Nebraska, 2014

Winter Weather in Nebraska, December 15, 2014

December 15, 2014 · NWS GID · 9 events in 9 counties and zones

Although minor accumulation persisted well into the day across parts of South Central Nebraska on Monday the 15th, one of the first impactful snow events of the 2014-15 winter season occurred mainly during the pre-dawn hours as generally 1-4 inches of fairly wet snow targeted several counties primarily west of the Highway 281 corridor. m.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.

Although minor accumulation persisted well into the day across parts of South Central Nebraska on Monday the 15th, one of the first impactful snow events of the 2014-15 winter season occurred mainly during the pre-dawn hours as generally 1-4 inches of fairly wet snow targeted several counties primarily west of the Highway 281 corridor. Within this area, locations roughly 15 miles either side of a line from Ord-Elm Creek-Oxford received the most concentrated swath of steady, wind-blown snow, the majority of which fell between 2-8 a.m. Even more specifically, some of the overall-worst early-morning travel conditions focused within a narrow, north-south oriented snow band over Phelps and western Buffalo counties. Including the generally light accumulation that lingered well into the day, a few of the top storm total snowfall totals from NWS cooperative observers featured 4.0 in Ord, 2.5 in Arcadia, 2.5 six miles north-northwest of Oxford and 1.5 at Holdrege. In addition, a social media report yielded 3.0 four miles south of Odessa. While actual amounts were not overly-significant in most places, the briefly-intense snowfall rates caused some issues, especially given that sustained north-northwest wind averaged 20-25 MPH while gusting up to around 40 MPH.

Prior to colder air building down from the north and changing precipitation over to snow on the 15th, most of the afternoon and evening of Sunday the 14th featured scattered showers and even a few rare December thunderstorms within South Central Nebraska. Some places also experienced a fairly brief period of freezing rain and/or sleet during the overnight transition from rain to snow. In the big picture of the mid and upper levels, this event was driven by a powerful, nearly vertically-stacked, closed low pressure system that tracked from southwest-to-northeast across Kansas over the course of the night. Given that South Central Nebraska remained north and eventually northwest of the surface low this entire time, increasingly-strong north-northwest wind ushered increasingly-colder air into the area. As often occurs to the northwest of a well-organized low pressure system, the primary north-south oriented snow band focused within an area of enhanced low to mid level frontogenesis/deformation.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 12:51 AM CST, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 12:51 AM CST, 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1251 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

BEEN HERE 2.5 HOURS...AND STILL TRYING TO GET A HANDLE ON THE
TRICKY ONGOING WEATHER SITUATION. THE ONLY P0RTION OF THE
FORECAST THAT HAS BEEN OFFICIALLY UPDATED SO FAR IS THROUGH
12Z/6AM. IN BRIEF...HERE ARE THE MAIN NOTES/CHANGES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT:

1) ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE NIGHT FOR INITIALLY ABOUT THE SOUTHEAST 1/2...AND
LATER IN THE NIGHT ROUGHLY ONLY THE SOUTHEAST 1/3 OF THE CWA. A
NARROW TONGUE OF MOST-UNSTABLE CAPE UP TO A POSSIBLY A FEW
HUNDRED J/KG LINGERS OVER THIS AREA...AND ALTHOUGH THUNDER
POTENTIAL SHOULD BE WANING WITH TIME...THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DID
NOT APPEAR TO LINGER THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER QUITE LONG ENOUGH.

2) THE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN SHOWERS TO SNOW...AND
LIKELY AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET IN BETWEEN...IS STILL A
BIT MURKY AND THUS REFRAINED FROM GETTING TOO SPECIFIC IN THE
WEATHER GRIDS BY GOING WITH 3-HOURLY RESOLUTION.
INTERESTINGLY...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT SEEMS TO BE PUSHING
THROUGH THE CWA A BIT FASTER THAN PROGGED...BUT WITH COLDER AIR
ALOFT LAGGING BEHIND A BIT...ITS POSSIBLE SLEET COULD BE A BIT
MORE PREVALENT IN WESTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT. AT ANY RATE...ONLY
MINIMAL TOTAL ACCUMULUATION OF SNOW/SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH 6AM
EVEN IN THE ADVISORY AREA...AND KEPT AMOUNTS THERE UNDER 1/2 INCH
THROUGH THAT TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2014

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS THE SURFACE LOW IN SOUTHWEST
KANSAS/SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TOWARD THE NORTH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA. RADAR
HAS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WORKING INTO THE SOUTHWEST PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

THE UPPER LOW IN WESTERN KANSAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST
AND JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE SURFACE LOW IS
FOLLOWING A SIMILAR TRACK. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ON MONDAY THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST AND
GRADUALLY STARTS TO MOVE THE PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE AREA.

THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING. RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. THE
FAR NORTHWEST WILL BE THE AREA TO FIRST SEE A CHANGE IN
PRECIPITATION TYPE. IN THE FAR NORTHWEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET BEFORE GRADUALLY MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO
SNOW DURING THE NIGHT TIME HOURS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAVE A WARM
NOSE ALOFT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MORE SLEET TO START WITH THEN CHANGE
TO SNOW AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. BY MORNING THE SNOW
AND SLEET WILL HAVE PROGRESSED A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE EAST.

ON MONDAY THE COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AND EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO FALL MOST OF THE DAY. GRADUALLY THE RAIN WILL GIVE
WAY TO SLEET AND SNOW AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA DURING
THE DAY. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST THE CHANCES FOR
SNOW DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

THE MOST SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A LINE
FROM GREELEY TO LEXINGTON NEBRASKA WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
AROUND A HALF INCH OR LESS IS EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF THAT AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THERE COULD BE
SOME BLOWING SNOW AROUND WITH THE STRONG WINDS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIODS ARE LOOKING UNSETTLED IN A FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN...AND THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AMONG THE EXTENDED
MODELS ON THE TIMING OF THE WAVES.

STARTING MONDAY NIGHT...ANY LINGERING SNOW WILL BE COMING TO AN END AS
THE UPPER SYSTEM DEPARTS INTO ILLINOIS.  A 1030MB SURFACE HIGH
SETTLES IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WHICH WILL
REINFORCE THE COLDER AIRMASS AND RESULT IN TEMPERATURES MORE TYPICAL
OF WINTER/DECEMBER.  MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW CLOUDS TO
IMPACT A PORTION OF OUR NORTHEAST ZONES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY
WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPS COLDER THAN SOUTHERN AREAS.  BY TUESDAY
NIGHT...THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EASTWARD WITH LIGHT WINDS OR
LIGHT RETURN FLOW SETTING UP W/E TOWARD DAYBREAK.  HAVE SOME
CONCERNS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT ON THE EDGE OF THE
STRATUS/LOW CLOUDS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.  THE NAM
VSBY PROGS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR VSBY RESTRICTIONS WHEREAS THE
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGEST MORE OF STRATUS/LOW CIGS THAN LOW VSBYS.
WILL MONITOR TRENDS FOR NOW BEFORE INCLUDING IN THE FORECAST JUST
YET.

WEDNESDAY SHOULD SEE SHORTWAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES.  PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE WAVE LIFTS ONTO THE PLAINS...WITH THE BETTER
CHCS FAVORING OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.  PRECIPITATION CHANCES CARRY
THROUGH THE WORKWEEK BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW GIVEN SPREAD AMONG THE
MODELS ON TIMING...STRENGTH AND PLACEMENT OF WAVES...THEN NEXT
WEEKEND IS LOOKING DRY ATTM.  GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN THE OUTER
PERIODS...MADE VERY FEW CHANGES FROM THE EXTENDED INIT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

NEEDLESS TO SAY...THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE TAF PERIOD ESPECIALLY
WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION TIMING AND THE CHANGOEVER FROM RAIN
TO SNOW...ALONG WITH CEILING TRENDS...ALTHOUGH ANY WINTRY
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY BE AROUND 0.5-INCH OR LESS AT
THE TAF SITES. OPTED TO MAKE VERY LITTLE IF ANY CHANGE FROM
PREVIOUS TAF ISSUANCES DUE TO UNCERTAINTY...WITH PREVAILING
LOW-END VFR VISIBILITY BUT IFR CEILING THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD...BEFORE IMPROVING TO MVFR DURING THE LATTER 12
HOURS. CANNOT EVEN RULE OUT VFR CEILING RETURNING VERY LATE IN THE
PERIOD...BUT HAVE HELD OFF ON THIS FOR NOW. PRECIP-TYPE
WISE COULD SEE AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET AT SOME
POINT...BUT OPTED TO KEEP IT SIMPLER FOR NOW WITH SHOWERS
TRANSITIONING TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX AND EVENTUALLY LIGHT SNOW.
FORTUNATELY...CONFIDENCE IS REASONABLY HIGH IN SURFACE WIND
TRENDS...AS A FAIRLY CONSISTENT NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS INCREASING TO
GENERALLY 20-25KT AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 30KT OR
HIGHER...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR NEZ039-
     040-046-060.

