A series of fronts resulted in a prolonged period of rain for Northwest Oregon, and minor flooding of several of the area's rivers from February 12th through February 17th.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.
A series of fronts resulted in a prolonged period of rain for Northwest Oregon, and minor flooding of several of the area's rivers from February 12th through February 17th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 2:48 PM PST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 PM PST WED FEB 12 2014
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG COLD FRONT CAME ONSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
BROUGHT STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS...AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS INLAND. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED A BIT OVER THE
OREGON PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY TODAY...BUT IS WEAKENING
THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WAVE CROSSING 130W THIS AFTERNOON WILL SWING
THROUGH TONIGHT FOR MORE RAIN AT TIMES. A RELATIVE MINIMUM IN
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AS WE ARE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS. THE
NEXT STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM AND LOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY WITH SOME MORE WIND AND RATHER HEAVY RAIN...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK..WITH THE WETTEST STORM OF THIS SERIES
POSSIBLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVED ONSHORE OVERNIGHT...AND
BROUGHT STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST AND THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS AND
RATHER WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE INLAND AREAS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STALLED SOUTH OF PORTLAND AND IS WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON WITH
DECREASING RAIN. DID ISSUE A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SIUSLAW RIVER...IT
APPEARS IT WILL CREST VERY CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE. THE MARYS RIVER NEAR
PHILOMATH MAY GET CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE AS WELL. OVERALL THE THREAT OF
ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS REALLY OVER FOR NOW.
UP NEXT IS AN OCCLUDED BOUNDARY THAT WAS CROSSING 130W THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL PROBABLY INTERACT WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
SWING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TONIGHT...SPREADING ONSHORE BY
06Z. THIS WILL BRING SOME MORE RAIN TO OUR AREA...BUT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND INTENSITIES WITH THIS FEATURE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY
ARE MUCH WEAKER THAN WITH THIS MOST RECENT SYSTEM. AS A RESULT DO
NOT EXPECT ANY MORE FLOODING PROBLEMS FROM THIS FEATURE. WE MAY SEE
A FRONTAL WAVE MOVE ALONG THE FRONT INDUCED BY THE OFFSHORE
WAVE...AND THIS MAY INCREASE THE WINDS ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT SOME.
SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN
LOWERING CLOSE TO PASS ELEVATIONS FROM ABOUT SANTIAM PASS NORTHWARD
ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER AT THAT POINT...PRECIPITATION WILL BE WANING SO
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE.
ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD MORE RATHER HEAVY RAIN
INTO SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
RISING SNOW LEVELS. WE MIGHT SEE SOME WINDY CONDITIONS NEAR THE
COAST AGAIN...ESPECIALLY NEAR HEADLANDS AND BEACHES...BUT NOT AS
STRONG AS TUESDAY NIGHT. HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH THOUGH FOR THE
BEACHES AND HEADLANDS. THE FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY...TAKING SOME TIME AGAIN TO MOVE THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.
EXPECT SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISES AGAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM. BELIEVE THE
LOWER LEVEL SNOW WILL BE GONE FROM THE FOOTHILLS AND COAST RANGE BY
THEN...BUT ENOUGH RAIN IS EXPECTED TO STILL CAUSE RIVER RISES AND
WILL CONTINUE TO NEED TO MONITOR RIVERS FOR ANY CHANCE OF FLOODING.
SNOW LEVELS WILL AGAIN TRY TO LOWER TO NEAR THE PASSES IN THE
CASCADES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER STRONGER WET SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN SATURDAY. THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE MORE
WIND ESPECIALLY TO THE COAST...AND BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT RISES TO
AREA RIVERS. SNOW LEVELS IN THE CASCADES WILL RISE UP WELL ABOVE THE
PASSES AGAIN UNTIL THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
TOLLESON
.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FEW CHANGES WERE
NEEDED FOR THE EXTENDED TODAY. MODEL AGREEMENT REMAINS HIGHER THAN
AVERAGE...LENDING CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST. PROGRESSIVE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE POLAR VORTEX /AREA OF
LOWEST 500 MB HEIGHT/ THAT HAS BEEN STUBBORNLY HANGING OUT OVER
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CANADA FOR MUCH OF THIS SEASON WILL SHIFT NORTH
AND THEN REFORM FARTHER WEST...BRIEFLY TAKING UP RESIDENCE OVER
ALASKA. THIS LARGE UPPER LOW WILL USHER A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES AND A
COUPLE OF ASSOCIATED COLD FRONTS INTO THE PAC NW DURING THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE FIRST FRONT LOOKS TO ARRIVE SOMETIME ON SATURDAY AND WILL
TAP INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE/A REMNANT ATMOSPHERIC RIVER...THEREFORE
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY. IN ADDITION...IF MODELS MAINTAIN
