California, 2014

Wildfire in California, January 16 to 25, 2014

January 16 to 25, 2014 · NWS LOX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

The Colby Wildfire started in the hills above the San Gabriel Valley. The fire was fueled by the combination of an extended period of dry, northeast winds and very dry vegetation.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LOX wrote it up.

The Colby Wildfire started in the hills above the San Gabriel Valley. The fire was fueled by the combination of an extended period of dry, northeast winds and very dry vegetation. The fire destroyed 5 homes and burned 1,952 acres.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Los Angeles, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 16, 3:30 AM PST, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 3:30 AM PST, 2 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
330 AM PST THU JAN 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE THE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST AND OFFSHORE FLOW WEAKENS. DRY AND
CLEAR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-SAT)...
BOTH THE KDAG AND KBFL GRADS ARE AROUND -5MB RIGHT NOW OR ABOUT 1MB
MORE ONSHORE THAN THIS TIME LAST NIGHT. LARGE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS
JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STATE. WINDS ARE DOWN FROM LAST NIGHT AS ARE
TEMPS. THERE WILL BE A DIURNAL FLARE UP BOTH THIS MORNING AND FRIDAY
MORNING AND LOW END WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE FOR MOST AREAS OF
L.A. AND VTA COUNTIES. THESE WIND ADVISORIES ARE PRETTY MARGINAL BUT
IT WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES. ONSHORE TRENDS AND THE LACK OF UPPER
SUPPORT WILL KILL THE ADVISORY WINDS LATER IN THE MORNING FRIDAY.
SATURDAY WILL HAVE SOME 10 TO 20 MPH CANYON WINDS BUT THATS IT.

THE UPPER HIGH WILL VERY SLOWLY WEAK AND DRIFT ACROSS THE STATE OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS. A LARGE DOME OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
QUASI STATIONARY OVER WYOMING THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

THERE WILL BE NO CLOUDS OR WEATHER OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.

SO THAT JUST LEAVES TEMPS. TODAY WILL BE A GREAT DEAL LIKE WEDNESDAY
WITH CSTL AND VLY TEMPS RUNNING 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SOUTH
OF POINT CONCEPTION AND 10 TO 15 DEGREES NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION.
POINT MUGU HIT 90 DEGREES YDY AND PASO ROBLES WAS THE SECOND WARMEST
DAY IN ITS ENTIRE HISTORY OF JANUARY. JUST A LITTLE BIT OF COASTAL
AND VLY COOLING EACH DAY FRI AND SAT (CENTRAL COAST WILL HAVE A
LITTLE MORE COOLING SAT) THE INTERIOR TEMPS SHOULD STAY ABOUT THE
SAME.

MIN TEMPS ARE GRIM. THE BREEZY AREAS WILL STAY ABOVE NORMAL WHILE
THE WIND SHELTERED AREAS WILL SEE HUGE COOLING. THERE WILL BE AREAS
OF FREEZING TEMPS IN THE INTERIOR.

.LONG TERM (SUN-WED)...
ALL MDLS AGREE THAT SUN AND MON WILL BE DOMINATED BY (WHAT ELSE) A
RIDGE. IT WILL BE WEAKER THAN THE CURRENT RIDGE AND WILL ORIGINATE
IN MEXICO AND THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTEND UP THROUGH THE STATE. THE
RIDGE AND THE OFFSHORE FLOW (WEAKER THAN CURRENT OFFSHORE FLOW) WILL
KEEP THE SKIES CLEAR AND THE MX TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL ALTHOUGH IT WILL
BE A LITTLE COOLER THAN TODAY.

THE GFS BREAKS THE RIDGE DOWN TUE WED WHILE THE EC KEEPS THE RIDGE
GOING. GIVEN HOW THIS JANUARY HAS GONE PUSHED THE FCST TOWARDS THE
WARMER EC. STILL THIS IS THE FIRST TIME IN A WHILE THAT ANY MDL HAS
HINTED AT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SO IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO WATCH
TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS. STILL I WOULD BET ON HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.AVIATION...

16/1100Z

OVERALL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN 12Z TAF PACKAGE AS CONTINUED OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL KEEP ALL SITES VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SOME
LLWS/TURBULENCE ISSUES AT KVNY/KBUR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN 12Z TAF.

KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN 12Z TAF. THERE WILL BE SOME
LLWS/TURBULENCE ISSUES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING (SEE LAXRFWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...RORKE
AVIATION...RAT
SYNOPSIS...SIRARD

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 16, 6:00 AM PST, 0 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PST THU JAN 16 2014

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-171400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
600 AM PST THU JAN 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

WFO LOX PLANS TO DISCONTINUE THIS PRODUCT IN 2014.
PLEASE DIRECT ANY COMMENTS TO ERIC BOLDT AT 805-988-6623.

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES TODAY AND TONIGHT...CREATING DRIVING HAZARDS FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH THE WINDS
WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IF
IGNITION OCCURS.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WIND ADVISORY..............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES INTO FRIDAY...CREATING DRIVING HAZARDS FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH THE WINDS WILL
CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IF IGNITION
OCCURS. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW AND CONTINUED VERY DRY
CONDITIONS.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WIND ADVISORY..............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ASR

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range

When
January 16, 6:00 AM PST to January 25, 11:00 PM PST
Where
Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

The Colby Wildfire burned 1,952 acres of land in the hills above the San Gabriel Valley. The fire was started by an illegal campfire and it destroyed 5 homes.

Wildfire, Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley

When
January 16, 6:00 AM PST to January 25, 11:00 PM PST
Where
Los Angeles County San Gabriel Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
34.198, -118.261 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Colby Wildfire burned 1,952 acres of land in the hills above the San Gabriel Valley. The fire was started by an illegal campfire and it destroyed 5 homes.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in California, January 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 498029, 498030.