Rain from a series of fronts resulted in flooding for the Grays river at Rosburg.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.
Rain from a series of fronts resulted in flooding for the Grays river at Rosburg.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 16, 11:35 PM PST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1135 PM PST SUN FEB 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS...THE NEXT STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM IS THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING WITH MORE WIND...HEAVY RAIN...AND PLENTY OF CASCADE
SNOW. ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SIMILAR WEATHER TUESDAY. A MUCH COOLER
AND SHOWERY PATTERN WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS FRONT TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND
COASTAL MOUNTAINS. COOL AND SHOWERY WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&
.UPDATE...ENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST
AS KLGX VELOCITY SHOWS THE STRONGEST WINDS AND THE LOWER LEVEL FRONT
HAVE PASSED. EXTENDED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR A LITTLE LONGER WITH THE
RAP/HRRR HANGING ONTO GUSTS THROUGH ABOUT 14Z. ALSO UPPED THE MAX
GUSTS AS 1 MIN OBS FROM KPDX HAVE BEEN SHOWING GUSTS TO 50 MPH. /KMD
REST OF THE EVENING UPDATE DISCUSSION UNCHANGED...NOT MUCH TIME TO
WRITE THIS EVENING AS WE HAVE BEEN RATHER BUSY DEALING WITH THE VERY
HEAVY RAIN IMPACTING PACIFIC COUNTY AND THE GRAYS RIVER HEADWATERS.
ALSO VERY STRONG WINDS CONTINUE SOUTH OF THIS FRONT. A COLD FRONT
WAS APPROACHING THE WASHINGTON COAST EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT AS
MODELS HAVE ADVERTISED FOR A WHILE NOW...WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT HAVE SLOWED THE FRONT TO A CRAWL. THIS
NOW QUASI- STATIONARY FRONT NOW FEATURES AN IMPRESSIVE ROPE-LINE OF
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN DUE TO SHALLOW CONVECTION TRAINING ALONG THE
FRONT. KLGX DUAL POL INSTANTANEOUS RAINRATES SUGGEST VALUES AS HIGH
AS 3-5 IN/HR UNDER THIS BAND...WITH HOURLY ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO
1.0-1.5 IN/HR. THIS WAS MORE OR LESS VERIFIED AS THE BAND MOVED
THROUGH HOQUIAM... PRODUCING 0.60 INCH IN A HALF HOUR. LUCKILY THE
ROPE LINE IS WIGGLING BACK AND FORTH A BIT...LOOKING ALMOST LIKE A
FIRE HOSE ON RADAR. THE WIGGLES ARE PRODUCING BRIEF BREAKS BETWEEN
THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS...WHICH IS GOOD BECAUSE OTHERWISE WE WOULD
SERIOUSLY BE CONSIDERING ISSUING RARE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
PACIFIC COUNTY. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS VERY CLOSELY IN THE COMING
HOURS...BUT FOR NOW WE WENT FOR AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING FOR PACIFIC
COUNTY. WITH ALL THIS RAIN...FRANCES WA NOW UP TO 1.60 INCH SINCE
00Z...IT IS VERY LIKELY THE GRAYS RIVER WILL FLOOD AND THUS WE
ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING THERE AS WELL. A STRONG WESTERLY JET BETWEEN
130W-140W SHOULD FINALLY FORCE SOME EAST TO SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESS
OF THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. WITH VERY STRONG
WINDS FOLLOWED BY VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE COAST...DEBRIS FLOWS AND
MUDSLIDES ARE A BIG CONCERN WITH THIS EVENT.
ONE OTHER MAJOR CHANGE...WE UPGRADED THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES TO A
WINTER STORM WARNING...MAINLY FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE ZONE WHERE
THERE THERE WILL BE A BURST OF VERY HEAVY SNOW AS THE FRONT FINALLY
STARTS TO MAKE PROGRESS. 1-2 FEET OF NEW SNOW ARE LIKELY FOR THE S WA
CASCADES...A LITTLE LESS FOR THE N OR CASCADES.
