Heavy Rain, Hall
- When
- June 14, 6:00 AM CST to June 15, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Hall County, Grand Is
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 40.920, -98.350
A storm total rainfall amount of 3.27 inches was reported.
During a month that had several rounds of severe weather in South Central Nebraska, what transpired on this Saturday evening into the very early morning of Sunday the 15th was likely one of the most significant severe weather events of the entire 2014 convective season, especially in terms of widespread wind damage that raked from west-to-east through most locations near and south of Interstate…
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
During a month that had several rounds of severe weather in South Central Nebraska, what transpired on this Saturday evening into the very early morning of Sunday the 15th was likely one of the most significant severe weather events of the entire 2014 convective season, especially in terms of widespread wind damage that raked from west-to-east through most locations near and south of Interstate 80 during the later evening. Earlier in the event, more discrete convection resulted primarily in numerous reports of severe-criteria hail, some as large as tennis ball to grapefruit size, along with four confirmed, brief EF0 tornadoes that yielded no reports of damage. The first of these tornadoes occurred in northwestern Franklin County near Hildreth around 730 pm CDT. The other three tornadoes were associated with a supercell storm that drifted northeast out of Kansas along a path from Webster to Hamilton counties before being absorbed into a larger line of convection. The first of these tornadoes was sighted in far southwestern Webster County around 830 pm CDT while the final two brief touchdowns occurred after nightfall in southwestern Hamilton County between Trumbull and Giltner between 1000-1030 pm CDT. In terms of hail, the largest confirmed stone of 4.25 fell three miles southeast of Hastings around 930 pm CDT. Other notable hail reports included stones up to baseball size along the Nance-Merrick County line, in and near Gibbon, near Ayr and in Arapahoe. However, in terms of widespread damage, the aforementioned severe squall line that rolled across roughly the southern half of the 24-county area later in the evening ended up being the big story of this event. Based on known wind and damage reports (which likely only represented a fraction of the total, individual instances of storm damage across the area), this north-to-south oriented squall line produced a swath of 60-90 MPH gusts through essentially all areas between Interstate 80 and the Kansas border. In addition to several estimated severe wind speeds, a few of the most intense measured gusts included 82 MPH by a storm chaser near the Interstate 80 York exit, 79 MPH at Hastings airport, and 76 MPH at home weather stations near Davenport and Ohiowa. Needless to say, a significant amount of wind damage occurred with this squall line as it uprooted or mangled countless trees and also damaged several structures, including outbuildings, grain bins and power poles. To cite just a few examples of this damage as it progressed from west to east: at Harlan County Lake at least four small boats were rammed into the shore and a camping trailer was overturned onto a vehicle, in Guide Rock a garage was blown off its foundation and partially onto a roadway, and at the Nuckolls County fairgrounds in Nelson a tin roof was removed from a barn, the roof of the arena was damaged and a camper was flipped on its side. Due to the fairly progressive nature of most storms, rainfall totals across much of South Central Nebraska did not exceed 1-2 inches. However, a southwest-to-northeast corridor of 2-3 and locally higher rainfall centered roughly 15 miles either side of a line from Wilcox-Grand Island-Genoa, featuring NeRAIN observer totals of 4.13 three miles west-southwest of Genoa and 4.06 two miles of Doniphan.
Breaking down event timing, the initial round of at least semi-discrete convection, including a few supercells, flared up between 530-730 pm CDT within a fairly narrow southwest-to-northeast oriented corridor along a slow-moving but well-defined cold front. Most of this early convection concentrated several miles either side of a line from near Franklin and Red Cloud in the south, then north-northeast through the Hastings-Grand Island-Central City-Fullerton areas. Generally between 730-930 pm CDT, this initially narrow corridor of storms gradually expanded in coverage to both the west and east. Then, even as ongoing convection remained strong to severe, the leading edges of the incoming, intense squall line raced out of southwest Nebraska, entering southwestern portions of the local area between 930-1030 pm CDT. For the next few hours generally between 1030 pm to 1 am CDT, this fierce, bowing line raced across the remainder of roughly the southern half of South Central Nebraska, while the far northern end of the line gradually merged with the earlier convection that had largely lifted north of Interstate 80 by this time and had weakened somewhat. Finally, between 1-2 am CDT, the line of severe storms cleared the far eastern edges of the local area near the Highway 81 corridor, leaving behind only a trailing zone of stratiform rain that lingered into the pre-dawn hours.
