Alaska, 2014

High Surf in Alaska, September 1, 2014

September 1, 2014 · NWS AFG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Event continued from August. A weather front moving east across the Seward Peninsula and Norton Sound brought southwest winds around 30 mph over Norton Sound with gusts as high as 40 kt (46 mph).

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

Event continued from August. A weather front moving east across the Seward Peninsula and Norton Sound brought southwest winds around 30 mph over Norton Sound with gusts as high as 40 kt (46 mph). The resulting high surf produced erosion of the Beach Road at Unalakleet, according to the Alaska State Trooper contact at Unalakleet.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:31 AM AKST, 12 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 11:31 AM AKST, 12 hours 29 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1231 PM AKDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT UPPER AIR PROGS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OUT THROUGH 4 PM
THU. A DEEP WINTER DEPTH UPPER LOW...ABOUT 506 DAM AT 500 MB...IS
LOCATED NEAR 74N/165W...ABOUT 200 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW. THE
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ON A CYCLONIC LOOPING TRAJECTORY TO BE ABOUT
50 NM NORTHEAST OF BARROW BY 4 AM WED...THEN MOVING RAPIDLY
EASTWARD TO ABOUT 100 NM NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT BY 4 PM
WED...WHILE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TO A STILL LOW 516 DAM CENTER.

A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW WILL
SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE NEXT
INCOMING SHORT WAVE...WHICH WILL BE RATHER STRONG...WILL ARRIVE
IN NORTHWEST ALASKA LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD TO THE
ALCAN BORDER BY TUE AFTERNOON WHILE SMOOTHING OUT IN
AMPLITUDE...MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO PICK OUT IN THE 500 MB HEIGHT
FIELD. WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS...A 998-1000 MB SURFACE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BERING STRAIT OR OVER THE
SEWARD PENINSULA BY MON MORNING. THE FAST UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL
CARRY THE SURFACE SYSTEM RAPIDLY EASTWARD. BY TUE AFTERNOON THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN TO ABOUT A 995 MB CENTER ABOUT 50 NM
NORTHWEST OF HUSLIA...AND TO THE BROOKS RANGE NEAR THE ALCAN
BORDER BY 4 AM TUE. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL SWEEP
EASTWARD AND STALL OUT ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE TUE AND TUE NIGHT.
STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE 0.25 TO 1 INCH OVER
THE WEST COAST...WESTERN AND NORTHERN INTERIOR WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
OVER AN INCH. OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 0.25 TO 0.5 INCH ARE EXPECTED. THE HEAVIEST EVENT
TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
CENTRAL INTERIOR...0.75 TO 1+ INCHES ZONE 222...1 TO 2 INCHES.
DENALI...1 TO 2 INCHES...LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...1 TO 2+ INCHES.
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY...1 TO 2 INCHES.
LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REST OF THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN INTERIOR. IN THE ALASKA RANGE...THE SNOW LEVEL IS EXPECTED
TO BE 4000-5000 FT MON AFTERNOON AND MON NIGHT...LOWERING TO
3500-4000 FT BY TUE AFTERNOON...AND TO AROUND 2500 FT BY WED
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD REDUCE THE RAINFALL RUNOFF INTO SMALL
STREAMS SO SMALL STREAM FLOODING DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A STRONG
THREAT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE THE PASS LEVEL IN THE WESTERN
ALASKA RANGE. IN THE BROOKS RANGE...SNOW LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE ANY HIGHER THAN 3000 FT MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED. OVER THE
ARCTIC SLOPE...SNOW LEVELS WILL BE MOSTLY FROM THE SURFACE TO 1000
FT MON NIGHT THROUGH WED.

