Utah, 2014

Drought in Utah, July 1 to 31, 2014

July 1 to 31, 2014 · NWS GJT · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

The month of July started out hot and dry. However, by the middle of the month the Southwest Monsoon season had begun.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GJT wrote it up.

The month of July started out hot and dry. However, by the middle of the month the Southwest Monsoon season had begun. The majority of the climate reporting stations reported near normal to slightly above normal monthly precipitation totals. Nonetheless, the drought worsened a bit in the far northeast corner of the state and remained in the severe category near the Four Corners.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 8:22 PM MST, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 8:22 PM MST, 3 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
922 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 916 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

UPDATED TO REMOVE EXPIRED FIRE WEATHER HEADLINE. SURFACE WINDS
DECREASED AND HUMIDITY BEGAN TO RISE...ALLOWING THE RED FLAG
WARNING TO EXPIRE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 350 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

THE DRY WESTERLY FLOW OVER OUR CWA WILL TURN TO THE NW OVERNIGHT
AND REMAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND EXTENDS NORTHWARD.
BREEZY SURFACE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS
YESTERDAY...SHOULD DECREASE IN MOST AREAS DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LIGHTER WINDS ALOFT ON TUESDAY
WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY LIGHTER SURFACE WINDS TUESDAY.

WEAK CONVECTION POPPED UP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AGAIN TODAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...CONVECTION AGAIN
LOOKS MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY WHERE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRED PRIMARILY EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND THAT IS
WHERE THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE
DISSIPATING. EXPECT A REPEAT PERFORMANCE WITH WEAK CONVECTION OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN IN OUR CWA ON TUESDAY.

AS OF MID AFTERNOON TODAY...TEMPERATURES WERE A TAD LOWER THAN
YESTERDAY...EXCEPT IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA WHERE THEY WERE A TAD
HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SEEM TO BE ON THE RIGHT
TRACK WITH MINS TONIGHT A LITTLE LOWER THAN LAST NIGHT AT MOST
LOCATIONS...WITH A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS...DEW POINT
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST AS LOW AS LAST NIGHT...AND GENERALLY LIGHTER
SURFACE WINDS. HAVE LOWERED MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT BY SEVERAL
DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. ALSO...SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS WARM
TOMORROW COMPARED TO TODAY ACROSS OUR AREA...AND ALSO LOWERED MAX
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE AT MANY LOCATIONS. EXPECT MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT TO SIMILAR TO TONIGHT...IF NOT SLIGHTLY
LOWER.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT FROM THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN WED
MORNING TO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON THU...WITH THE HIGH CENTER OVER
NEW MEXICO. THIS IMPRESSIVE RIDGE WILL EXTEND NORTHWARD INTO THE
NORTHWEST TERRITORIES OF CANADA. THE PATTERN THEN REMAINS PRETTY
STATIC OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND SOUTHWARD. THE NORTHERN EXTENT
OF THE RIDGE OVER MONTANA AND THE CANADIAN ROCKIES DOES FLATTEN
AND SHIFT EAST BEGINNING SAT AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES IN FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. HOWEVER THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON OUR
FORECAST AREA.

FOR US...WE WILL SEE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE WORKING ITS
WAY UNDER THE RIDGE AND OVER THE FORECAST AREA. ALSO MOISTURE FROM
THE EAST ON TUE WILL REMAIN TRAPPED ALONG THE DIVIDE EARLY IN THE
PERIOD. ON WED...MOISTURE WILL ALSO BEGIN TO COME FROM A MORE
ROUND-ABOUT DIRECTION...NORTHWEST THEN WEST...DUE TO THE GENERAL
CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH. LATER IN THE WEEK A BETTER...BUT
STILL NOT OPTIMAL...CONNECTION WILL BE MADE TO THE SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE POOL OVER MEXICO. THEREFORE WE CAN EXPECT TO SEE A SLOW
INCREASE IN THE DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON INTO
THE WEEKEND. ACTIVITY WILL INITIATE IN THE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH...WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY MOVING OFF INTO THE VALLEYS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. INTERACTING BOUNDARIES MAY RESULT IN
A FEW STORMS PERSISTING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WELL.

WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD...TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL. HOWEVER CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION WILL MODIFY TEMPS IN SOME
AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 916 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. AN ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS. THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE
WEST WINDS ALOFT WILL CAUSE AREAS OF TURBULENCE FROM ABOUT 17Z TO
03Z TUESDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 350 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS PRODUCED ANOTHER DEEP MIXED LAYER THIS
AFTERNOON...THEREFORE GUSTY WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED. THESE GUSTY
WINDS HAVE BEEN MOST WIDESPREAD OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA...WITH MORE LOCALIZED GUSTS ELSEWHERE. THE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING...AT OR AROUND SUNSET. THEREFORE THE
RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 9 PM MDT FOR FAR NORTHWEST
WEST CENTRAL COLORADO...AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST UT.

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST ON TUE...LIGHTER WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...CC
SHORT TERM...JRP
LONG TERM...EH
AVIATION...CC
FIRE WEATHER...EH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 8:43 PM MST, 3 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
943 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-020345-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
943 PM MDT MON JUN 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

UPDATED TO REMOVE MENTION OF SIGNFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IMPROVES EACH
DAY FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN THE THREAT OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE SAN
JUAN MOUNTAINS. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS...ALTHOUGH A LATE DAY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CJC

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Southeast Utah

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southeast Utah forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
37.626, -109.805 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions remained unchanged across the lower elevations near the Four Corners of southeast Utah through the month of July.

Drought, Eastern Uinta Basin

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern Uinta Basin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
40.125, -109.518 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Moderate drought conditions in the eastern Uinta Basin at the beginning of July deteriorated to severe to extreme drought conditions by the end of the month.

Drought, Eastern Uinta Mountains

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern Uinta Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
40.506, -109.513 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Moderate drought conditions persisted across most of the eastern Uinta Mountains in July, while severe drought conditions expanded into the southern portion of the area by the end of the month.

Drought, Canyonlands / Natural Bridges

When
July 1, 12:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Canyonlands / Natural Bridges forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
37.626, -109.805 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Moderate drought conditions prevailed across most of the zone while severe drought conditions persisted in the Natural Bridges area.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Utah in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, July 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 539712, 539713, 539714, 540609.