On the synoptic scale, this was a fairly classic June setup for significant severe, as a progressive mid level shortwave trough kicked out of the Rockies and into the Central Plains, rotating around the southeast periphery of a parent closed low anchored over the Montana/Saskatchewan border area. As this occurred, strengthening and increasingly-diffluent mid-upper southwesterly flow overspread the local area. At the surface, a slow-moving cold front edged eastward into South Central Nebraska during the day, embedded within an elongated 992-996 millibar low pressure center stretched from western Kansas into eastern Nebraska by early evening. During the late-afternoon to mid-evening time frame, temperatures gradually decreased from highs in the upper-80s to lower-90s F while dewpoints generally held in the mid-60s F. Mesoscale severe weather parameters during the early-mid evening featured 2000-3000 J/kg mixed layer CAPE in the presence of 40-60 knots of 0-6 kilometer deep layer vertical wind shear. As the evening wore on, low level shear intensified as the nose of a 50-60 knot low level jet focused into the area. This severe weather outbreak was well-anticipated a few days in advance at both the local WFO level as well as by the Storm Prediction Center, which already placed most of South Central Nebraska in a Moderate Risk on the Day 2 outlooks 24-48 hours in advance and maintained/expanded the Moderate Risk area into the Day 1 period.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 4:44 AM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
544 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 518 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014
THE OBVIOUS PARAMOUNT CONCERN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS CLEARLY
REMAINS ON THE MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE CWA PER THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC) DAY 1
OUTLOOK. ALTHOUGH THE MODERATE RISK TECHNICALLY HIGHLIGHTS
LOCATIONS MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A GREELEY-ALMA LINE (INCLUDING KS
ZONES)...THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA IN THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS STILL
VERY MUCH IN THE SURROUNDING SLIGHT RISK AREA. OVERALL LITTLE HAS
CHANGED SINCE 24 HOURS AGO REGARDING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS...AS THIS SHOULD PREDOMINANTLY BE A LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING
WIND EVENT. WHILE A FEW TORNADOES CERTAINLY CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ESPECIALLY WITH ANY MORE ISOLATED SUPERCELLS THAT MIGHT DEVELOP
EARLY IN THE EVENT...AM GENERALLY EXPECTING A TENDENCY TOWARD
DECENT STORM OUTFLOW AND EVENTUAL UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A MORE
WIDESPREAD LINE/COMPLEX/MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (MCS) OF SOME
SORT TO DIMINISH THE TORNADO THREAT. IN OTHER WORDS...AM THINKING
THIS IS A "LOWER END" 10 PERCENT TORNADO PROBABILITY CURRENTLY
ADVERTISED IN THE SPC DAY 1 OUTLOOK. AS THIS EVENT GROWS
NEARER...SOME QUESTIONS ARE ALSO STARTING TO ARISE IN SOME OF THE
VERY SHORT TERM/HIGHER-RES MODELS REGARDING JUST HOW LONG IT MIGHT
TAKE TO GET SEVERE CONVECTION GOING. MOST OF THESE MODELS STRONGLY
SUGGEST IT WILL PROBABLY BE SOMETIME IN THE 5-7 PM TIME FRAME AT
THE EARLIEST THAT FORCING/FRONTAL CONVERGENCE IS ABLE TO OVERCOME
STRONG CAPPING...AND EVEN THEN IT MIGHT BE MORE INTO THE 8-10 PM
TIME FRAME BEFORE THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA AWAY FROM THE INITIAL
DEVELOPMENT SEES MUCH OF ANYTHING. OBVIOUSLY THE NEXT SHIFT WILL
BE FINE-TUNING POPS AS THE DAY WEARS ON...BUT AT LEAST FOR NOW
HAVE TRIED TO DOWNPLAY THE LATE AFTERNOON PERIOD A BIT MORE...AND
HAVE FOCUSED THE OVERALL-HIGHEST 60-80 POPS GENERALLY DURING THE
8PM-3AM TIME FRAME FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA. THE TAKE-AWAY
MESSAGE HERE IS THAT PEOPLE SHOULD NOT BE EXPECTING STORMS/SEVERE
WEATHER UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE DAY IF NOT MORE SO THIS EVENING.
OF SECONDARY CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT HEADLINE-WORTHY
NONETHELESS...HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS
SUSTAINED AROUND 30 MPH TODAY FOR ROUGHLY THE SOUTHEAST 1/3 OF THE
CWA...INCLUDING MOST AREAS SOUTHEAST OF A YORK-NELSON-STOCKTON
LINE.