STRONG 850 MB WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHORT WAVE...AS HIGH
AS 45 TO 70 KT OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR AREAS MON AND MON NIGHT.
EXPECT STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER INTERIOR HIGHWAY
SUMMITS AND PASSES MON AND MON NIGHT.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE FAST UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL
ARRIVE IN NORTHWEST ALASKA TUE...MOVING TO THE ALCAN BORDER BY
WED AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH THIS SHORT WAVE ARE
EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS...AND BE LIMITED MAINLY TO THE NORTH
SLOPE AND BROOKS RANGE. A THIRD SHORT WAVE WILL ARRIVE OVER
NORTHWEST ALASKA THU MORNING...MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PARTS OF NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THU NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WITH
THIS WAVE IS AGAIN EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND BE
RESTRICTED MAINLY TO THE ARCTIC SLOPE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...
SEA ELEVATIONS OF 1.5 TO A LITTLE OVER 3 FEET EXPECTED IN NORTON
SOUND LATE SUN NIGHT THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT. THE HIGHEST SEA
LEVEL RISES...A LITTLE OVER 3 FEET...WILL BE OVER EASTERN NORTON
SOUND MON AFTERNOON AND MON EVENING. SEAS COULD BE AS HIGH AS
8 FEET OFFSHORE OVER EASTERN NORTON SOUND...BUT LOWER NEAR SHORE.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO 25 KT TUE THROUGH TUE EVENING COULD
PRODUCE ELEVATED SURF ON THE ARCTIC COAST FROM BARROW WESTWARD.
SEAS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 6-8 FEET NOT TOO FAR OFFSHORE. MAXIMUM
SEA LEVEL ELEVATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 1.5 FEET AT ICY CAPE
AND ABOUT 1 FOOT AT BARROW.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SEE MAIN DISCUSSION FOR EXPECTED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. NO SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ISSUES ARE EXPECTED IN THE ALASKA RANGE AT THIS TIME
DUE TO THE LOWERING FREEZING AND SNOW LEVELS. IN THE MIDDLE
TANANA VALLEY...FORECAST RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN THE UPPER
CHENA RIVER RISING TO ACTION STAGE BY EARLY WED MORNING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
WIND ADVISORY...OVER SUMMITS IN AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222.

&&

RF AUG 14

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 31, 8:44 PM AKST, 3 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
944 PM AKDT SUN AUG 31 2014

AKZ221>223-225-020000-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
DENALI-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD...
FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...NORTH POLE...
MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...CHENA HOT SPRINGS...
SOURDOUGH CAMP...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE...HEALY...
DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...KANTISHNA
944 PM AKDT SUN AUG 31 2014

...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS THIS WEEK...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM SWEEPS EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN ALASKA. A WIDESPREAD SWATH OF RAINFALL TOTALING 1 INCH
OR MORE IS FORECAST FROM THE NULATO HILLS EAST TO THE FAIRBANKS
AREA...AND ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL
FROM DENALI NATIONAL PARK TO FAIRBANKS WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN
IS LIKELY. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE ALASKA RANGE MAY SEE RAINFALL IN
EXCESS OF 2 INCHES.

RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE INTERIOR WILL RISE SHARPLY ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RAINFALL. THE CHENA...LITTLE
CHENA...AND CHATANIKA RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO BANKFULL
LEVELS. RIVERS WILL ALSO RISE RAPIDLY IN DENALI NATIONAL PARK AND
THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE...AND SOME SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY
FLOW OVERBANK IN LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN
MAY CAUSE ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

EWP
Special weather statement, Aug 31, 9:48 PM AKST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1048 PM AKDT SUN AUG 31 2014

AKZ212-216-227-020000-
EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS-
LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...ST MICHAEL...ELIM...KOYUK...
SHAKTOOLIK...GALENA...NULATO...HUSLIA...KALTAG...RUBY...KOYUKUK...
MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
1048 PM AKDT SUN AUG 31 2014

...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS THIS WEEK...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM SWEEPS EAST ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA. A WIDESPREAD SWATH OF RAINFALL TOTALING 1 INCH OR MORE IS
FORECAST FROM THE NULATO HILLS EAST TO THE KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS
AND THE ALASKA RANGE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL OVER THE NULATO
HILLS AND THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS
LIKELY. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE MAY SEE
RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES.

RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE WESTERN INTERIOR WILL RISE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RAINFALL. IN THE ALASKA
RANGE...SOME SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY FLOW OVERBANK IN LOW
LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE ROCK AND
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

EWP

Event by event

1 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.

High Surf, Ern Norton Sound Nulato Hills

When
September 1, 12:00 AM AKST to 4:36 PM AKST
Where
Ern Norton Sound Nulato Hills forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement

What these are

High Surf
Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, September 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 543149.