A very moist atmosphere was in place with dew points into the 60s across all of southern New Mexico. A weak upper trough was approaching from the southwest which provided the lift for thunderstorm development with very heavy rain and slow storm motion.
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The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
A very moist atmosphere was in place with dew points into the 60s across all of southern New Mexico. A weak upper trough was approaching from the southwest which provided the lift for thunderstorm development with very heavy rain and slow storm motion.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 16, 1:57 PM MST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 257 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014 .SYNOPSIS... THE BORDERLAND IS CERTAIN TO GET MORE RAIN...AND A LOT OF IT...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS THE REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE ODILE SLOWLY TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. VERY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. FLASH FLOODING...SOME OF IT SERIOUS IS EXPECTED...AND THE AREA IS UNDER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH THE COPIOUS RAIN AND CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION...HOWEVER RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL HANG BACK AND KEEP THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM IN PLAY ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. && .DISCUSSION... PLENTY OF WEATHER FEATURES TO WATCH FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. FORMER HURRICANE ODILE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA JUST OFF THE BAJA. WE SIT IN A DEEP AND VERY MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW PATTERN ON THE STORMS WET EAST SIDE. PW'S ARE OVER 1.65" WITH A MAX OF NEAR 1 3/4" EXPECTED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. THIS PUTS OUR AREA JUST BELOW THE RECORD LEVELS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER PW. THE STORM ITSELF WILL CONTINUE IT'S TRACK NORTH AND A LITTLE EAST TOWARD SOUTHERN AZ...JUST SW OF TUCSON, AZ. THE CENTER IS PROGED TO CROSS INTO THE U.S. LATE WED EVENING...AND TRACK OVER THE GILA AND INTO CENTRAL NM ON THURSDAY. THIS IS THE SET UP FOR THE ANTICIPATED WEATHER THE NEXT 72 HRS. THIS AFTERNOON WE SEE CONVECTIVE STORM DEVELOPMENT TO OUR SOUTH OVER NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA IN THE REGION WITH BETTER SUNSHINE. THE STORM MOTION IS TO THE NORTH SO WE ANTICIPATED AN INCREASE IN STORM AND SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH. AIDING THIS DEVELOPMENT IS ANOTHER SPOKE OF ENERGY AND DEEP MOISTURE SURGE WITH ANOTHER ODILE BAND. THIS SPOKE WILL LIKELY MOVE OVER THE CWFA IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE SUNRISE. OVERALL RAINFALL RATES OF .3 TO .75" PER HOUR IS EXPECTED BUT THE THUNDERSTORM CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF 2X TO 3X THOSE RATES...AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES TONIGHT. LIKE WE DID TODAY...WE MIGHT SEE A BREAK IN THE WIDESPREAD RAIN DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER IN THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS AND MORE SO AS WE GO INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WE ARE LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN RAIN ACTIVITY STARTING OVER WESTERN ZONES IN THE BOOTHEEL AND GILA AS ODILE BEGINS TO NEAR THE REGION FROM THE WEST. OVERNIGHT TOWARDS THURSDAY MORNING WE SHOULD SEE THIS AREA OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES. WE HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF INCREASE BOTH THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION AND THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. THUS POPS IN THE 80-100% PROBABILITY ARE COMMON AND STORM TOTAL PRECIP AMOUNTS ARE IN THE 1-3" RANGE EAST...2-4" CENTRAL...3-5" WESTERN LOWLANDS...4-6" AREA MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL BE GREAT VARIABILITY IN THE PCPN AMOUNT ACROSS THE REGION AND GREATER AMOUNTS UP TO 8-9" OVER LOCAL AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THOSE GREATER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE OVER AREAS MTNS. NEEDLESS TO SAY WE CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...AND EXTEND IT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AT MIDNIGHT. OF SPECIAL NOTE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR RIVER AND STREAM FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. FRIDAY THE SYSTEM WILL BE TO OUR NORTH AND WILL BEGIN TRACKING EAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WE SHOULD SEE DIMINISHING