Strong thunderstorms moving off of northeast lower Michigan produced gusty winds.
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The episode as NWS APX wrote it up.
Strong thunderstorms moving off of northeast lower Michigan produced gusty winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 7, 10:42 AM EST, 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1142 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 .SYNOPSIS... ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY EXIT TO THE EAST TODAY ALLOWING A WEAK COLD FRONT TO CROSS THE STATE SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN SETTLE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND TUESDAY...GENERATING ANOTHER STRETCH OF DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. && .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 1140 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH ADVANCING INTO WESTERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING DRIVING A COUPLE DECAYING CONVECTIVE LINES THROUGH MISSOURI AND INTO IOWA. SECONDARY SUBTLE SHORT WAVE ADVANCING THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST ALONG ENTRANCE REGION OF SMALL UPPER JET STREAK PUNCHING INTO ONTARIO...AND ALONG INVERTED TROUGH AXIS/FRONT THAT ALSO EXTENDS INTO CANADA...DRIVING ANOTHER BATCH OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDER STORMS INTO WISCONSIN AND WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS ACTIVITY ALSO DIMINISHING AND MAKING LIMITED EASTWARD PROGRESS AT THE MOMENT. THIS AFTERNOON...GIVEN DIMINISHING TRENDS TO ONGOING CONVECTION TO OUR WEST AND FORECAST SLOW MOVEMENT OF APPROACHING TROUGH... APPEARS MOST IF NOT ALL OF THAT ACTIVITY WILL STAY OUT OF THIS CWA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON OTHER THAN A LITTLE SOMETHING SNEAKING INTO FAR WESTERN CHIP/MACK COUNTIES LATE. SO...ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO POSSIBILITIES OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING WITHIN THE CWA DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS THIS AFTERNOON ONLY SUGGEST A FEW HUNDRED J/KG MLCAPE AT BEST AND TH AT/S ASSUMING WE CAN MAINTAIN LOWER 50S DEWPOINTS. ALSO...SUBTLE CAPPING ABOVE 700 MB WILL FURTHER INHIBIT CONVECTION POTENTIAL. NOT THAT WE COULDN/T SEE A ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO...BUT THINK THE CHANCES ARE JUST TO SLIM TO KEEP IN THE FORECAST. SO...HAVE PULLED POPS FROM THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON EXCEPT FOR FAR WESTERN CHIP/MACK COUNTIES AS DISCUSSED ABOVE. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT) ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 CURRENTLY...IN BETWEEN A HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER LAKE ERIE AND A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER HUDSON BAY THROUGH MINNESOTA MOVING EASTWARD AT A VERY SLOW PACE. HIGH PRESSURE IS RIDGING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE CENTER PROVIDING CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. MAIN CONCERN ONCE AGAIN WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. WITH CONTINUED STRETCH OF PRECIPITATION-FREE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IN PRODUCTS FOR THE DAY. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SEEM TO BE KEYING IN ON WHAT APPEARS TO BE A THERMAL LOW OVER THE HIGHLANDS OF INTERIOR NORTHERN LOWER. THIS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AS QG SUPPORT ARRIVES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEAK COLD FRONT. THE SAME LOCATION HINTED YESTERDAY AS WHAT MAY COME TODAY...AS A FEW SPRINKLES POPPED UP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH TODAY/S DEWPOINTS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN YESTERDAYS...HIGHER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...AND SOME QG SUPPORT...WILL UP POPS TO AT LEAST A 30 PERCENT CHANCE. BEST CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER EASTERN UPPER AS FRONT IS NEARLY OVERHEAD. MODELS SHOW DECENT MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SOME SURFACE BASED CAPE WHICH WOULD INDICATE A CHANCE THAT ANY SHOWERS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE SOME THUNDER OVER NORTHERN LOWER. WITH VERY LOW CONFIDENCE AS OF RIGHT NOW...WILL LEAVE THUNDER CHANCES OUT OF THE GRIDS AND LET THE NEXT SHIFT TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AS NEW MODEL DATA COMES IN. HEIGHT FALLS BEHIND THE FRONT...BETTER FORCING...AND DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN INCREASING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...BEGINNING WITH EASTERN UPPER LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS FRONT TRAVERSES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WITH MOST MODELS UNDERESTIMATING TEMPERATURES THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...THE GEM REGIONAL BIAS CORRECTED HAS BEEN DOING A GREAT JOB WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND SEEMS TO DO A PRETTY GOOD JOB WHEN CONDITIONS REMAIN THE SAME OVER EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S YESTERDAY...IT IS EXPECTED THAT WE WILL BE WARMER AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WITH THE GEM LOOKING TO AGREE...WILL NUDGE SATURDAY/S DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO THIS MODEL...INCREASING MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE BOARD...INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 OVER EASTERN UPPER AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S OVER NORTHERN LOWER. .LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 ...MORE PLEASANT WEATHER THEN A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WED/THU... HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: VERY LOW. THE PATTERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS STILL LOOKS PRETTY QUIET...THOUGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HEADING INTO THE BEGINNING AND ESPECIALLY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHEN EXTENDED MODELS OFFER MANY DIFFERENT POSSIBLE SCENARIOS. WILL SIDE WITH PERSISTENT DRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN BRING IN MUCH NEEDED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE MAIN LONG TERM FORECAST CONCERNS ARE MINIMAL WITH POPS FOR SUNDAY THE MAIN ITEM OF INTEREST. SUNDAY...THE WEAK COLD FRONT SLIPS ACROSS THE REGION FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. NOT A TON OF MOISTURE OR FORCING WITH THE FRONT BUT WE COULD SEE A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING...THEN DEPENDING UPON THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS SOUTHEAST COUNTIES IN THE AFTERNOON. COOLER WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 60S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 70S SOUTH. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE FROM THE NORTH. THIS IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO ANOTHER COUPLE OF SPECTACULAR MILD DAYS AND COMFORTABLY COOL NIGHTS. HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 70S SOUTH. LOWS RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO THE LOWER 50S NEAR THE LAKE HURON LAKESHORES. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...EXTENDED MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE MOVES UP INTO THE STATE. THIS WILL RAISE CONFIDENCE LEVELS ENOUGH TO HAVE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE TIMING OF THIS WAVE EXITING REMAINS UNCERTAIN THOUGH WITH SOME MODEL SOLUTIONS LIFTING IT OUT BY THURSDAY...THOUGH A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE MAY DROP IN AS WELL SO CHANCE POPS LOOK GOOD. HIGH PRESSURE THEN LOOKS TO REGAIN CONTROL MAKING FOR NICE WEATHER ON FRIDAY. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 60S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 70S SOUTH. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING) ISSUED AT 652 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT ALL NRN LWR MICHIGAN TAF SITES THRU SATURDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE STILL IN PLACE. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTS EAST AND A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES...EXPECT INCREASED CLOUDINESS THROUGH THE NIGHT TIME HOURS AND THEN CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES OVERHEAD SUNDAY MORNING. MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG THE FRONT AND IN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE END OF THIS TAF PERIOD. && .MARINE... ISSUED AT 340 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 LOOSE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE THE LIGHT WIND REGIMES. ONLY MARINE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE HURON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...NONE. LH...NONE. LM...NONE. LS...NONE. && UPDATE...ADAM SYNOPSIS...AS SHORT TERM...TL LONG TERM...AS AVIATION...TL MARINE...TL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 352 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 081100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 352 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS INTERIOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS ACROSS INTERIOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD. AJS
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:34 UTC.
1 marine thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Gusty winds were reported by a spotter near Mikado.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Lake Huron in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather history
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 540926.