High Wind in Nevada, December 11 to 12, 2014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
413 AM PST THU DEC 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A MOIST PACIFIC WINTER STORM WILL SLOWLY PUSH EAST
TODAY...BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS NEVADA. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE IN NEVADA THROUGHOUT THE FRIDAY TIME FRAME
WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW. ACCUMULATING SNOW AND TRAVEL IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF NEVADA FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER HAS
SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING...OUT AHEAD OF A MOIST
STORM SYSTEM THAT IS STILL OUT IN THE PACIFIC.

FOR TODAY...EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AS
PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN. GEFS ANOMALIES ARE STILL PINGING THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
(LANDER/EUREKA...WHITE PINE...AND NORTHERN NYE COUNTIES). MADE NO
CHANGES TO THE WIND ADVISORY THAT IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...SHOULD BE A MILD NIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BREEZY TO WINDY AS WELL. MODELS ARE
SHOWING THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS MOVING ONTO THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FOR NORTHERN NEVADA...COLDER AIR WILL BE
INFILTRATING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH CORRESPONDING SNOW LEVELS
DROPPING TO THE VALLEY FLOORS WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATER
PORTIONS OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME...MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO SHOW A FRONTOGENETIC BAND
SETTING UP ACROSS PORTIONS OF LANDER/EUREKA...WHITE PINE...AND
NORTHERN NYE COUNTIES. CROSS SECTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT
MICROPHYSICS THROUGH THE COLUMN AND MODEST INSTABILITY. AMOUNTS IN
THE VALLEY LOCATIONS IN THIS AREA ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 4 TO 9
INCHES OR SO...WITH ABOUT 12 TO 18 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. A
WINTER STORM WATCH WAS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED AND WILL CONTINUE TO
PROCEED ALONG THIS LINE OF THINKING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH JUST BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER
THE AREA. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS WHITE PINE COUNTY...WHERE WIND
SPEEDS AT THIS TIME ARE BORDERLINE ADVISORY CONDITIONS.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE LIGHT...WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY. HIGHS ARE
ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL OVER THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. READINGS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS. LOOK FOR DRY
CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AS A TRANSITORY RIDGE SKIRTS OVER THE AREA.
ANOTHER TROUGH PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING
CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO WESTERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTH THROUGH
CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
SHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS NEVADA. MUCH
LIGHTER QPF AMOUNTS FOR FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING SYSTEM
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
18Z. WINDS S-SE15-25G40KT EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE
WINDS WILL BRING BLDU AND REDUCTIONS TO MVFR CONDITIONS AT KWMC
AND KEKO. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY-
NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN
EUREKA COUNTY-NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY-RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST
HUMBOLDT RANGE-SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY
AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY-WHITE PINE
COUNTY.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR WHITE PINE COUNTY.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY-SOUTHERN
LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY.

&&

86/90/90/86