Heat in Delaware, July 1, 2014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
913 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AROUND BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY
BEFORE THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION THURSDAY. MEANWHILE,
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 HAS FORMED OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD LATE IN THE WEEK. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. THE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROPICAL SYSTEM AND
THE STALLED FRONT MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL BEFORE THE FRONT
FINALLY MOVES OFFSHORE FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE MID ATLANTIC SATURDAY AND MOVE
OFFSHORE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE UPPER AND SFC RIDGES ARE NOW EAST OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES
AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL MOVE UP A NOTCH TODAY AS SRLY/SWRLY WINDS
REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA. A VERY WEAK VORT MAX WILL CROSS THE WRN
AREAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER A FEW
ISO/SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS...SO THE POPS THAT WERE IN THERE EARLIER WILL
REMAIN. NO SVR TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HIGH TEMPS WILL
REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE AREA...A FEW DEGREES
COOLER AT THE SHORE WITH ONLY A LIMITED SEA-BREEZE EXPECTED. HEAT
INDEX VALUES MOSTLY LOW 90S OVER THE AREA WITH A FEW MID 90S OVER
THE DELMARVA.

VERY MINOR CHANGES TO THE MRNG PKG. HAVE TWEAKED CLOUD COVER
DOWNWARD AND ADJUSTED TEMPS UPWARD A BIT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HIGH TEMPS STILL LOOK OK, BUT WILL REASSESS WITH THE NEXT UPDATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS CANADA WILL CAUSE A COLD FRONT
TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY AREAS. MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND IT WILL BE WARM AND
MUGGY ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS ONLY A LIMITED CHC FOR
SHOWERS/TSTMS TONIGHT...MAINLY TOWARD DAWN ACROSS THE FAR WRN AREAS.
LOW TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 70S WITH A FEW UPPER 60S ACROSS
THE NORTH. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AWAY FROM URBAN
AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DEEP SLY FLOW WILL RESIDE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT/UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL BE APPROACHING
FROM THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION. THE CORE OF THE HEAT WILL
RESIDE WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR...WITH H8 TEMPS 18-19C OVER
THE REGION TRANSLATING TO MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S ASSUMING
FULL HEATING. THE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE A FACTOR OWING TO THE
RETURN FLOW PATTERN AROUND THE BERMUDA HIGH THAT IS PARKED
OFFSHORE. FACTORING IN DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S...HEAT INDICES ARE FCST IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100F ACROSS
THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AND DELMARVA. DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING A THIRD-PERIOD HEAT ADVISORY ATTM AFTER COORDINATION WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES AND DUE TO THE FACT THAT CURRENT FCST CONFIDENCE
IN REACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA IS SOMEWHAT LOWER DUE TO THE
POTENTIAL WRENCH FROM INCREASING CLOUD COVER ESPECIALLY IN
EASTERN PA.

FCST BUFKIT SOUNDINGS FROM THE 00Z GFS/NAM AND 21Z SREF MEAN POINT
TOWARD A MODERATE TO HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WEDNESDAY WITH
SBCAPE APPROACHING 3000 J/KG IN EASTERN PA (LESS INSTABILITY TOWARD
THE COAST AS A RESULT OF THE SEA BREEZE). CONVECTIVE INITIATION
WOULD BE FAVORED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF PA DURING THE AFTN.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO BECOME FOCUSED ALONG A PRE-
FRONTAL SFC TROUGH THAT IS FCST TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL PA. IF
THIS WERE TO HAPPEN...ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS WOULD LIKELY TRANSLATE
EASTWARD TOWARD THE LEHIGH VALLEY/PHILLY BY THE LATE AFTN AND
THEN POSSIBLY FARTHER EAST INTO NJ/DELMARVA DURING THE EVENING.
DESPITE MODEST BULK SHEAR VALUES AOB 30 KT...THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES MORE THAN SUPPORTIVE FOR AT LEAST LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND PERHAPS LARGE HAIL. SPC HAS PLACED MOST OF THE AREA IN A
SLIGHT RISK.