RAIN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. DRIER AIR IN WESTERLY AIR BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION LATE FRI AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE WON'T TOTALLY DRY OUT THE AIRMASS SO WE'LL KEEP CHANCES FOR ISOLATED LOWLAND AND SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NEXT WEEK WE WILL BE WATCHING YET ANOTHER TROPICAL SYSTEM ATTEMPTING TO CRAWL UP THE BAJA...MUCH LIKE NORBERT DID. IT COULD GIVE US ANOTHER PERIOD OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES FOR NEXT WEEK. 14-BIRD && .AVIATION...VALID 17/00Z - 18/00Z... AN IMPULSE ROTATING SLOWLY UP AROUND TROPICAL THE EASTERN SIDE OF STORM ODILE...WILL BRING MORE CLOUDY SKIES WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS TO SOUTHERN NM / WEST TX THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WED AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR LOWLAND CLDS SCT 010-020 BKN-OVC CIGS TO 030-050 AGL...WITH SCT VIS TO 3 SM IN -SHRA/SHRA AND TSRA. CIGS TO 005 NEAR MTNS OVER LOWLANDS. LOOK FOR LIFR BKN MTN OBSCURATIONS THROUGH PD. EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT TURBC OUTSIDE STORMS. WINDS WILL BE FROM ENE-SE AROUND 06-09 KTS. 22-TRIPOLI && .FIRE WEATHER... MODELS ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT IN FOREASTING TRACK OF NOW TROPICAL STORM ODILE OVER ARIZONA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FEATURE WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF VERY WET WEATHER TO NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY...AS IT INITIALLY HEADS NORTH EAST INTO ARIZONA...THEN EAST NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN NM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 2-5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH UP TO 9 INCHES OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BY FRIDAY EVENING ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. 14-TRIPOLI && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 67 80 68 82 69 / 90 80 100 90 50 SIERRA BLANCA 63 75 63 78 62 / 60 50 70 90 50 LAS CRUCES 65 79 65 80 66 / 90 90 100 90 50 ALAMOGORDO 66 80 64 81 65 / 90 90 100 100 80 CLOUDCROFT 51 58 49 61 49 / 100 90 100 100 100 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 63 79 64 81 65 / 90 90 100 100 60 SILVER CITY 59 75 60 75 60 / 100 100 100 90 70 DEMING 63 80 64 82 64 / 90 100 100 80 50 LORDSBURG 64 80 65 80 64 / 100 100 100 70 60 WEST EL PASO METRO 67 79 68 82 68 / 90 80 100 90 50 DELL CITY 65 79 65 82 64 / 60 60 70 100 70 FORT HANCOCK 64 80 67 84 67 / 60 60 80 90 50 LOMA LINDA 62 74 62 75 64 / 90 60 90 90 60 FABENS 67 80 66 82 67 / 80 80 100 90 50 SANTA TERESA 65 79 66 81 67 / 90 90 100 80 40 WHITE SANDS HQ 65 77 65 80 66 / 90 80 100 90 60 JORNADA RANGE 61 79 62 81 61 / 90 90 100 90 60 HATCH 63 77 64 80 63 / 90 90 100 100 50 COLUMBUS 67 79 65 82 66 / 90 90 100 60 50 OROGRANDE 66 77 66 79 66 / 90 70 90 100 70 MAYHILL 55 67 54 69 55 / 100 90 100 100 100 MESCALERO 56 68 55 71 56 / 100 90 100 100 100 TIMBERON 54 66 52 68 54 / 100 90 100 100 90 WINSTON 56 71 55 72 58 / 90 100 100 100 70 HILLSBORO 60 75 59 75 62 / 90 100 100 100 70 SPACEPORT 62 77 63 80 63 / 90 90 100 100 60 LAKE ROBERTS 56 74 55 75 58 / 100 100 100 100 70 HURLEY 61 77 61 77 63 / 100 100 100 80 70 CLIFF 55 77 54 78 54 / 100 100 100 80 70 MULE CREEK 52 76 51 76 53 / 100 100 100 90 70 FAYWOOD 60 76 61 76 63 / 90 100 100 80 70 ANIMAS 65 78 66 82 65 / 100 90 100 60 60 HACHITA 61 80 62 82 62 / 100 100 100 60 60 ANTELOPE WELLS 61 79 62 83 61 / 100 90 100 60 50 CLOVERDALE 59 78 59 79 62 / 100 90 100 70 60 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR NMZ401>417. TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR TXZ418>424. && 14/22
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 600 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-161715- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 600 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED LOWLAND AND SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE. BEST RAIN CHANCES REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAIN AREAS. STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE ODILE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL OVER ISOLATED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH A CONTINUED RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. ROGASH
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:58 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The media reported via Facebook that a car was washed off the road near Rock Hound State Park which included a water rescue. No injuries were associated with the flood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 542598.