A dry month of June kept drought conditions generally in the Severe(D2) to Extreme(D3) categories for another month across Southwest New Mexico. All locations around the region reported below normal precipitation for the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 14 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
A dry month of June kept drought conditions generally in the Severe(D2) to Extreme(D3) categories for another month across Southwest New Mexico. All locations around the region reported below normal precipitation for the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 2:47 PM MST, 9 hours 13 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 347 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 .SYNOPSIS... UNSEASONABLY HOT AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL DOMINATE THE REGION BEGINNING SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...AS PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE HIGH WILL HAVE MORE OF AN INFLUENCE EARLY IN THE WEEK...ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AND THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES DURING THAT TIME. BREEZY TO MARGINALLY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AS A SHALLOW UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE FOUR CORNERS. THIS WILL NUDGE THE RIDGE SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE AT SOME ENHANCED CLOUD BUILD UPS TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. && .DISCUSSION... TRENDS WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...DEPICT WEAKENING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT THE LOW LEVELS...WITH A LOWERING OF THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ALOFT. THIS IS INDICATIVE OF THE BUILDING RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 400-500 DEWPOINT DEPRESSION ANALYSES...ALSO INDICATE A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE NOW MOVING UP THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE OVER CO AND NORTHERN NM RIDGE THROUGH. WHILE THIS FEATURE IS TRIGGERING SOME ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN NM...IT APPEARS TO HAVE NO EFFECT AT THIS TIME ON THE CU FIELD IN OUR AREA. IMPACTS: FOR THE HEAT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER MOST OF NEXT WEEK. LATEST GFS...NAM AND ECMWF FCST TRENDS WITH H5 HEIGHTS AND 1000-500MB THICKNESSES...NOW POINTING TO MONDAY AS THE HOTTEST DAY. WITH THIS DEGREE OF CONSENSUS AND GIVEN THE FACT THAT WE WERE ALREADY SEEING THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRONOUNCED SUBSIDENCE IN CU FIELDS OVER NORTHWESTERN CHIHUAHUA YESTERDAY...FEEL THAT MOVING THE HOTTEST DAY UP TO MONDAY IS REASONABLE AT THIS POINT. THIS IS REFLECTED IN OUR FORECAST...WITH 105 F FOR EL PASO MONDAY IN TODAY'S PACKAGE. MODEL TRENDS HAVE ALSO DEEPENED THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXPECTED INTO THE WESTERN STATES EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS SHOULD SERVE TO NUDGE THE RIDGE A LITTLE TO THE SOUTHEAST. IN COMPARING THE MAY 31ST 00Z AND 12Z MEX NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...SOLUTION DROPS FORECAST HIGHS DOWN TO A COUPLE DEGREES OVER MANY AREAS MOST OF NEXT WEEK. WE SHOULD STILL SEE RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS AND ESPECIALLY MORNING LOW MAXIMUM TEMPS FOR THE WORK WEEK. FOR DRY LIGHTNING POTENTIAL SACS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...TRENDS WITH GUIDANCE POINTS TO A DEEPENING LEE TROUGH OVER SE CO / NRN TX TUESDAY. AS MENTIONED IN YESTERDAYS FORECAST...THIS WILL STRENGTHEN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MAY ACTUALLY DRAW THE CONV AXIS WITH THIN BAND OF ST MOISTURE FETCH A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH INTO S CENTRAL NM. WITH AS MUCH HEATING AS WE WILL HAVE HAD...IT WON'T TAKE MUCH TO FIRE CONVECTION OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE SACS. THIS FAR OUT HOWEVER...AM INCLINED TO KEEP POPS BELOW 10% FOR THAT AREA. THIS MOISTURE IS ROUGHLY 3000-4000 FEET DEEP AND IS IN THE MID LEVELS. FOR WINDS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...SUCCESSIVE GFS AND EURO SOLUTIONS HAVE STRENGTHENED WINDS ALOFT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...IN RESPONSE A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS ATTEMPTING TO EASILY MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN STATES. IT COMES DOWN TO A BATTLE BETWEEN OUR RIDGE AND THESE FEATURES. THE FIRST MOVES THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...WEAKENING THE RIDGE SOME AND ALLOWING EFFICIENT MIX DOWN OF THE WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. THE NEXT TROUGH MOVES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AND MAY WEAKEN THE RIDGE A LITTLE MORE. LEE SIDE SFC TROUGH DVLPMT IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THESE FEATURES. THE RESULT SHOULD BE BREEZY TO MARGINALLY WINDY DAYS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FOR BACK DOOR COLD FRONT/DRY LIGHTING POTENTIAL SACS + ADJACENT LOWLANDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY... AT THIS TIME GFS AND EURO SOLUTIONS BRING A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL NM BY WEEKS END. MAY 31ST 00Z SOLUTIONS HAD ALSO INDICATED THIS...BUT WITH A WEAKER SURGE. THUS HAVE INCLUDE POPS AGAIN BELOW 10 % FOR THE THE SACS AND NEARBY LOWLANDS FRI AFTN...EVENING AND SAT AFTN. LOOKING INTO NEXT WEEKEND AND BEYOND...CONDITIONS APPEAR DRY. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS FORECAST TO RE CENTER ITSELF TO OUR SOUTHWEST. THIS BEHAVIOR IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ONCE THE HIGH MIGRATES EAST OF OUR REGION...FLOW AROUND THIS FEATURE WILL FINALLY INTRODUCE MONSOON DRIVEN MOISTURE INTO OUR AREA AND SOUTHWEST STATES. && .AVIATION... VALID 01/00Z-02/00Z... P6SM FEW-SCT120 SCT-BKN250 THRU 04Z...THEN FEW250 THRU 18Z. AFT 18Z FEW-SCT100-120. WINDS GENERALLY W TO SW AOB 12KTS THRU 20Z...THEN INCREASING TO 10-15KTS. && .FIRE WEATHER... AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE STRENGTHENING OVER NORTHERN MEXICO OVER THE COMING DAYS WHICH WILL BRING VERY HOT AND DRY AIR TO THE REGION. EXPECT LOWLAND HIGH TEMPERATURES TO REACH 100 DEGREES SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...WITH WEDNESDAY BEING THE HOTTEST. DEW POINTS WILL BE FALLING DROPPING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BACK INTO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS WITH POOR RECOVERIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY NOT BE A BIG ISSUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...BUT COULD BRING NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HAINES INDICES WILL BE ALSO ON THE RISE WITH 5'S AND 6'S LIKELY BY MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 76 102 75 105 