTORMS NOW. THERE ARE SEVERAL WATER VAPOR LOOP DID SHOW AN MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO SE AZ THIS AFTERNOON WHICH HAS HELPED DEVELOP NUMEROUS STRONG STORMS IN THE LOW DESERTS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. EASTERLY FLOW IS PUSHING THIS ACTIVITY WESTWARD AND THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY OF OVERNIGHT SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS SRN YAVAPAI COUNTY. && PREV DISCUSSION 351 PM...MOST ACTIVITY HAS OCCURRED ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM AND IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION. RADAR INDICATES THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE ROTATING AND GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL WAS OBSERVED WITH A PARTICULARLY STRONG STORM SOUTH OF CIBECUE IN NORTHERN GILA COUNTY. ACTIVITY IS MOVING WESTWARD AND SHOULD IMPACT YAVAPAI COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW HI-RES MODELS FORECAST CONVECTION IN YAVAPAI COUNTY OVERNIGHT. THIS SEEMS PLAUSIBLE GIVEN THE EXISTENCE OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH FORECAST TO ROTATE THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH THE GREATEST SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. THE MOST LIKELY HAZARDS WILL BE STRONG WINDS GUSTS, FREQUENT LIGHTENING AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM IN YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES. FROM SATURDAY ONWARD...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SHIFT OF THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER EASTWARD TO OVER NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO. THE SHIFT IS MAINLY IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE RESULTING FLOW ALOFT WOULD TURN SOUTHERLY UNDER THIS PATTERN. AS A RESULT, THE AREA OF MOST STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT, EXTENDING FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD. A DOWNTURN IN ACTIVITY SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. WE'LL SEE. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...SCT SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH MOTION GENERALLY TO THE WEST. AFTER 06Z...EXPECT SCT -TSRA SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM KIGM TO KPAN THROUGH 12Z. MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE STRONGER CELLS. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AFT 18Z WED. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. && .FIRE WEATHER...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP A RELATIVELY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS...AND SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC...DL RR AVIATION...DL BAK FIRE WEATHER...BAK FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 323 AM MST TUE JUN 30 2015 AZZ004>018-037>040-010230- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 323 AM MST TUE JUN 30 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO... NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE WEST TO SOUTHWEST INTO THE VALLEYS. STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. A FEW STORMS THAT MOVE ACROSS YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES COULD BECOME SEVERE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. AS USUAL, CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING, HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY MONSOONAL FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 166 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 05:46 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Threes were knocked down by high winds along State Route 96 (mile marker 18) southeast of Bagdad.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 596365.