Young and Palo Pinto County began and ended the month in severe drought (D2). Very little rain fell across North Texas during the month of February which allowed for no improvement in drought conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Young and Palo Pinto County began and ended the month in severe drought (D2). Very little rain fell across North Texas during the month of February which allowed for no improvement in drought conditions. Surrounding areas were in moderate drought (D1) throughout the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:16 PM CST, 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1116 PM CST FRI JAN 31 2014 .AVIATION... PLENTY OF IFR BEHIND THE FRONT IN OKLAHOMA...AND WITH GUIDANCE MORE PESSIMISTIC HAVE ADDED IFR TO METROPLEX TAFS BEGINNING BEFORE SUNRISE AND CONTINUING A WHILE AFTER FROPA. NAM/RAP SHOW FROPA EARLIER AS WELL. HAVE CONTINUED THE IFR TRENDING AT WACO AND ADJUSTED FROPA BASED ON NAM/RAP AS WELL. MAJOR CONCERNS REMAIN ABOUT JUST HOW WINTER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP FOR METROPLEX TAF SITES...WITH MODELS STILL HINTING THAT MOST OR ALL PRECIP WILL BE OVER BEFORE SUNDAY TEMPS COOL DOWN BELOW FREEZING. 00Z RUNS JUST COMING IN NOW AND METROPLEX REMAINS RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF THE WINTER PRECIP. A SMALL LOWERING OF SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE THE FORECAST A LOT. 84 && .UPDATE... WILL SEND OUT A QUICK UPDATE TO LOWER TEMPS IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF AN EASTLAND...DECATUR TO GAINESVILLE LINE... BASED ON THE CURRENT POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE VERY LITTLE OVERNIGHT SO THE REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS WILL REMAIN WARM WITH LOWS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60. 00Z MODEL DATA COMING IN CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME WINTER WEATHER DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK FOR NOW SO WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES AT THIS TIME UNTIL ALL DATA IS IN. 79 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 PM CST FRI JAN 31 2014/ A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT AS A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE WEST. A WARM NIGHT IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AS LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S IN THE NORTHWEST TO AROUND 60 IN THE SOUTHEAST ZONES. SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION LOW CLOUDS...DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG WILL BE LIKELY OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ON THE MOVE SOUTHWARD ON SATURDAY AS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES EJECTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL STILL MANAGE TO WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT SATURDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD REACH FREEZING OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES BY SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS SUNDAY MORNING. INCREASING LARGE SCALE LIFT AND MOIST ASCENT OVER THE DOME OF COLD AIR WILL BRING INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. ALL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE MAIN ISSUE IS WHAT THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE WILL LOOK LIKE AT THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION FALLS. WE CONTINUE TO FAVOR A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS WHICH KEEP A MIX OF RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW AND OR SLEET SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT ANY RAIN IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WOULD QUICKLY TRANSITION OF LIGHT SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AS THE LOW LEVELS COOL A FEW DEGREES DUE TO SOME EVAPORATION IN THE COLUMN. THE REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS SHOULD START OUT SUNDAY MORNING WITH A COLD LIGHT RAIN AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. THE SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED BY ALL MODELS...WITH THE EXCEPTION THE SLOWER NAM SOLUTION...TO MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EXIT THE REGION SUNDAY EVENING. THE BEST LIFT AND MOST FAVORABLE TEMPERATURE PROFILE FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS THE RED RIVER COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS WHERE A WET SNOW IS LIKELY TO FALL. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY AND ELEVATED SURFACES. SINCE TEMPERATURE PROFILES WILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE AND THE SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO BE PROGRESSIVE...THE WINDOW FOR SNOW WILL BE SHORT AND THIS SHOULD LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A POTENTIAL FOR SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AT SOME POINT IN TIME. THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO SEE IMPACTS WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A BRECKENRIDGE...DENTON...TO SHERMAN LINE. FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE METROPLEX...THE PREDOMINATE PRECIP TYPE SHOULD BE RAIN WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. SOME LIGHT RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW...WILL LINGER IN THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY EVENING AS THE SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO EAST TEXAS. ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BY LATE EVENING SUNDAY. OVERALL...WE ARE FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT THE SHORT WAVE ON SUNDAY WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE SINCE ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BE RIGHT BEHIND IT. THEREFORE...WE ARE NOT FAVORING THE SLOWER NAM SOLUTION WHICH KEEPS WINTER PRECIP IN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM DOES NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND SINCE THE MOISTURE WILL BE FAIRLY DEEP FOR AN EARLY FEBRUARY SYSTEM. MONDAY MORNING WILL BE COLD AND PRECIPITATION FREE AS BRIEF SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS BETWEEN THE EXITING SYSTEM TO THE EAST AND A NEW DEVELOPING TROUGH IN THE WEST. MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT AS THIS NEXT SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY TO THE EAST. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS. THE FRONT SHOULD COME THROUGH DRY...BUT WILL KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS WEDNESDAY IN THE 30S AND 40S WITH LOWS THURSDAY MORNING MAINLY IN THE 20S. FRIDAY COULD GET INTERESTING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ONCE AGAIN WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE AND ANOTHER STRONG TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. FOR NOW WE WILL KEEP POPS LOW FRIDAY AND PRECIPITATION ALL LIQUID DUE TO TIMING UNCERTAINTIES. 79 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 57 68 36 38 30 / 10 10 10 70 10 WACO, TX 60 74 40 41 29 / 10 20 20 60 10 PARIS, TX 55 65 36 43 29 / 10 30 20 70 40 DENTON, TX 55 64 34 37 26 / 10 10 10 70 10 MCKINNEY, TX 58 66 34 39 27 / 10 10 10 70 20 DALLAS, TX 57 68 37 38 29 / 10 10 10 70 10 TERRELL, TX 58 68 36 43 31 / 10 20 20 70 20 CORSICANA, TX 59 72 41 44 33 / 10 20 20 70 20 TEMPLE, TX 58 75 40 45 31 / 10 20 20 50 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 48 64 33 36 26 / 10 10 10 70 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && /
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 310 PM CST FRI JAN 31 2014 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 310 PM CST FRI JAN 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. RAIN MIXING WITH SLEET THEN CHANGING TO SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF AN EASTLAND TO DENTON TO BONHAM LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS IS WHERE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST...BUT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DUNN
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month. Less than an inch of rain fell during February and there were no improvements.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month. Less than an inch of rain fell during February and there were no improvements.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 500608, 500609.