THEIR CURRENT DEPICTION OF STRONG WARM ADVECTION WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT BEHIND
IT...CANNOT RULE OUT THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER ESPECIALLY DURING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON SATURDAY. THERE IS STILL NOT QUITE ENOUGH OF A
SIGNAL TO ADD THIS TO THE CURRENT FORECAST...HOWEVER IT DOES BEAR
WATCHING. SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MODELS CONTINUE RATHER REMARKABLE
AGREEMENT AND ARE DEPICTING A STATIONARY FRONT SETTING UP OVER
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON/NORTHWEST OREGON. THIS WILL FOCUS ANOTHER
ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION ON THE PAC NW...POTENTIALLY THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DEPENDING ON HOW LONG THE FRONT IS
STALLED...BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW OVER ALASKA BEGINS TO FILL/WEAKEN AND
SLIDE SOUTHWARD. BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE PACNW
AND CARVE OUT A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES...FOR
CONTINUED SHOWERY CONDITIONS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. BURGESS
&&
.AVIATION...00Z TAF PACKAGE. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS MAINLY TO THE COASTAL
TERMINALS AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE INLAND ONES. THE WINDS SEEM TO
HAVE A SLIGHT OFFSHORE COMPONENT WHICH MAY KEEP CIGS FROM REACHING
LIFR BUT IFR IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE LATER IN THE EVENING. INLAND
TERMINALS WILL LIKELY STAY MVFR BETWEEN 1500 AND 2500 FEET UNDER THE
SOUTHERLY FLOW. AFTER THE FRONT CROSSES THE VALLEY LATE OVERNIGHT,
WINDS MAY DROP OFF ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOG DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS
PUTTING THE BEST CHANCE OF THAT HAPPENING AT KEUG BUT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED ELSEWHERE INLAND. LATEST GUIDANCE BRINGS SOME 2-3000 FT
SHALLOW CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
KPDX AND APPROACHES...HIGH END MVFR CIGS AT WORST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON RAIN WILL INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING WITH CIGS RETURNING
TO 1500 FT MVFR. SOUTH WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT BUT
SHOULD STAY AT OR AROUND 20 KT DURING THE PEAK THIS EVENING. WOULD
GIVE ABOUT A 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF FOG AFFECTING THE FIELD THURSDAY
MORNING. CIGS MAY BREAK UP SOME EARLY THURSDAY DAYLIGHT BUT
FEEL 3000 FT SHALLOW CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. /JBONK
&&
.MARINE...SEAS WILL BE THE DOMINANT ELEMENT OF NOTE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE BROAD TROUGH CENTERED ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
EXTENDING SOUTH ABOUT HALF WAY TO HAWAII WILL SEND FREQUENT SYSTEMS
AND WAVE TRAINS TO THE PACNW COAST. MAIN CONCERN WILL BEGIN SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH A PERSISTENT WEST TRAIN OF 20 TO 22 FT. 20+ FOOT SWELL
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...WW3 SEAS REMAIN AT
LEAST IN THE LOW TEENS UNTIL THE END OF THE RUN AT 180 HOURS (7.5
DAYS). HAVE LITTLE REASON TO DOUBT THE OVERALL MESSAGE BUT FULLY
EXPECT DETAILS TO VARY WITH TIME. AS SUCH...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
FOR SEAS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TIME BEING THOUGH TECHNICALLY IT
COULD LAST WELL INTO NEXT WEEK IF NOT FOR POTENTIAL GALES/STORM FORCE
WINDS AS DISCUSSED BELOW.
REGARDING WINDS...WE WILL REMAIN IN AN ACTIVE PATTERN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH SYSTEMS COMING THROUGH EVERY 24 HRS OR SO. A WEAKER
FRONT WILL BRING WINDS UP AGAIN THIS EVENING...AND A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR SEAS WAS ISSUED EARLIER ON TOP OF THE ADVISORY FOR
WINDS. EXPECT PEAK WINDS BETWEEN 6 AND 11 PM TONIGHT. A MORE POTENT
FRONT WILL BRING GALES ON LATE THU NIGHT AND EARLY FRI MORNING. A
PAIR OF FAIRLY STRONG SURFACE LOWS AND RELATED FRONTS WILL BRING
GALES...AND QUITE POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS...ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. JBONK/PYLE
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR CENTRAL OREGON COAST-NORTH OREGON COAST.
WA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST.
PZ...GALE WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 PM PST
THURSDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO
FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR UNTIL 10 AM
PST THURSDAY.
&&
MORE WEATHER INFORMATION ONLINE AT..
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.PORTLAND.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND
THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FROM
THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS COMMONLY
REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Siuslaw River near Mapelton reached flood stage at 440 PM PST on February 12, 2014, and crested near 18.02 feet at 500 PM PST. The river dropped below flood stage at 530 PM PST on February 12th.
The Mohawk River near Springfield reached flood stage at 400 PM PST. The river crested at 15.1 feet at 515 PM PST, and fell below flood level at 630 PM PST.
The Pudding River at Aurora reached flood stage at 1130 AM on February 16th 2014. The river crested at 22.4 feet at 500 AM on February 17th, and fell below flood level at 930 AM PST on February 18th.
The Nehalem River near Foss reached Flood Stage at 720 AM PST on February 17th, 2014. The river crested at 14.5 ft at 900 AM, and dropped below flood level at 200 PM PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, February 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 502005, 502246, 502247, 502248.