THE SFC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO REACH ERN PA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE SOURCE OF LIFT ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT THOUGH THE STRENGTH AND
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE LATE IN THE EVE
AND OVNGT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. OTHERWISE...IT WILL
FEEL MUGGY WITH OVNGT LOWS IN THE 70S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE FRONT SLOWING DOWN OR EVEN STALLING
OVER THE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SEEMS PLAUSIBLE
GIVEN THE STRENGTH/POSITION OF THE DOWNSTREAM BERMUDA RIDGE WHICH IS
STRENGTHENING AS A RESULT OF DIABATIC HEATING POLEWARD OF WHAT IS
NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1. ACCORDINGLY...THE FOCUS HEADING INTO THIS
PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SHIFTS TO POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL/
FLOODING AS MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THERE HAS BEEN MUCH TALK OF A POTENTIAL
PREDECESSOR RAINFALL EVENT (PRE) IN RECENT DAYS...WHICH SEEMS
POSSIBLE AS THE MID-ATLANTIC BECOMES SITUATED IN THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF A STRENGTHENING ULVL JET STREAK AND WITHIN LLVL
THETA-E RIDGE AXIS AHEAD. BOTH OF THESE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURES
WILL BE POSITIONED DOWNSTREAM OF THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND
TROPICAL SYSTEM. WHILE CURRENT QPF AMOUNTS FROM WPC AND
OPERATIONAL MODEL GUIDANCE ARE NOT EXCESSIVE DURING THIS PERIOD
(GENERALLY AOB 2 INCHES)...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

00Z FCST GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ADVANCING OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM
ACCELERATES NORTHWARD UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST FOR OFFICIAL TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1.
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK CONSENSUS FROM NHC INDICATES THE SYSTEM
TRACKS OFFSHORE BUT COASTAL AREAS OF THE CWA STILL RESIDE ON THE
WESTERN FRINGE OF THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY. THE EXACT TRACK, SIZE AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DETERMINE THE IMPACT WE GET FROM
THIS SYSTEM FOR THE 4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY.