STARTING OFF EARLY THIS MORNING...SOME FAIRLY WEAK
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND IN SOME WAYS NOTHING MORE THAN GLORIFIED
SPRINKLES HAVE FINALLY LIT UP ALONG A NORTH-SOUTH AXIS ACROSS
WESTERN NEB...AND ALTHOUGH AM NOT EXPECTING THIS VERY ELEVATED
ACTIVITY ROOTED ABOVE A STOUT CAP TO BECOME SEVERE AS IT GRADUALLY
WORKS EAST-NORTHEAST INTO AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WILL AT
LEAST CONTINUE TO CARRY A BLANKET 20 POP AREA-WIDE THROUGH 12/7AM
TO COVER THE POTENTIAL. IT IS POSSIBLE SLIGHT POPS MAY NEED TO BE
CONTINUED INTO THE MID-MORNING HOURS WITHIN EASTERN ZONES...BUT
WILL RE-EVALUATE THIS IN A FEW HOURS.
ONCE THIS EARLY-MORNING CONVECTION FADES AWAY OR MOVES OFF INTO
EASTERN NEB AND POINTS NORTH...EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY TO
GENERALLY AVERAGE PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY TO WINDY AS DIURNAL
MIXING ENHANCES THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE EAST OF THE
SEASONABLY STRONG SURFACE LOW...WHICH IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER
THE NEB/KS/CO BORDER AREA AT AROUND 994 MILLIBARS...AND IS PROGGED
TO BE CENTERED NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE CWA BY EARLY
AFTERNOON...AND THEN FOCUSING MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOCAL
AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH AXIS/COLD FRONT EXTENDING
NORTH-NORTHEAST FROM THE LOW STEADILY PUSHES ACROSS THE CWA IN
RESPONSE TO THE STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND UPPER JET
STREAK TRANSLATING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE STRONG
CAPPING...WOULD FIND IT VERY UNLIKELY THAT SEVERE CONVECTION WILL
DEVELOP AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE...AND ALTHOUGH ITS
VERY HARD TO PINPOINT A "FIRING LINE" EVEN 12-15 HOURS
OUT...MODELS SUCH AS THE RAP13 AND 4KM WRF-NMM SUGGEST PLACES
WITHIN 25 MILES OF A GREELEY-KEARNEY-PHILLIPSBURG LINE ARE MOST
FAVORED FOR THE INITIAL ROUND OF SEVERE CONVECTION...WHICH IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP IN A RIPE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY UPWARDS
OF 3000 J/KG MIXED LAYER CAPE AND 40-50KT OF DEEP LAYER WIND
SHEAR. WOULD TEND TO THINK THIS ACTIVITY WOULD FAVOR OUTFLOW-
DOMINANCE AFTER A TIME GIVEN THE PRESSING COLD FRONT AND LIKELY
AROUND 20 DEGREE LOW LEVEL TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS. AGAIN
THOUGH...THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIM-MODEST TORNADO THREAT GIVEN THE
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR INCREASING INTO THE 15-25KT RANGE BY EARLY-
MID EVENING...AND THIS INCLUDES BRIEF SPINUPS WITHIN A POTENTIALLY
QUASI-LINEAR STORM MODE. ONE THING THAT IS YET-UNCLEAR IS HOW LONG
THIS INITIAL DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT WILL BE THE "MAIN SHOW"
BEFORE IT EITHER GROWS UPSCALE ON ITS OWN...OR IS POTENTIALLY
JOINED BY A SEPARATE CLUSTER/COMPLEX OF STORMS RACING EAST OUT OF
WESTERN NEB/NORTHWEST KS...A SCENARIO SUPPORTED BY SEVERAL MODELS.
THIS PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR UPSCALE GROWTH/MERGING OF STORM
COMPLEXES WOULD PRIMARILY FOCUS BETWEEN 10PM-1AM...WITH STORMS
THEN MAKING A POTENTIALLY FASTER-THAN-EXPECTED EASTWARD EXIT OUT
OF THE CWA BY 3-4 AM...AND BE LONG GONE BY SUNRISE.
NOT TO BE LOST IN THE SHUFFLE...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MUCH OF
THE CWA TO SEE A QUICK 1-2+ INCHES OF RAIN...WHICH COULD CAUSE
MAINLY THE USUAL SHORT TERM LOWLAND/URBAN FLOODING ISSUES. THE
WELL-SPACED CONVECTIVE EVENTS LATELY HOWEVER HAVE LARGELY ALLOWED
MUCH OF THE AREA TO DRY OUT/RECOVER ENOUGH IN BETWEEN
EVENTS...KEEPING HIGHER-END FLOODING CONCERNS TO A RELATIVE
MINIMUM.
