Heavy rainfall and some melting of wintry precipitation caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise above flood stage during the latter half of the month.
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The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall and some melting of wintry precipitation caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise above flood stage during the latter half of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 19, 5:25 PM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 525 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014 .DISCUSSION... UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW... && .AVIATION... MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTH OVERNIGHT INTO THU MORNING AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE STATE. SOME LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE COULD BE SEEN OVERNIGHT...ALONG WITH SOME LOW CIGS/VIS. NRN SITES COULD SEE SOME SHRA/TSRA JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. BREEZY SRLY WINDS WILL BE SEEN DURING THE DAYTIME ON THU...WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 30 KTS POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EAST ACROSS THE STATE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO THE WEST AND NW. SOME SHRA/TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE EAST AND SERN AR. SOME STORMS COULD BE SVR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR SERN PARTS OF THE STATE. IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN BY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE STATE. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014/ SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT A FRONT REMAINS STALLED ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS. HOWEVER THIS WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AS A STRONG FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. LEFT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THIS OCCURS. REALLY DO NOT EXPECT MUCH BUT HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME LIGHT QPF IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES NORTH...AND WEAK RADAR RETURNS ARE SHOWING UP FROM TIME TO TIME SO IT SEEMED REASONABLE TO LEAVE PRECIP MENTION IN. TOMORROW A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA. MODELS SHOW SOME LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT. HOWEVER THE TIMING OF THE FRONT WILL PUT IT IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE AS THE BEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SWINGS THROUGH...THUS ANY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MAY CLIP THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES BUT IS LIKELY TO BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW POSSIBLY REACHING SEVERE LEVELS...MAY OCCUR IN OUR FORECAST AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. IF THIS OCCURS...DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY SEVERE THREATS...AND WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM NEWPORT TO STUTTGART TO PINE BLUFF AND FINALLY EL DORADO. TORNADOES...GIVEN THE LOWER LEVEL WIND FIELD AND INSTABILITY...DO NOT APPEAR LIKE A STRONG POSSIBILITY. OTHERWISE...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED FOR TOMORROW FROM 9AM TO 7PM. STRENGTHENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH DEEP MIXING AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL PROMOTE WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE TOMORROW. WIND GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH SCATTERED ABOUT THE STATE THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT ADVISORY LEVEL WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL SLACKEN AFTER SUNSET TOMORROW. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE DRY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES REMAINING 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE EXTENDED FORECAST STARTS WITH NEARLY UPPER ZONAL FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL U.S...BUT THEN A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE OUT WEST...WHILE A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SETS UP OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME COLDER AIR TO AGAIN SPILL INTO AR. DRY WEATHER WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES START THE EXTENDED PERIOD...BUT THEN THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S...AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FILTER INTO THE REGION...WHILE REMAINING OVERALL DRY. MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP IS IN THE FORECAST AS A COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH AR. WILL LEAVE AT THIS TIME BUT THIS MAY BE TAKEN OUT IF LATER RUNS SHOW NO QPF. TUESDAY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IS KEPT IN THE FAR SOUTH AR BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH WITH IT. TEMPS WILL COOL ON TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS JUST A BIT BELOW NORMAL. CONDITIONS DRY ON WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD...AND TEMPS REMAIN A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 55 69 34 59 / 20 50 20 0 CAMDEN AR 61 76 37 64 / 10 40 20 0 HARRISON AR 53 64 32 58 / 20 40 10 0 HOT SPRINGS AR 59 70 35 62 / 20 20 10 0 LITTLE ROCK AR 60 74 36 61 / 20 40 20 0 MONTICELLO AR 62 77 38 62 / 10 70 40 0 MOUNT IDA AR 59 69 34 62 / 20 20 10 0 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 53 66 32 59 / 20 40 20 0 NEWPORT AR 57 70 34 59 / 20 60 30 0 PINE BLUFF AR 60 75 37 62 / 10 60 30 0 RUSSELLVILLE AR 57 68 32 61 / 20 30 10 0 SEARCY AR 57 71 33 59 / 20 50 20 0 STUTTGART AR 60 73 35 60 / 10 60 30 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM CST THURSDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER- BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS- DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE- IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION- MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE- PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF- YELL. && AVIATION...62
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 940 AM CST WED FEB 19 2014 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201100- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 940 AM CST WED FEB 19 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH BETTER CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY BE SEEN OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY UNSETTLED WEATHER IS IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE STATE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE. THIS SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE SUNDAY FROM THE NORTH...BUT DUE TO A LACK OF MOISTURE...RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED. THE COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THE NEXT SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH A RAIN SNOW MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON THURSDAY. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 58/59
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rainfall and some melting of wintry precipitation caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise above flood stage during the afternoon hours of the 19th. The river then fell back below flood stage during the morning hours of the 27th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 495916.