HIPRES BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND..RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS AND
DECREASING HUMIDITY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE 06Z TAFS WERE ISSUED WITHOUT THE EARLIER RESTRICTIONS FOR FOG
THIS MORNING IN MOST SITES. I LEFT IN THE BR FOR KMIV HOWEVER WHERE
THE TEMP/DEW POINT SPREAD IS LOWER. THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE TODAY...BUT THEY HAVE NOT INCREASED ENOUGH YET TO KEEP
IT IN THE TAFS FOR THE EARLY MORNING. A MOSTLY BKN CI/CS SKY COVER
TODAY WITH FEW/SCT CU POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. A ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE (MOSTLY) N/W...BUT NOT
INCLUDED IN THE TAFS ATTM. WINDS MOSTLY S/SW 10-15 KTS TODAY.
TONIGHT...AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SOME VSBY
RESTRICTIONS OVERNIGHT...THE BR WAS INCLUDED IN THE TAFS...FOLLOWING
THE MAV/MET GUIDANCE.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN
PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA. LOCALLY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE IN TSRA WED
AFTN/EVE. COVERAGE MAY BECOME NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD THU-THU NGT
AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE AREA.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
NOW THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS WELL OFFSHORE...A DECENT
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LOCAL EFFECTS WILL PRODUCE GREATER WINDS ALONG
THE COAST TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. LOCALIZED SCA CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALONG THE AREAS ADJACENT TO NY HARBOR INCLUDING WATERS EAST
OF SANDY HOOK NJ. A SCA FLAG WILL BE RAISED FOR THE AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL COME UP SHORT OF SCA
CONDITIONS...SO WE WILL MENTION SOME G20 KTS AND SEAS 3-4 FT. NO SIG
WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT WITH AN ISOLATED TSTM EXPECTED
WELL WEST OF THE WATERS.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
WEDNESDAY AND STALLS OVER JUST INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. S-SW
WINDS AROUND 15-20 KT GENERALLY SHORT OF SCA CRITERIA BUT LATEST
GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS APPROACH 5 FT FOR THE OFFSHORE ZONES EACH
AFTN. MAY NEED TO ISSUE A SCA BOTH DAYS.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 IS FCST BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO TRACK NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE WATERS.
INCREASING SEAS AND WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. THE EXACT IMPACTS
WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE TROPICAL
SYSTEM.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
LOW RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY. HOWEVER...THOSE WHO HAVE SURF
ZONE SWIMMING PLANS ALONG THE NJ AND DE ATLANTIC COASTS FOR THE
4TH OF JULY WEEKEND SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE RISK FOR DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE APPROACHES THE
CAROLINA ON THE 4TH AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM
DEPARTS. THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE AT LEAST MODERATE IF
NOT HIGH DURING THIS TIME GIVEN THE LATEST NHC FORECAST. THIS
POSES A HUGE CONCERN CONSIDERING THE LARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE,
INCLUDING THE LESS EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS, WHO WILL VENTURE OUT
DURING ONE OF THE BIGGEST BEACH WEEKENDS OF THE YEAR. THE TRANQUIL
WEATHER CONDITIONS ON LAND THIS WEEKEND COULD LEAD TO A FALSE
SENSE OF SAFETY IN THE WATERS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING IF YOU/RE NOT PREPARED TO HANDLE
THEM. FOR THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SAFETY...SWIM ONLY UNDER THE
WATCHFUL EYES OF LIFEGUARDS. OTHERWISE ANY OPPORTUNITY FOR RESCUE
CAN SUFFER FROM A MUCH GREATER RESPONSE DELAY AND BE FATAL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EDT
     TONIGHT FOR ANZ450.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KLEIN
NEAR TERM...NIERENBERG/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...KLEIN
AVIATION...KLEIN/O'HARA
MARINE...KLEIN/O'HARA
RIP CURRENTS...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
523 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

NJZ001-007>010-012-013-020>023-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-
020930-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
UPPER BUCKS-
523 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN FLOODING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE CAROLINAS
AND THEN OFF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS WEEK. THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL EXIST IN ADVANCE OF
THIS SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL IMPACTS WILL BE
DETERMINED BY THE SIZE AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM, WHICH IS STILL
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REFER TO THE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WHILE WE KEEP YOU UPDATED
ON ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-020930-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
523 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN FLOODING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE CAROLINAS
AND THEN OFF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS WEEK. THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL EXIST IN ADVANCE OF
THIS SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL IMPACTS WILL BE
DETERMINED BY THE SIZE AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM, WHICH IS STILL
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REFER TO THE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WHILE WE KEEP YOU UPDATED
ON ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE REGION.

ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ANZ430-431-450>455-020930-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
523 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS OF MONMOUTH COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MARINE
AREA, PARTICULARLY THE OFFSHORE WATERS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE CAROLINAS
AND THEN OFF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS WEEK. ANY
IMPACTS, INCLUDING WINDS AND SEAS, WILL BE DETERMINED BY THE SIZE
AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM, WHICH IS STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.
PLEASE REFER TO THE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER WHILE WE KEEP YOU UPDATED ON ANY POTENTIAL
IMPACTS TO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-
020930-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
523 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL LIKELY REACH THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100
DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA AND
APPROACH 105 DEGREES IN PORTIONS OF THE DELMARVA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN FLOODING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE FLORIDA COAST. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE CAROLINAS
AND THEN OFF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS WEEK. THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL EXIST IN ADVANCE OF
THIS SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL IMPACTS WILL BE
DETERMINED BY THE SIZE AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM, WHICH IS STILL
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REFER TO THE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WHILE WE KEEP YOU UPDATED
ON ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.