Alaska, 2015

High Wind in Alaska, December 31, 2015

December 31, 2015 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Arctic high pressure up to 1043 MB had moved into British Columbia while a strong front moved up to the outer coast. This combination caused strong wind along the Yakutat Forelands and set up some significant snow along the Klondike Highway.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

Arctic high pressure up to 1043 MB had moved into British Columbia while a strong front moved up to the outer coast. This combination caused strong wind along the Yakutat Forelands and set up some significant snow along the Klondike Highway. No damage was reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 30, 2:13 PM AKST, 13 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 2:13 PM AKST, 13 hours 5 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
213 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...HIGHLY MERIDIONAL UPPER FLOW REGIME IS PRESENT
ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO A LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE OVER THE WRN
ALEUTIANS AND A SHARP RIDGE EXTENDING N FROM THE NERN PAC TO NWRN
CANADA. QUASI-STATIONARY N-S ORIENTED GALE/STORM FORCE FRONT IS
PRESENT IN BETWEEN...WITH INTENSE MOISTURE FLUX SPREADING NNW ALONG
THE FRONT OVER THE GULF AND ACROSS AKZ017/YAKUTAT. THIS MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH STRONG MESOSCALE/OROGRAPHIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO
YIELD HEAVY RAINFALL RATES THROUGH WED NIGHT.

THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WARM CONVEYOR BELT WILL THEN BE SHUNTED
EWD ON THU AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NERN GULF DURING
THE MORNING...AND THEN OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY THU AFTERNOON.
RAIN...LOCALLY MODERATE IN INTENSITY...WILL SUBSEQUENTLY SPREAD
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE PANHANDLE /WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SRN
AKZ028 AND MOST OF AKZ029/. STRENGTHENING SLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS OVER
LYNN CANAL WILL YIELD STRONG MOISTURE FLUX/UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
KLONDIKE HIGHWAY BETWEEN 15-03Z...AND WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
NEAR FREEZING...6 INCHES OF SNOW APPEARS PROBABLE NEAR WHITE PASS
/BEFORE UPPER SHORTWAVE PASSES NNE OR THE AREA/. THUS...WINTER
STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING /REF LATEST WARNING
STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION/.

OTHERWISE...STORM FORCE SELYS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE
ERN GULF TONIGHT...WITH GALES EXPECTED OVER THE SRN INSIDE
CHANNELS ON THU AS THE FRONT MOVES E AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS. STRONG WIND GUSTS ALSO APPEAR PROBABLE FOR AREAS PRONE
TO SELYS IN AKZ027. FARTHER N...HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SELY
925 MB WINDS UP TO 60 KT SPREADING NW ACROSS STEPHENS PASSAGE AND
OVER THE JUNEAU AREA BETWEEN 12-21Z THU...WHICH SHOULD BE ADEQUATE
FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS INVOF GASTINEAU CHANNEL.

INHERITED PRESSURE GRIDS WERE NUDGED TO THE NAM IN ORDER TO ADD
RESOLUTION TO THE FRONT OVER THE GULF. WINDS WERE MODIFIED WHERE
NECESSARY FOR LOCAL EFFECTS. REMAINDER OF THE GRIDS WERE UPDATED
WITH AN ENSEMBLE BLEND.

.LONG TERM...FRONTAL ZONE WILL WAVER BACK AND FORTH E-W INTO THE
WEEKEND AS A FEW MORE SHORTWAVE IMPULSES MOVE NNE ACROSS THE AREA.
THEN IT LOOKS LIKE FLOW ALOFT WILL BACK TO A MORE SELY DIRECTION
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SHIFT MAIN FRONTAL BAND OFFSHORE FOR
MUCH OF THIS TIME. A NEW FRONT MAY TRY TO MOVE NE AROUND
TUE-WED...BUT MODELS DIFFER ON THIS. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKED
REASONABLE FOR THE MOST PART FOR THE THU NIGHT-SAT PERIOD. DID GO
AHEAD AND USE LATEST WPC FOR SAT NIGHT ONWARD.

FOR THU NIGHT AND FRI...THE FRONT SHOULD BE JUST OFFSHORE. A
COUPLE OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WAVES MAY RIDE THE FRONT NWD DURING
THIS TIME. THIS WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST RAIN ALONG THE CENTRAL
OUTER COAST. STILL LOOKS LIKE THE FAR SE AREA WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
INTO THE PRECIP DUE TO EFFECTS OF UPPER RIDGE NEARBY. THERE WILL
BE BANDS OF GALE FORCE WINDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY
AS EACH LOW PRESSURE WAVE MOVES PAST. INNER CHANNELS WILL BE
MOSTLY SCA LEVEL WINDS.

FOR FRI NIGHT AND SAT...LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE IN AND
MERGE WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE NEAR THE OUTER COAST. RAIN WILL
INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE NE GULF COAST AND NRN HALF OF THE INNER
CHANNELS. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE MAIN
FRONTAL ZONE...BUT WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE N GULF AS SECOND FRONT
MOVES IN.

FOR SAT NIGHT-SUN...LOOKS LIKE ONE LAST SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE N
ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE UPPER FLOW BACKS TO SELY AND FORCES FRONTAL
ZONE OFFSHORE AND WEAKENS IT. THE PRECIP WILL TEND TO DIMINISH
SLOWLY ESPECIALLY SUN AS THE LOW LEVEL ELY FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF
THE FRONT.

FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...LOOKING LIKE A DRIER PERIOD FOR THE AREA AS
SELY FLOW ALOFT KEEPS SYSTEMS MOSTLY TO THE SW OF THE AREA. A NEW
FRONT MAY TRY TO MOVE BACK INTO THE ERN GULF BY LATE TUE INTO WED
BUT BULK OF UPPER SUPPORT SHOULD STAY TO THE SW OF THE AREA SO
ONLY SHOW GRADUALLY INCREASING POPS FOR TUE-WED PERIOD.
OVERALL...ENTIRE LONG RANGE PERIOD LOOKS TO REMAIN ON THE MILD
SIDE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ027.
         STRONG WIND FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
     AKZ025.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 4 PM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ042-043-051.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-033-035-036-041-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031-032-034-053.

&&

GARNER/RWT

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
December 31, 3:18 AM AKST to 10:00 AM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
ASOS

The approaching front caused a burst of SE wind for the Yakutat Forelands. The ASOS at the airport had a peak gust of 58 MPH. Ocean Cape easily had 65 KT and maybe more. No damage was reported.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, December 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 607007.