KS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...PFANNKUCH
SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...FAY
AVIATION...PFANNKUCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 12:26 AM CST, 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1226 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
151200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
1226 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OF A BEAVER CITY...KEARNEY...FULLERTON
LINE IN NEBRASKA...AND INCLUDING NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. A FEW
INSTANCES OF SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

ALTHOUGH VERY LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNRISE...A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOWFALL AND PERIODIC SLEET...AS WELL
AS PERIODIC VISIBILITY RESTRICTION IN BLOWING SNOW...IS IN EFFECT
FOR DAWSON...SHERMAN...VALLEY AND GREELEY COUNTIES IN SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE AFOREMENTIONED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN
EFFECT...FOR THE SAME AREA...THROUGH 6 PM CST MONDAY. AGAIN...PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

PFANNKUCH

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Valley

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Valley forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
41.567, -98.982 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Precipitation originally switched from rain to freezing rain for about an hour or so, creating an initial slick, thin coat of ice on surfaces. Then a slow transition to sleet, then snow during the overnight hours. There did not appear to be a clear transition to snow, as precipitation types wavered back and forth for a couple of hours before switching to primarily snow. A total of 3 inches of snow occurred in Ord from a cooperative observer. Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reports ranged 2 to 3 inches in southern Valley County, to 4 to 6 inches in northern Valley County. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 8 am CST. A number of schools started late due to the wintry mix.

Winter Weather, Greeley

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 10:00 AM CST
Where
Greeley forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.567, -98.521 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reports were around 3 inches of snow in the western half of Greeley County. In Greeley, the cooperative observer reported 2.3 inches of snowfall. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 8 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Sherman

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Sherman forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
41.221, -98.976 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reports ranged from 1 to 4 inches of snow. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Dawson

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Dawson forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
40.870, -99.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Nebraska Department Of Roads (NDOR) reported that one to two inches of snowfall occurred across Dawson County. Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reports ranged from 1 to 3 inches of snow. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Gosper

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Gosper forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.515, -99.831 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The cooperative observer 8 miles south of Elwood measured 1.7 inches of snow. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Furnas

When
December 15, 1:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Furnas forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.177, -99.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Cooperative observers measured 2.5 inches of snow 6 miles north northwest of Oxford, 2.0 inches in Wilsonville, 1.5 inches in Cambridge, 1.0 inches in Beaver City, and 1.0 inches in Edison. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Buffalo

When
December 15, 2:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Buffalo forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
40.855, -99.075 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A cooperative observer measured 1.5 inches of snow in Miller. Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reports ranged from 1 to 2 inches of snow, with greater amounts in the western part of Buffalo County, where a heavier band of snow set up. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Interstate 80 (eastbound) at the Shelton exit was closed due to a tractor trailer that jackknifed. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Phelps

When
December 15, 2:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Phelps forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.511, -99.414 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Nebraska Rainfall Assessment and Information Network (NERAIN) reported 3 inches of snow in southeastern Phelps County, just northwest of Wilcox. Also, a report off of Facebook was 3 inches of snowfall, 4 miles south of Odessa. These reports were within a narrow band of heavier snow. A cooperative observer in Holdrege measured 1.5 inches of snowfall, just west of where the heavier snow band set up. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

Winter Weather, Harlan

When
December 15, 2:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Harlan forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
40.177, -99.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An estimated one to three inches of snowfall occurred across Harlan County, with greater amounts in eastern Harlan County, within a heavier snow band. This snow was combined with gusts from the north northwest up to around 40 mph, which reduced visibility. Some light snow and flurries occurred into the afternoon, but the bulk of accumulating snow was done by 9 am CST. A number of schools started late.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, December 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 545887, 545890, 545894, 545921, 545923, 545928, 545900, 545924, 545926.