A warm and dry airmass was in place on the 14th, leading to fire danger conditions across most of central and north Georgia.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FFC wrote it up.
A warm and dry airmass was in place on the 14th, leading to fire danger conditions across most of central and north Georgia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 2:18 PM EST, 12 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 318 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BROUGHT SUNNY SKIES TO THE AREA THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS FINALLY SHIFTED TO THE EAST. SHORTWAVE EXPECTED TONIGHT HAS A FEW MODELS SPITTING LIGHT RAINFALL OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...BUT WITH DRY MID LEVELS...EXPECT A LARGE PORTION OF THIS TO NOT REACH THE GROUND OR BE JUST SPRINKLES. HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES. SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT ONSET OF PRECIPITATION WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. HAVE CONTINUED WITH QUICKLY INCREASING POP CHANCES WITH SLIGHT CHANCE MOVING INTO WEST AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA SATURDAY EVENING...AND LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS BY THE WEE SUNDAY MORNING HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW LIMITED INSTABILITY SATURDAY AND HAVE LEFT OUT MENTION OF THUNDER THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. QPF CONTINUES TO BE IN THE 1-2 INCH RANGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THIS SYSTEM. FOR NOW...FFG VALUES SUGGEST WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WITH MINIMAL TO NO FLOODING CONCERNS. 31 .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. WITH THE RAIN HOLDING ON INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED POPS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. STILL ON TRACK WITH THUNDER POTENTIAL FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT GIVEN MUCAPE VALUES UP TO 500 J/KG. HAVE CONTINUED THE SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE GRIDS WITH NEAR 100 POPS. SEEMS THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...SEE THE HYDRO SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. STILL DIFFERENCES WITH THE MID WEEK SYSTEM BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF. GFS REMAINS THE DRY SOLUTION WHILE THE ECMWF BRINGS RAIN THOUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH THE FRONT. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS THE GFS FOR NOW WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS DRY FORECAST. 11 MODELS ARE COMING INTO GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WEEKEND SOLUTION WHICH IS GIVING A MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM. THE SHORT WAVE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO DIG OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EJECTING A SURFACE LOW INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILL SPREAD AMPLE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE CWA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES CLOSER AND THE SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASES...INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE BRINGING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE WIDESPREAD ON SUNDAY AND INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE MODELS DIFFER SLIGHTLY ON THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM. GFS DEVELOPS A CLOSED LOW WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS AN OPEN WAVE. REGARDLESS BOTH MODELS KEEP PRECIP OVER THE CWA MONDAY AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND FOR THE REST OF THE LONG TERM. 17 && .HYDROLOGY... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCH RANGE. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON SUNDAY WITH MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA FORECAST TO RECEIVE A HALF INCH TO AN INCH OF RAINFALL IN A SIX HOUR PERIOD. GIVEN THESE AMOUNTS IN A SHORTER TIME PERIOD...WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FLOODING CLOSELY. AT THIS POINT...MAIN CONCERN WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR FLOODING ALONG BIG CREEK BETWEEN CUMMING AND ALPHARETTA. && .AVIATION... 18Z UPDATE... VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. CLOUDS/CIGS MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE MORNING SATURDAY AS NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES. HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY MENTION OF -RA IN THE TAFS AS ONSET IS JUST BEYOND VALID TAF PERIOD. SSW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OF 7-10KT WITH GUSTS TO 14-15KT WILL DIMINISH TO SW AT 6KT OR LESS OVERNIGHT. //ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE... HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS. 31 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 43 71 51 60 / 10 10 60 100 ATLANTA 47 68 52 63 / 10 10 80 100 BLAIRSVILLE 38 64 48 57 / 10 10 90 100 CARTERSVILLE 42 68 52 63 / 10 10 100 100 COLUMBUS 47 70 54 68 / 10 20 80 90 GAINESVILLE 45 66 51 58 / 10 10 80 100 MACON 43 71 53 64 / 10 10 50 90 ROME 41 69 52 62 / 10 20 100 100 PEACHTREE CITY 42 68 51 63 / 10 10 80 100 VIDALIA 46 74 54 71 / 5 10 50 90 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...31 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...31
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1218 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-151630- BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA- CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA- CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL- FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE- GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON- JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON- MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY- MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH- PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON- SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS- TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN- WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES- WILKINSON- 1218 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION... VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 PERCENT AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 MPH. THE DRY AIR AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE VALUES WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. INSTABILITIES WILL BE MINIMAL...THEREFORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The National Forest Service reported that a human-caused wildfire labeled Rogers Road burned 21 acres and resulted in $6200 in damages.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, March 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 511166.