Thunderstorms brought heavy rain in and around the Bagdad area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
Thunderstorms brought heavy rain in and around the Bagdad area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 25, 10:00 AM MST, 4 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 1000 AM MST MON AUG 25 2014 .SYNOPSIS... SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA ON MONDAY AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FROM LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE PASSING TROUGH WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN. THURSDAY ONWARD...A DRYING NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DECREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. && .DISCUSSION... ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER IS AFFECTING NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS MORNING. WE ARE EXPECTING MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY WHILE A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING SUBSTANTIALLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR TODAY IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO UPDATES ANTICIPATED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM ANTICIPATED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...FOR DETAILS PLEASE SEE BELOW DISCUSSION. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /340 AM MST/... TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A DEEP TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH ARIZONA FROM THE NORTHWEST...THIS SYSTEM WILL PULL A DEEP SUBTROPICAL AIRMASS NORTHWARD ALONG WITH THE HELP OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSING TO THE WEST OF BAJA. 1.5 INCH PW AIR IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA WITH UP TO 1.0 INCH PW AIR AS FAR NORTH AS THE MOGOLLON RIM. THIS MOIST AIR MASS IS FORECAST TO BE LIFTED OROGRAPHICALLY INTO THE YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...COCONINO PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. THE MOISTURE...LARGE SCALE LIFT...AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT IS FORECAST TO COME TOGETHER LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN DECREASE RAPIDLY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST INTO NEW MEXICO. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN ON EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...WINDS ALOFT ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN. THE COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING WINDS AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE THREAT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL...STRONG WINDS...POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND A THREAT OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN. THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...COCONINO PLATEAU...MOGOLLON RIM...AND WHITE MOUNTAINS...FROM VERY MOIST OROGRAPHIC UPSLOPE FLOW AND FROM TRAINING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN A UNI-DIRECTIONAL FLOW ENVIRONMENT. WE INTRODUCED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST GRIDS FROM EARLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. STAY TUNED TODAY AND TOMORROW TO THE LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST...AS THIS COULD BE A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD WET WEATHER EVENT. BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL USHER IN A RAPID TRANSITION FROM NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ISOLATED ACTIVITY BY THE AFTERNOON. THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...FORECAST MODELS INDICATE A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE WEATHER DISTURBANCE WITH DRY CONDITIONS...AND SLIGHTLY WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT ANOTHER RELATIVELY STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES LATE NEXT WEEKEND WITH A A DRY AND BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW...MODERATE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IS ATTACHED TO THE LATE WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM...AS WELL AS WHETHER MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST STATES. && .AVIATION... FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...SCT SC/CU TODAY WITH BASES FROM 4-7KFT AGL...AND HIGH CLOUD COVER PERSISTING. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING MID TO LATE AFTERNOON CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INCREASING IN COVERAGE 06Z-18Z TUE...WITH AREAS MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC.........MCS AVIATION.......JJ FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 637 AM MST MON AUG 25 2014 AZZ004>018-037>040-260815- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 637 AM MST MON AUG 25 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO... NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA STARTING LATE TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE GREATEST THREAT WHICH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING...MAINLY IN AND AROUND WILDFIRE BURN AREAS...AND CREEKS AND WASHES IN YAVAPAI COUNTY THAT RECEIVED THE HEAVY RAIN LAST WEEK. THE COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING WINDS AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE THREAT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. STAY TUNED TO THE LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST...AS THIS COULD BE A FAIRLY WET WEATHER EVENT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA FROM TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE GREATEST THREAT WHICH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING. THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL BE FROM THE GRAND CANYON...MOGOLLON RIM...AND WHITE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWARD INTO YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES WHERE MOISTURE IS RICHEST. THE COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING WINDS AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING THE THREAT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...THAT COULD POTENTIALLY PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. STAY TUNED THIS WEEK TO THE LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST...AS THIS COULD BE A FAIRLY WET WEATHER EVENT. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DECREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain fell around and south of the Bagdad area. Radar estimated around 1.50 inches. Washes were running full and starting to affect Highways 96 and 97. Boulders washed onto the roads.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 542105.