Guam, 2014

Heavy Rain in Guam, August 10, 2014

August 10, 2014 · NWS GUM · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Thunderstorms associated with heavy rain caused a drowning during the |afternoon of August 10th.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GUM wrote it up.

Thunderstorms associated with heavy rain caused a drowning during the |afternoon of August 10th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Guam wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 9, 10:00 PM UTC, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 10:00 PM UTC, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
800 AM CHST SUN AUG 10 2014

.MARIANAS SYNOPSIS...
PGUA WSR-88D SHOWS ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH THE MARIANAS
WATERS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND A
LITTLE SOUTH OF GUAM WATERS...HOWEVER THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTHWARD. THE VAD WIND PROFILE REVEALS EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS
OF 7 TO 11 KNOTS IN THE LOWEST 2 THOUSAND FEET OF THE AIR.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD AND WEAK CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING OVER THE MARIANAS. THIS
IS PROMOTING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BOTH SOUTH OF GUAM
AND NORTH OF SAIPAN. FOR NOW THE MAIN EFFECT IS DEBRIS CLOUDINESS
SO UPPED THE CLOUDS TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. BASED ON THE RECALCITRANT
SWELL FROM TYPHOON HALONG SHOWN ON THE BUOYS...WENT AHEAD AND
RAISED THE NORTHWEST SWELL FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. IT
THEN BECAME NECESSARY TO EXTEND THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY. FOR NOW
WENT WITH 3 PM SO HOPEFULLY IT CAN BE DONE AWAY WITH AT THE USUAL
AFTERNOON PACKAGE TIME.

&&

.TROPICAL SYSTEMS...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...SWELL FROM TYPHOON HALONG IS STILL ROLLING
INTO THE MARIANAS WATERS. THE SOUCE OF THIS SWELL WILL BE CUT OFF
SOON AS HALONG MOVES OVER JAPAN THEN OVER OCEAN NORTH OF JAPAN. SO
NOW MAYBE IT IS SAFE TO START REDUCING THE SWELL AMOUNT. TYPHOON
GENEVIEVE HAS MOVED NORTH OF 25N SO WE ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY
JUST IN THE PAST HOUR...HOWEVER SWELL COULD STILL AFFECT THE
MARSHALLS. BASED ON THE FAST MOTION OF GENEVIEVE...THE SWELLS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME BIG ENOUGH FOR HAZARDOUS SURF. TROPICAL
STORM ISELLE IS NOW JUST A REMNANT LOW OFF HAWAII. MEANWHILE
HURRICANE JULIO SHOULD BE FAR ENOUGH AWAY THAT SWELL WILL NOT BE A
BIG PROBLEM. SO...HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES APPEAR TO BE
EBBING AT THIS POINT.

&&

.EASTERN MICRONESIA...
PRONOUNCED RIDGING WILL ALLOW DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT MAJURO
AND KOSRAE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A TRADE-WIND DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY
EAST OF THE DATELINE WILL APPROACH THE MARSHALL ISLANDS LATE MONDAY
AND BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MAJURO TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY TO KOSRAE
WEDNESDAY. THE BROAD SURFACE TROUGH THAT HAS BROUGHT ACTIVE WEATHER
TO POHNPEI STATE OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS IS LIFTING NORTHWARD
ALLOWING RIDGING TO BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WILL
BRING QUIET CONDITIONS TO POHNPEI FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNTIL THE
TRADE-WIND DISTURBANCE ARRIVES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
OTHERWISE...MODELS INDICATE LOWER PROBABILITIES FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
ACTIVITY ACROSS EASTERN MICRONESIA IN THE LONG TERM.

&&

.WESTERN MICRONESIA...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF DEVELOPING SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF
CHUUK. MOST OF THE SHOWERS SHOULD STAY TO THE SOUTH OF CHUUK TODAY
BUT SITUATION SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE UPDATES. AN OVERALL
DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR CHUUK AS THE MAIN CIRCULATION EMBEDDED
IN THE TROUGH PUSHES WESTWARD THROUGH MIDWEEK. MODELS INDICATE THE
WESTERN END OF THE TROUGH OVER EASTERN MICRONESIA WILL LINGER OVER
YAP STATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THIS WILL YIELD AT LEAST MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DRY CONDITIONS AT KOROR WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE LONG TERM AS A RIDGING PATTERN REMAINS FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER
PALAU.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CHST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GUZ001>004.

MARIANAS WATERS...NONE.
&&

STANKO/WILLIAMS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Guam

When
August 10, 10:00 AM GST to 7:00 PM GST
Where
Guam County, 1.29 mi WSW of Sinajana
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
13.443, 144.732

Afternoon thunderstorms developed over the island of Guam, a light wind flow pattern prevailed across the area and because of this the storms were nearly stationary.

A lot of hikers had taken to Guam's trails that day because it was Saturday and the day had begun as a sunny one. One group, consisting of 4 people, decided to trek to San Carlos Falls (located at 13 26' 33N 144 43'56.8E) on the Lonfit River. The group consisted of a younger female hiker (niece), her older aunt, and two other people.

As the thunderstorms began to form over central Guam, the heavy rain and slow movement of the convection caused water in the Lonfit River to rise quickly. Along with the rise in the river was an increase in its current, which became stronger over a short period of time. Faced with a quickly rising river and strong current, the hikers made the decision to head back and away from the river.

The river, however, rose very quickly from ankle deep to waist deep in minutes. |Despite their best efforts, everything they could grab onto was being swept away |by the rushing river. The group decided that they no choice but to climb straight |up the sheer sides of the river on either side of them. One of the hikers in this |group was able to make it out of the river and onto a high ridge, but access to the ridge was blocked by the time others tried to join him.

The younger female hiker, the niece, tried to climb higher, but there was nothing for her to hold onto. Despite grabbing at rocks and leaves, her and her aunt kept slipping off the bank. They went back into the river where the niece climbed up on a rock. The niece picked-up her aunt and asked her to stand on the rock that she was on. The rock was higher and safer, but the aunt refused to take her niece's spot. The aunt was concerned where the niece was going to stand. With the current dragging the aunt away, the niece jumped into the water and chased after her aunt. Her effort was unfortunately in vain as the current was too strong and this kept the niece from helping the aunt. Another hiker came back to assist the niece and pulled her from the water. Eventually the pair made it to the top of the ridge, from where the niece called 911. The niece, the aunt and the two other hikers were airlifted out of the area by a helicopter from the Navy Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 25. The 43 year old aunt was brought to Naval Hospital, where she later died.

This was not the only group of hikers to experience the fury of rising water. Rising waters on another river, the Ylig, stranded 20 hikers. High waters prevented 10 members of this group from crossing the river. The situation was not as dire here as on the Lonfit River and none of the hikers were in physical distress. By 7 pm that|evening all 20 members of the group were accounted for as they made it to Tarzan Pools on the Ylig River.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Heavy Rain, Guam2014-08-1043FemaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Guam in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Guam, August 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 542350.