MADE OVERALL LITTLE CHANGE TO HIGH TEMPS TODAY...AS ASSUMING THAT
ANY MORNING CLOUDS TO NOT END UP BEING MORE STUBBORN THAN
EXPECTED...AM AIMING MOST OF THE CWA INTO THE UPPER 80S/LOW 90S
AND MID 90S IN SOUTHWEST ZONES. NUDGED DOWN LOWS TONIGHT A FEW
DEGREES...RANGING FROM LOW-MID 50S WEST TO UPPER 50S EAST.
.MID TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 518 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014
FATHERS DAY SUNDAY IS LOOKING TO BE A PRETTY NICE DAY. MODELS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN
PLACE NEAR THE MT/SD/CAN BORDER SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE
ACCOMPANYING TROUGH AXIS CONTINUING TO PUSH EAST. EXPECTING ANY
LINGERING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO HAVE SHIFTED EAST OF THE
CWA...AND WHILE THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS ZONAL ACROSS THE
REGION...WE ARE SITTING IN THE WAKE OF THIS LAST SYSTEM...SO KEPT
THE DRY FORECAST GOING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE IN DURING THE DAY...MAINLY CENTERED TO
THE S/SW OF THE CWA...BRINGING MORE WESTERLY WINDS...WITH SPEEDS
GENERALLY ARND 10 MPH. ALONG WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER
EXPECTED...THE COOLER AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAKE FOR
PLEASANT CONDITIONS...WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO TOP OUT IN THE
LOWER/MID 80S.
THE SUNDAY EVENING HOURS REMAIN DRY...AS DOES THE 06-12Z PERIOD AT
THIS TIME...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THAT LATER PERIOD IS NOT HIGH. MODELS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE
PAC NW REGION. MODELS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR A LOWER AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE EJECTED OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN LOW TO CROSS THE
REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME DIFFERENCES WITH
TIMING/LOCATION OF QPF...DOES IT START MOVING INTO THE CWA ALREADY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR HOLD OFF UNTIL POST 12Z. INHERITED A DRY
FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND KEPT IT THAT WAY UNLESS MODELS CONTINUE
TRENDING TOWARD THE NEED FOR POPS. KEPT THE HIGHER POPS GOING
DURING THE DAY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...AND CONFINED TO ROUGHLY
THE NRN THIRD OR SO OF THE CWA. WHILE POTENTIALLY NOT AFFECTING A
LARGE AREA OF THE CWA...IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP...WILL HAVE TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR/INSTABILITY. LATEST MODELS TRENDING TOWARD
THINGS DRYING OUT POST 06Z MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...SHOULD BE A
BREEZY DAY ON MONDAY...WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS THANKS TO LOW
PRESSURE SET UP JUST WEST OF THE CWA. DID INCREASE TEMPERATURES A
BIT...WITH WARMER AIR ALOFT WASTING NO TIME BUILDING BACK IN FROM
THE S AND W...WITH FORECAST HIGHS NOW CLOSER TO THE MET/MAV...
GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 90S.
.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 518 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014
ADMITTEDLY DID NOT DEVOTE THE "USUAL" ATTENTION TO THIS DAY 4-7
TIME FRAME GIVEN THE MORE PRESSING SHORTER TERM CONCERNS. TAKING A
BROAD OVERVIEW OF THIS PERIOD THOUGH...THERE WAS GENERALLY LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF NOTICEABLE CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
TEMP-WISE...TUES/WED ARE LOOKING LIKE THE WARMEST OF THESE 4 DAYS
WITH HIGHS IN MOST LOCATIONS BETWEEN THE UPPER 80S-LOW 90S...WHILE
THURS/FRI TREND A BIT COOLER WITH GENERALLY LOW-MID 80S. OF THESE
7 FORECAST PERIODS...ONLY TWO OF THEM ARE CURRENTLY VOID OF ANY
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM MENTION AT LEAST FOR NOW...THOSE BEING TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY DAYTIME. OTHERWISE...A SMATTERING OF 20-30 POPS
BLANKET MOST/ALL OF THE CWA DURING THE TUES NIGHT AND WED NIGHT-
FRI TIME FRAMES...WITH THE WED NIGHT-THURS PERIOD VERY
PRELIMINARILY LOOKING LIKE THE NEXT POSSIBLE SHOT AT MORE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY/POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER FOLLOWING
THE MON/MON NIGHT POTENTIAL DESCRIBED ABOVE. FROM AN OVERALL
LARGE-SCALE PERSPECTIVE...BOTH THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS ARE IN DECENT
AGREEMENT FOR TUES-WED WITH BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AS A LARGER SCALE TROUGH/CLOSED LOW SLOWLY
MIGRATES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS. WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPS/CAPPING SHOULD SERVE TO KEEP MOST OF THIS TIME FRAME DRY.
