A short line of thunderstorms bowed outward as it moved quickly east across southwest Indiana. The storms occurred along a cold front that trailed south along the Wabash Valley from low pressure near Chicago.
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The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A short line of thunderstorms bowed outward as it moved quickly east across southwest Indiana. The storms occurred along a cold front that trailed south along the Wabash Valley from low pressure near Chicago.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 1:59 AM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 259 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2014 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday) Issued at 258 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 The bulk of the short term period will be dependent on the evolution of the MCS just about to enter southwest Illinois and southeast Missouri. The leading line convection has diminished significantly, as have the winds behind the line. Have not seen any severe wind reports for quite awhile upstream, and really would not expect the system to increase. The RAP indicates that the 0-3km shear is very weak and parallel to the leading line. There appears to be a comma head/MCV feature moving east across central Illinois, and that should continue to push away from our area. Meanwhile, Corfidi Vectors over Missouri indicate a southward propagation. Therefore, we may be in for some sort of split for our area. There is decent surface air, theta-e values in the 345-349 range, throughout southern Illinois and southeast Missouri, so would expect convection to continue to bounce around on the outflow boundary as it moves southeast through southern Illinois and southeast Missouri through daybreak. With disorganized leading convection, figure the stratiform area will also begin to diminish, so there will likely be a significant weakening trend in the coverage of precipitation over the area in the 12z-15Z timeframe. The big question then is where will storms be able to fire up this afternoon and evening? The cold front is located from southeast Iowa to north central Kansas as of 730Z, and it does not have a tremendous push with it. The consensus of 00Z guidance brings into the northwest part of the region this afternoon, and surface dewpoints in the lower 70s are expected ahead of the front. Therefore, much of the area may be under the gun for more convection along and ahead of the cold front this afternoon and evening. The hi-res guidance really seems to be focusing on the southern third of the area for development. Perhaps the MCS will thoroughly stabilize the airmass across the northern half of the area. I really don't have a good feel for this one. Decided to go with a band of low-end likely PoPs in the north around 18Z, and then push it slowly southeast through the afternoon and into the evening. Feel that it will be out of the area by 06Z tonight, but left a chancy PoP in the southeast overnight just to be safe. Enough dry air should arrive to keep the area dry for Wednesday, despite decent cyclonic flow aloft. A few severe storms will be possible this afternoon, if we can destabilize enough. The wind fields should be strong enough to support a few severe storms with damaging winds the main concern. Temperatures today are a crap shoot with the convection and convective debris expected. Therefore, went close to consensus guidance. Went on the warm side of guidance for tonight with only weak cool, dry advection expected. Consensus should be close again Wednesday with the dry air advecting/mixing across the region. Trended a bit cooler for Wednesday night and warmer Thursday, both due to the dry airmass expected. .LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Monday) Issued at 258 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 High pressure will continue to bring dry weather Thursday night before moving off to the east on Friday. Temperatures and dewpoints will climb a couple of degrees per day through the weekend on warm and moist low level winds. Thursday night lows in the middle 60s will give way to lows over the weekend in the lower 70s. Highs will nudge up from the upper 80s on Friday into the lower 90s for the weekend. Aloft, the region will stay in northwesterly flow on the fringe of an upper level low. While an isolated chance of a shower or storm will be possible on Saturday, the better chance will come Sunday as an upper level disturbance moves north of the region. Chance pops in the northeastern part of the forecast area will lower to slight pops over the Ozark foothills. Models are highly variable with the weather early next week. The GFS aggressively pushes a front through the Ohio Valley on Monday and stalls it over the Tennessee Valley before lifting back north late Tuesday hinting at a very wet period for our region. The ECMWF on the other hand is much weaker with the front on Monday but does also stall it to our south. It, however, keeps it to our south through the better part of the week with energy producing rain chances up around the Great Lakes and to our south along the stalled boundary. At any rate, have high chance pops on Monday with the passage of a frontal boundary. Temperatures will be tempered somewhat on Monday with cloud cover and precipitation with highs back down into the upper 80s. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1159 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2014 Thunderstorm complex barreling across Missouri will likely impact the region late tonight. Given the trajectory into a better feed of instability, current thinking is that KCGI and KPAH both stand the better chance of impact later tonight versus KEVV and KOWB. While the overnight activity weakens and diminishes through the morning, more outflow focused development is expected to regenerate with peak heating as a cold front drops south across the area. This should largely be south of the area by 00Z Wednesday. VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorm activity. South winds 5 to 10 knots tonight will become southwest at 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots on Tuesday. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && SHORT TERM...DRS LONG TERM...ML AVIATION...RJP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 312 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 312 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. AN ISOLATED WIND GUST UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW SEVERE STORMS AREA POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE NEXT MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS THROUGHOUT THE REGION SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 333 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 ILZ085>094-KYZ004-005-007-010-014-018-MOZ111-112-080915- ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-CRITTENDEN KY-GALLATIN IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY-JOHNSON IL-LIVINGSTON KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MISSISSIPPI MO-POPE IL-PULASKI IL-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-UNION KY-UNION IL-WILLIAMSON IL- 333 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARDIN...GALLATIN...ALEXANDER... SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON...SOUTHEASTERN UNION...SALINE...PULASKI... POPE...MASSAC AND JOHNSON COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND SOUTHWESTERN HENDERSON AND UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN...BALLARD...MCCRACKEN AND NORTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN SCOTT AND EXTREME NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI UNTIL 415 AM CDT... AT 330 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ELDORADO TO ORAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... VIENNA...SHAWNEETOWN...LA CENTER...MORGANFIELD...BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...METROPOLIS...STURGIS...PADUCAH...LONE OAK...TAMMS... RIDGWAY...OLIVE BRANCH...EQUALITY...HORSESHOE LAKE CONSERVATION AREA...KARNAK...MOUNDS...MOUND CITY...DIXON SPRINGS...NEW COLUMBIA AND UNIONTOWN. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. DRS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 404 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 INZ081-082-087-080945- GIBSON IN-PIKE IN-WARRICK IN- 404 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WARRICK...EASTERN GIBSON AND PIKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA UNTIL 445 AM CDT... AT 401 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PATOKA TO 6 MILES WEST OF LYNNVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... OAKLAND CITY...PETERSBURG...LYNNVILLE...WINSLOW...HAZLETON... FRANCISCO...MACKEY...SOMERVILLE AND SPURGEON. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. DRS
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:19 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A large tree limb was blown down. A wooden swing set was destroyed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, July 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 525749.