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 SIERRA BLANCA 65 99 66 103 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 LAS CRUCES 70 99 69 103 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 ALAMOGORDO 68 99 67 103 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 CLOUDCROFT 52 75 52 79 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 68 98 68 101 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 SILVER CITY 62 91 61 95 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 DEMING 67 99 65 103 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 LORDSBURG 65 97 63 100 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 WEST EL PASO METRO 74 100 74 103 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 DELL CITY 63 100 64 104 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 FORT HANCOCK 72 105 71 109 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 LOMA LINDA 69 95 69 97 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 FABENS 69 104 69 105 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 SANTA TERESA 70 101 69 104 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 WHITE SANDS HQ 73 98 73 102 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 JORNADA RANGE 61 98 60 102 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 HATCH 66 100 63 103 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 COLUMBUS 72 98 70 101 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 OROGRANDE 68 101 67 104 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 MAYHILL 56 87 57 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 MESCALERO 55 86 54 90 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 TIMBERON 53 84 55 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 WINSTON 58 89 58 92 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 HILLSBORO 65 93 64 96 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 SPACEPORT 65 96 64 99 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 LAKE ROBERTS 55 89 52 94 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 HURLEY 63 92 62 96 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 CLIFF 61 97 58 101 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 MULE CREEK 50 92 49 96 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 FAYWOOD 64 91 62 95 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 ANIMAS 68 99 68 102 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 HACHITA 66 98 64 101 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 ANTELOPE WELLS 67 99 67 103 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 CLOVERDALE 60 94 59 98 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 22/26 TRIPOLI/GRZYWACZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 600 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011215- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 600 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...TODAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED DECREASING MOISTURE AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD CAP ANY THUNDERSTORMS WHICH TRY TO DEVELOP TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT AND DRY AIR WILL LIMIT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED TRIPLE DIGITS OVER THE LOWLANDS EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DRY AIR AND BREEZY AFTERNOONS LATE IN THE PERIOD WILL EXACERBATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. NOTE: BEGINNING TOMORROW...JUNE 1...THE INITIAL DAILY ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT WILL BE NLT 1100 AM MDT. UPDATES WILL CONTINUE ON AN AS-NEEDED BASIS. MACBLAIN
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
17 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe(D2) drought continued through the month of June. The Cooperative Observer at Gila Hot Springs reported 0.26 inches of precipitation which was 0.37 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month of June.
Severe(D2) drought conditions remained in place through the entire month.
Extreme(D3) drought persisted over the southeastern portion of the zone while Severe(D2) drought continued for the remainder of the zone. The Cooperative Observer at Redrock reported 0.37 inches of precipitation which was 0.07 inches below normal.
Extreme(D3) drought continued for the eastern half of the zone while Severe(D2) drought remained for the west. The Cooperative Observer at Antelope Wells reported 0.17 inches of precipitation which was 0.51 inches below normal.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Severe(D3) drought while the western half was in Severe(D2) drought.
The southwestern two-thirds of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the remainder of the zone stayed in Severe(D2) drought. The Deming ASOS reported 0.11 inches of precipitation which was 0.33 inches below normal.
Severe(D2) drought continued through the month of June. The Hillsboro Cooperative Observer reported just 0.06 inches of rain which was 0.63 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month of June. The Truth or Consequences ASOS reported only 0.02 inches of precipitation which was 0.57 inches below normal.
The zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month of June. The Jornada Range Cooperative Observer reported 0.05 inches of precipitation which was 0.55 inches below normal.
Severe(D2) drought continued across the entire zone. There was just 0.04 inches of precipitation reported by the Cooperative Observer at New Mexico State University. This amount was 0.55 inches below normal.
Severe(D2) drought remained in place across the entire zone during the month of June. There was no precipitation reported by the Cooperative Observer at White Sands National Monument which was 0.71 inches below normal.
The northern half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought while the south was just in a Moderate(D1) drought. The Orogrande Cooperative Observer reported no precipitation which was 0.93 inches below normal.
A very dry month in the Sacramento Mountains kept the zone in Extreme(D3) drought south and Severe(D2) drought north. The Mountain Park Cooperative Observer reported 0.07 inches of precipitation which was 1.19 inches below normal.
The southern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the northern half remained in Severe(D2) drought. The Cloudcroft Cooperative Observer reported just 0.09 inches of precipitation which was 2.01 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought through the month of June.
The northern half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought while the south remained in Moderate(D1) drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 522286, 522287, 522290, 522302, 522303, 522304, 522307, 522308, 522309, 522310, 522311, 522312, 522313, 522314, 522315, 522316, 522317.