WELL SOUTH OF THE FRONT...IN THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY...THE AIR MASS IS
MILD AND WELL MIXED. THIS IS ALLOWING GUSTS 35-45 MPH TO OCCASIONALLY
MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR A GOOD PART OF THE
NIGHT...BUT WINDS WILL LIKELY EASE SHORTLY AFTER PRECIPITATION
ARRIVES WITH THE FRONT EARLY MON MORNING. INITIAL THOUGHTS ARE THAT
THE GOING WIND WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED A
LITTLE EARLIER THAN THEIR CURRENT EXPIRATION TIMES...ESPECIALLY
NORTHERN ZONES. WEAGLE
&&
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...MOIST UNSTABLE AIR
COMBINED WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS MAINTAINED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. MUCH LESS THOUGH THAN THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...AND MOST AREAS HAD BRIEF POCKETS OF SUNSHINE EARLIER THIS
MORNING. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT PUT AN
END TO THESE MOMENTS OF SUNSHINE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUDS AND RAIN WITH THE WARM FRONT ARE JUST OFFSHORE THE WASHINGTON
AND NORTHERN OREGON COAST...WITH A POTENT COLD FRONT FOLLOWING
SHORTLY BEHIND. THESE FRONTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A 975MB SURFACE LOW
THAT IS JUST OFFSHORE OF WESTERN CANADA. THE SURFACE LOW IS
INFLUENCED BY A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH. THIS FRONT DOES NOT
HAVE THE SAME TAP OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE THAT THE PREVIOUS SYSTEMS
HAD...BUT HAS STRONG ENOUGH DYNAMICS TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG
WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND CASCADE SNOW.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE WITH THE PASSING OF
THE WARM FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THE LOW LEVELS WILL SUPPORT
SOME BLOCKING AND COASTAL JET ENHANCEMENT. THERE IS STILL SOME
EVIDENCE OF THIS AND WIND SPEEDS ARE STILL EASILY SUPPORTIVE OF HIGH
WINDS AT THE COAST. DO NOT EXPECT THE EXTREME WINDS THAT WERE
OBSERVED YESTERDAY AT THE HEADLANDS...BUT A LONGER PERIOD OF
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL MAKE THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES MORE PRONE TO
HIGHER WINDS. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE GRADIENT TIGHTENING IN THE
WILLAMETTE VALLEY WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLY MONDAY. THE WINDS
LOOK TO BE JUST BELOW ADVISORY...BUT THINK COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY
RAIN THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR POWER OUTAGES...DOWNED TREE LIMBS...OR
OTHER WIND IMPACTS AND DECIDED EARLIER TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR
THE VALLEY.
THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE FOCUSED MORE TO THE NORTH THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT WITH THE NORTHERN COAST AND COAST RANGE EXPECTED TO GET AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST RANGE CAN
SEE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN EARLY MONDAY MORNING. RIGHT NOW THERE
IS ONLY ONE RIVER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...THE PUDDING RIVER NEAR
AURORA...BUT DEPENDING ON HOW HEAVY THE RAIN AND WHERE THE HEAVY RAIN
FALLS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR OTHER RIVERS TO FLOOD.
WE WILL BE MONITORING THE RAIN AND RIVERS CLOSELY DURING THIS EVENT.
THE CASCADES WILL GET A HEALTHY DOSE OF SNOW TONIGHT AND MAINLY
MONDAY MORNING WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF NEW SNOW EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTH
WASHINGTON CASCADES...AND CLOSE TO A FOOT OF NEW SNOW FOR THE
NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES. THERE WILL BE LESS SNOW FOR THE LANE COUNTY
CASCADES BUT STILL EXPECT 5 TO 8 INCHES. SNOW LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY
AROUND 3500 FEET TO THE NORTH AND 4500 FEET TO THE SOUTH AND WILL
DROP AROUND 1000 FEET EARLY MONDAY. THOSE TRAVELING OVER THE CASCADE
PASSES MONDAY SHOULD PREPARE FOR WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.
SHOWERS WILL LESSEN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT IN MOST AREAS...BUT
WESTERLY 850MB WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE
CASCADES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. DO NOT THINK THE SW WASHINGTON
CASCADES WILL GET MUCH OF A BREAK IN SNOW BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND THE
NEXT.
THE NEXT FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN...MOUNTAIN
SNOW...AND WIND TUESDAY. THE WINDS DO NOT LOOK TO BE AS STRONG AS THE
PREVIOUS SYSTEM BUT WILL STILL BE GUSTY ALONG THE COAST AND COAST
RANGE...AND POSSIBLY THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY.
MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS FRONT WILL TAP BACK INTO SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE APPROACH OF A 130+KT JET
STREAK MEANS THAT NW OREGON WILL GET ANOTHER HEAVY SOAKING. LUCKILY
THIS FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY AND LIMIT FLOODING
CONCERNS...HOWEVER ANY STALLING OF THE FRONT COULD RESULT IN MORE
RIVER FLOODING. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL RAISE SNOW LEVELS WHICH ARE
EXPECTED TO HOVER JUST ABOVE THE CASCADE PASSES.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT AND SNOW
LEVELS WILL DROP TO AROUND 2000 FEET. SHOWERS WILL DWINDLE DURING
THIS TIME AND DO NOT INITIALLY EXPECT MUCH ACCUMULATING SNOW AT THE
LOWER LEVELS. HOWEVER...SERIES OF WAVES WILL BRING BURSTS OF
LOW-LEVEL SNOW WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HARTLEY
.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...DRIER PATTERN BEGINS
NEXT WEEKEND AFTER A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH ON THURSDAY. A FEW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO EARLY FRIDAY...BUT LOOK TO REMAIN MOSTLY
CONFINED TO THE CASCADES. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS FRIDAY AND WILL
REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. BB
&&
.AVIATION...SLOW FRONT OFF THE WASHINGTON COAST WILL SLOWLY PUSH
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MON AM. GUSTY S WINDS TO REMAIN
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MOSTLY VFR INLAND AT
MOMENT...BUT MVFR NOW INCREASING ON N OREGON COAST. THIS WILL PUSH
MVFR AND INCREASING RAIN TO S AND E ACROSS NW OREGON OVER NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. ONCE FRONT PUSHES ACROSS REGION...WILL HAVE MIX OF
MVFR AND VFR WITH TRANSITION TO SHOWERS.
KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR THROUGH 10Z...THEN WILL SEE INCREASING
MVFR AS FRONT DRAWS CLOSER TO THE AREA. FRONT LIKELY TO PASS
ACROSS OPS AREA 13Z TO 15Z...WITH TRANSITION TO SHOWERS AFTER 16Z.
&&
.MARINE...SOLID STORM FORCE WINDS OVER N WATERS WHERE PRES
GRADIENT IS TIGHTER. WIND DRIVEN SEAS NOW RUNNING 20 TO 22 FT.
WILL SEE WINDS LEVEL OFF OVER NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN EASE BACK
AFTER 3 OR 4 AM. SEAS WILL TOP OUT CLOSE TO 25 TO 28 FT AROUND OR
JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TO SOUTH...ON THE CENTRAL COASTAL WATERS...WINDS AND SEAS SLOWER
TO RESPOND. BUT THEY WILL AS GRADIENTS INCREASE THERE TONIGHT. BUT
SEAS PROBABLY ONLY PEAKING AT 22 TO 25 FT THERE.
EITHER WAY...WINDS DROP BELOW GALE FORCE AFTER 6 AM MON...AND STAY
IN 15 TO 25 KT RANGE THROUGH MON. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON MON
AS WELL...LIKELY BACK CLOSE TO 16 FT BY MON EVENING. NEXT FRONT
ARRIVES ON TUE...WITH GALES POSSIBLE. ROCKEZONK
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR CASCADE FOOTHILLS IN LANE
COUNTY-CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY-CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF
WESTERN OREGON-CENTRAL COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE-CENTRAL OREGON
COAST-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY-COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST
OREGON-GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-LOWER COLUMBIA-NORTH
OREGON COAST-NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-NORTHERN
OREGON CASCADES-SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-WESTERN COLUMBIA
RIVER GORGE.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR NORTHERN
OREGON CASCADES.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR
CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM PST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL WILLAMETTE
VALLEY-GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL COAST RANGE
OF WESTERN OREGON-CENTRAL OREGON COAST-COAST RANGE OF
NORTHWEST OREGON-NORTH OREGON COAST.
WA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR CENTRAL COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE-GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY-
SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-SOUTH WASHINGTON
CASCADES-SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-WESTERN COLUMBIA RIVER
GORGE-WILLAPA HILLS.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM PST MONDAY FOR GREATER VANCOUVER AREA.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR SOUTH WASHINGTON
CASCADES.
PZ...STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE
SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 4 PM PST
MONDAY.
&&
MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT..
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND
THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FROM
THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS COMMONLY
REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
904 PM PST SUN FEB 16 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 ESE TILLAMOOK 45.37N 123.55W
02/16/2014 M70.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET
SUSTAINED 30 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS TO 70 MPH. THIS IS AT MT
HEBO STATION.
0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 W CORVALLIS 44.57N 123.58W
02/16/2014 M61.00 MPH BENTON OR MESONET
SUSTAINED 35 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS 61 MPH. THIS IS AT MARYS
PEAK STATION...AN ELEVATED POWER TOWER.
0800 PM TSTM WND GST CLATSOP SPIT 46.22N 124.00W
02/16/2014 M66.00 MPH CLATSOP OR C-MAN STATION
SUSTAINED 45 TO 55 MPH. GUSTS TO 66 MPH.
&&
CROCKEYPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
949 PM PST SUN FEB 16 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0850 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 23 WSW CAPE DISAPPOINTM 46.12N 124.50W
02/16/2014 M59.00 MPH PZZ270 OR BUOY
GUSTS TO 59 MPH. SEAS 25 FEET.
&&
CROCKEYPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1217 AM PST MON FEB 17 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1104 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N ASTORIA 46.20N 123.82W
02/16/2014 M71.00 MPH PZZ210 OR DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
PEAK GUST MEASURED AT MEGLER BRIDGE WIND SENSOR.
&&
SWEAGLEPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1224 AM PST MON FEB 17 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOWNTOWN PORTLAND 45.52N 122.68W
02/16/2014 MULTNOMAH OR UTILITY COMPANY
7500 WITHOUT POWER AS OF 1130 PM...PER PORTLAND GENERAL
ELECTRIC OUTAGE MAP.
1222 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOWNTOWN VANCOUVER 45.63N 122.67W
02/17/2014 CLARK WA UTILITY COMPANY
10000 CURRENTLY WITHOUT POWER IN CLARK COUNTY... 9000 IN
VANCOUVER ALONE. REPORT VIA CLARK PUBLIC UTILITIES.
&&
SWEAGLEThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Grays river at Rosburg reached flood stage at 150 AM PST. The river level crested at 13.2 feet at 545 AM PST, and fell below flood stage at 100 PM PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Washington in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, February 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 502001.