A few isolated showers developed beneath a pocket of cool air aloft. The center of the 700 mb cool pocket advanced eastward across southern Missouri during the afternoon.
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The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A few isolated showers developed beneath a pocket of cool air aloft. The center of the 700 mb cool pocket advanced eastward across southern Missouri during the afternoon. Winds were light through the depth of the atmosphere. These conditions were favorable for landspouts to occur during the warmth of the afternoon. At least one funnel cloud was observed over southeast Missouri.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 28, 11:41 AM CST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1241 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014 .UPDATE... Issued at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 For aviation section only. UPDATE Issued at 644 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 A minor PoP and weather adjustment made along a line stretching from Southwest of Paducah to northeast of Evansville to account for pre-dawn shower activity along gradient of mid-level moisture and instability. This activity should diminish in coverage within an hour or two after sunrise. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 224 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 Although small, rain chances will still exist for the Pennyrile Region of West Kentucky mainly this afternoon, along and east of the Land Between the Lakes. The slowly ejecting low from Texas moving northeast toward Arkansas and Louisiana, combined with the southeastward moving low opening into a shortwave will lead to a slightly enhanced zone of baroclinicity over Tennessee and Kentucky this afternoon. The greater instability will be along the edge of this zone, but the greater layer precipitable water, between 1.2-1.4 inches, remains fixed mostly over West Kentucky. Originally considered the potential for greater coverage of isolated thunderstorms, but given marginal updrafts, limited mention of any thunderstorms where combined updrafts may support more robust convection with marginal instability. Short term guidance suite was 1-2 degrees cooler than surrounding NWS CWA on-going forecasts, so adjusted max/mins slightly upward for collaboration purposes. The evolution of the shifting lows signal a pattern chance to a low amplitude ridge developing over the area through Tuesday. Beyond that time, a more dramatic shift in energy will take place impacting weather conditions in the long term part of this forecast package. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 224 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 Above average forecast confidence in the long term as latest model runs in decent agreement. With the area being on the back side of a surface high and under a weakening ridge aloft, Wednesday should remain dry. Due to a good surge of sfc-850 MB dewpoints over our southeast Missouri counties Wednesday afternoon, the GFS cranks out a tad of QPF there. However, after looking at soundings, a bubble of warm air between 800-700 MB should produce just enough inhibition to prevent convection. Latest long range models are slightly speeding up the onset of precipitation over our CWA with the approach of a weather system out of the central plains, so added POPS over the far western and northwestern sections Wednesday night. Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase from the west on Thursday as the aforementioned storm system draws closer. Models are slightly different with timing and placement of selected parameters of this system, but right now the best timing and coverage area-wide for showers and thunderstorms should be Thursday night as the system actually crosses the region. Although there is still some disparity among models where timing of the fropa is concerned, the boundary should be along or near the eastern border of our CWA at 12Z (7 AM) Friday. Consequently, precipitation chances on Friday rapidly diminish from west to east. Over the past couple of days long range models were jockeying back and forth trying to generate a few sprinkles in the wrap around moisture over the northeast sections of our CWA Friday night, but latest runs have backed off on that, so will keep it dry. In the wake of the front, a strong surface high and northwest flow aloft will usher in some of the coolest air of the season thus far for next weekend. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 A weak trof of low pressure over the lower Ohio Valley may produce some VFR cloud decks this afternoon. Other...mainly clear and calm conditions should prevail through 18Z Monday. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && UPDATE...GM SHORT TERM...Smith LONG TERM...JAP AVIATION...GM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 233 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-291000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 233 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE IN NATURE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM, THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OR PART OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THURSDAY...AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW STRONG TO NEAR SEVERE STORMS THAT DEVELOP WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRON...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS WEEK. SMITH/JAP
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:37 UTC.
1 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
A very narrow, rope-like funnel cloud was photographed near Dexter. The funnel cloud was associated with an isolated convective rain shower. No thunder was reported with the parent convective cell.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 541433.