The Cache River rose above flood stage during the middle of September as a result of additional heavy rainfall.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
The Cache River rose above flood stage during the middle of September as a result of additional heavy rainfall.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 3:55 AM CST, 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 455 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014 .AVIATION... THERE WILL BE AN ABUNDANCE OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ARKANSAS. ANY LOW CLOUDS/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES INTO THE STATE FROM MISSOURI. SURROUNDING THE FRONT...THERE WILL BE PATCHY LIGHT RAIN NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK. IF CONDITIONS GO MVFR...THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME WILL BE TOWARD DAWN TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE NOT MUCH OF AN ISSUE AS THE FRONT ARRIVES. IN GENERAL...VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT 5 MPH OR LESS. (46) && .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WEAK ASCENT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IS GENERATING SOME LIGHT RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS AND SHOWS LIGHT RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THE MORNING. DESPITE RADAR IMAGERY OVERNIGHT PRECIP HAS BEEN A LITTLE HIT AND MISS IN THE OBSERVATION NETWORK SO LIMITED RAIN CHANCES TO ABOUT 30 PERCENT ON THE HIGH SIDE TODAY. AS FAR AS HIGHS GO TODAY...ANOTHER DAY OF WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ARE FORECAST. CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE SHOULD LIMIT HIGHS THERE TO THE UPPER 70S...WHERE AS MID 80S WILL BE SEEN IN THE SOUTH. MEANWHILE ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY DIVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND WILL SHIFT EAST TO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL HELP DRIVE A FRONT SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS BY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND LIKELY INTO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE BY DAYBREAK OR MID MORNING ON TUE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE...WITH PRECIP CHANCES FADING THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD STALL OUT IN THE SOUTH BEFORE BECOMING MORE NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ACROSS THE STATE BY LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING AS THE WANING INFLUENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NE BATTLES INCREASING SOUTH FLOW OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION IN RESPONSE TO LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE PLAINS. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST DURING THIS TIME AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OUT WEST...AND WILL FEATURE A FEW DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH WED AND THU. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN CENTRAL OR NORTHERN ARKANSAS BUT THIS MAY CHANGE DEPENDING ON WHERE THE FRONT ENDS UP AND WHERE THE IMPULSES TRACK OVERHEAD. LASTLY ONE OF THE MORE INTERESTING ASPECTS OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST ARE THE TEMP FORECASTS FOR TUE-THU. MODEL OUTPUT IS SHOWING NEAR 90 DEGREE HIGHS FOR PARTS OF SRN AND SWRN ARKANSAS...AREAS SOUTH/WEST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EACH DAY ESSENTIALLY. UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS...NOR H85 TEMPS WOULD SUGGEST HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS THESE DAYS...YET MODEL OUTPUT SAYS OTHERWISE. GRANTED MODEL FORECASTS ARE ONLY GOING 1-2 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...BUT NEVERTHELESS ABOVE NORMAL. IT IS HARD TO COMPLETELY TOSS OUT THE NUMERICAL AND MOS GUIDANCE SO I DID GO AHEAD AND BUMP UP HIGHS TUE-THU...BUT I ALSO STILL UNDERCUT THEM BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES. && .LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT WILL BE REPLACED BY SOME RIDGING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...THE PERIOD WILL START WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND NEW ENGLAND. THE HIGH WILL BE EXPANSIVE ENOUGH TO KEEP ARKANSAS MOSTLY DRY...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST. AS RIDGING OCCURS...AND AS THE HIGH MOVES TO THE EAST...A MORE SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES. AT THE SAME TIME...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH. GIVEN RIDGING...THERE IS SOME DOUBT THAT THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL PROBABLY HANG UP...WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE FRONT HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 78 63 77 60 / 30 20 10 20 CAMDEN AR 86 68 88 66 / 10 20 20 10 HARRISON AR 78 61 73 61 / 40 20 10 30 HOT SPRINGS AR 82 67 85 65 / 20 20 20 10 LITTLE ROCK AR 83 67 83 64 / 20 20 20 10 MONTICELLO AR 86 67 87 65 / 10 20 20 10 MOUNT IDA AR 81 64 85 64 / 20 20 20 20 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 78 62 74 59 / 30 20 10 30 NEWPORT AR 78 64 76 59 / 20 20 20 20 PINE BLUFF AR 84 66 85 64 / 10 20 20 10 RUSSELLVILLE AR 80 65 82 63 / 30 20 20 20 SEARCY AR 81 65 79 62 / 20 20 20 20 STUTTGART AR 82 65 83 63 / 20 20 20 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...64 / LONG TERM...46
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 46
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Cache River at Patterson rose above flood stage during the morning hours of the 15th, then fell below flood stage during the evening hours of the 23rd.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, September 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 541522.