THEN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE ESPECIALLY FOR THE WED NIGHT-
THURS TIME FRAME AS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM
KICKS EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND SENDS
THROUGH A MODEST SURFACE COLD FRONT. IF MODEL TRENDS HAPPEN TO
HOLD FAIRLY STEADY...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE 20-30 POPS FOR
FRIDAY EVENTUALLY GET REMOVED AS CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS PLACES
THE MAIN FORCING EAST OF THE CWA BY THEN.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z GRI TAF THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 544 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014
GOING WITH PERSISTENCE FOR THE MOST PART WITH THE TAF. CURRENT
SATELLITE SHOTS SHOWING SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS SO WILL JUST HINT
AT THE POSSIBILITY WITH A SCT LAYER. VAD WIND PROFILE STILL
SHOWING 50KT JET AROUND 800FT AND WILL KEEP IT IN THE TAF THIS
MORNING. THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY TODAY AND WILL SHIFT MORE
WESTERLY AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. STILL
CONTINUING TO GO WITH VCTS BUT PUSHED BACK TO 22Z AS MODELS ARE
HINTING AT A SLIGHTLY LATER START TO CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR NEZ064-076-077-086-087.
KS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR KSZ007-017>019.
&&
SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH
LONG TERM...PFANNKUCH
AVIATION...BEDAHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 636 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 151200- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 636 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THROUGH AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY WITHIN NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS MORNING ACTIVITY...ISOLATED SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY SHOULD THEN BE STORM-FREE AND WINDY OUT OF THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE AREA WILL OBSERVED SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...THE MOST FAVORED AREA FOR SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL FOCUS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM YORK TO NELSON NEBRASKA...TO STOCKTON KANSAS...WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM. BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING...LIKELY BETWEEN 5 PM AND 8 PM...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ALONG A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL OR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE...AND POSSIBLY EVOLVE INTO ONE OR TWO LARGER COMPLEXES THAT SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE EVENTUALLY DEPARTING TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AS ESPECIALLY THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO AROUND TENNIS BALL SIZE OR LARGER...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES. AS THE EVENING WEARS ON...LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN A THREAT...BUT THE PRIMARY HAZARDS SHOULD TREND TOWARDS DAMAGING WINDS UP TO AROUND 70 MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES...WHICH COULD PROMOTE MAINLY MINOR...SHORT TERM FLOODING ISSUES. IN ADDITION TO OTHER HAZARDS TODAY AND TONIGHT...MINOR FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE PLATTE RIVER IN WEST-CENTRAL DAWSON COUNTY...MAINLY UPSTREAM OF COZAD...AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THE MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME...THERE ARE SEVERAL...OFF-AND-ON...GENERALLY LOW-CONFIDENCE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE OUTLOOK AREA. ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WITH MUCH CERTAINTY...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT SOME STORMS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN LIMITED PARTS OF THE AREA...AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON A MORE WIDESPREAD BASIS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE) PFANNKUCH
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:00 UTC.
30 hail, 30 thunderstorm wind, 6 heavy rain, 4 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A storm total rainfall amount of 3.27 inches was reported.
A storm total rainfall amount of 4.13 inches was reported by NeRAIN observer.
A storm total rainfall amount of 4.06 inches was reported by NeRAIN observer.
A storm total rainfall amount of 3.32 inches was reported by NeRAIN observer.
A storm total rainfall amount of 3.52 inches was reported by NeRAIN observer.
A storm total rainfall amount of 3.20 inches was reported by NeRAIN observer.
Hail ranging in size from quarters to golf balls was reported in Grand Island.
This tornado touched down approximately 3 miles south-southwest of Hildreth and caused no damage.
Hail ranging in size from golf balls to baseballs was reported from 2 miles south of Gibbon to the west edge of Gibbon.
This tornado touched down approximately 3 miles southwest of Inavale and caused no damage.
Quarter size hail was reported near Interstate 80.
Golf ball size hail broke the windshield of the trained spotter.
Hail ranged in size from half dollar to baseball.
Hail ranged in size from quarter to hen egg.
Hail ranged in size from golf ball to baseball.
One oblong stone measured near softball size. The entire spectrum of hail sizes occurred, with the average size of the largest hailstones being 2.5 inches. Pea size hail started falling around 9:25 p.m. CDT.
A line of thunderstorms moved through Furnas County, with wind gusts estimated as high as 80 MPH. There was a measured gust of 60 MPH near Edison at 10:14 p.m. CDT. Across roughly the northern half of Furnas County, power poles and large tree limbs were downed, with some trees completely blown over. A barn was destroyed approximately 7 miles south of Cambridge. The town of Arapahoe lost power.
Ping pong to golf ball size hail was reported.
A line of thunderstorms moved through Furnas County, with wind gusts estimated as high as 80 MPH. Along this path, power poles and large tree limbs were downed and some buildings sustained damage. In Hendley, 2 empty grain bins located at the town's elevator were destroyed.
This brief tornado touchdown occurred approximately 5 miles south-southwest of Giltner. No damage was reported.
Winds estimated to at least 65 MPH knocked branches out of trees, overturned an irrigation pivot and damaged an outbuilding.
This brief tornado touchdown occurred approximately 3 miles west-southwest of Giltner. No damage was reported.
The line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up near 80 MPH continued into Harlan County. Damage was reported in the Alma, Republican City and Harlan County Dam areas. Large tree limbs near 8 to 12 inches in diameter were downed. On the south side of Harlan County Lake near Patterson Harbor, a shelter and dock for multiple boats were damaged and at least 4 boats were rammed onto the shore. A camping trailer was blown over onto a vehicle. In Republican City, another trailer with a pontoon boat was blown onto its side.
Wind gusts were estimated near 60 MPH. Tree limbs around 5 inches in diameter were downed.
Wind gusts estimated to reach near 80 MPH at times moved through the county, resulting in numerous overturned irrigation pivots and downed trees.
Wind gusts were estimated to be near 60 MPH.
This wind gust was measured by a Nebraska Department of Roads mesonet site.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH resulted in very large tree branches being downed in Upland, causing power outages.
Wind gusts were estimated between 60 and 70 MPH.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. Numerous power poles were downed in the Inavale, Red Cloud and Guide Rock areas. Power outages were also reported. Several trees, including ones large in diameter, were damage or uprooted. In Guide Rock, a garage was blown off its foundation partially onto a roadway.
Wind gusts were estimated to be 80 MPH. Power was out in Holstein and some shingles were blown off roofs.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. A large tree was downed in Fairfield.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. Damage was reported in the Inland, Clay Center and Saronville areas, including large trees being downed, with one ending up across the westbound lane of Highway 6.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. A large tree, with a diameter of approximately 20 inches, was downed in Trumbull.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. Damage reported in Superior included windows being blown out and transformers downed.
A tree fell on and damaged a home on the west side of Hastings.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. In Nelson, trees were reported down, including one that fell on a house and pickup, causing extensive damage to the house. At the fairgrounds, a tin roof was removed from a barn, and a couple its trusses were damaged. The roof of the arena was damaged and a camper was flipped on it side.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up to 80 MPH moved across the county. A measured gust of 76 MPH was recorded by a mesonet site 2 miles north-northeast of Davenport. Tree damage was reported in the Carleton and Bruning areas, with tree limbs up to 2 feet in diameter blown down.
Wind gusts were estimated at 60 MPH.
A line of thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts near 65 MPH moved across the county. Tree damage was reported in McCool Junction, including large limbs up to 15 inches in diameter.
This 63 MPH wind gust was measured on a mobile wind instrument.
Tree branches up to 6 inches in diameter were downed in Hebron.
This wind gust of 71 MPH was measured by a mobile wind instrument. Power flashes were also observed.
A wind gust of 82 MPH was measured approximately 1 mile south of the York interchange of Interstate 80.
Wind gusts between 60 and 70 MPH were reported in York.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Nebraska, 2014Warnings in Nebraska, June 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 523971, 523974, 523977, 523978, 523979, 531944, 519995, 519996, 519997, 520000, 520002, 520003, 519749, 520004, 520005, 519752, 520016, 520009, 520011, 520014, 520012, 520013, 523884, 523891, 523876, 523916, 523902, 524453, 523924, 524451, 524454, 519758, 523947, 524452, 523957, 533349, 519762, 523954, 524456, 524459, and more.