Washington, 2013

High Wind in Washington, November 15 to 16, 2013

November 15 to 16, 2013 · NWS SEW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Strong onshore flow brought brief high wind to the central coast and the Admiralty Inlet area.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SEW wrote it up.

Strong onshore flow brought brief high wind to the central coast and the Admiralty Inlet area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 3:20 PM PST, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:20 PM PST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
320 PM PST FRI NOV 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. GOOD OROGRAPHIC FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW
TO THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. ON SATURDAY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND AN
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT LINGERING SHOWERS. A WEAK WARM FRONT
ON SUNDAY WILL BRING CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A FRONTAL ZONE
WILL SETTLE OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...RADAR AND METARS SHOW RAIN OVER MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR
A DOUGHNUT HOLE OVER THE KITSAP PENINSULA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE MAIN SYSTEM RIGHT OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON. RAIN AT TIMES WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT THEN TURN TO SHOWERS. BREEZY OR WINDY CONDITIONS
TONIGHT AS THE SOUTH TO NORTH PRESSURE GRADIENT BUILDS UP TO 8-10
MB...THEN STRONG ONSHORE FLOW FOLLOWS THE FRONT.

BIGGEST IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE HEAVY SNOW IN THE
MOUNTAINS. STRONG OROGRAPHIC FLOW...A SNOW LEVEL OF 2500 FEET OR
SO...AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE SHOULD BRING ANOTHER FOOT OR TWO OF SNOW
TO THE CASCADES. ALL HIGHWAY PASSES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS HEAVY
SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CASCADES THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

SHOWERS TAPER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT HAS AS GOOD CHANCE OF
BEING MOSTLY DRY. A WEAK WEATHER IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHWEST
FLOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN.
SUNDAY NIGHT IS ALSO RELATIVELY DRY. THE NEXT SYSTEM ARRIVES MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND RAIN CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING
MORE SHOWERY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS PERIOD
WILL NOT BE FAR FROM NORMAL WITH LOWS AROUND 40 AND HIGHS 45 TO 50.
THIS IS CONSIDERABLY DIFFERENT FROM MODEL SOLUTIONS OF A FEW DAYS
AGO THAT SHOWED OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR FREEZING...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY
NIGHT. BURKE

.LONG TERM...THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PERIOD DOES NOT HAVE A LOT
OF QPF AND THERE IS SOME WEAK RIDGING ALOFT. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN DEFERENCE TO THE TIME OF YEAR AND THE RELATIVELY STRONG
FLOW ALOFT...WHICH COULD ADVECT SOME IMPULSE INTO WASHINGTON QUICKLY
OR DEVELOP SOME SORT OF WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL. BURKE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FLOODING IS UNLIKELY ON AREA RIVERS DURING THE NEXT 7
DAYS. SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT WILL NOT
PROVIDE HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA WITH
SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. A SYSTEM ARRIVING MONDAY NIGHT IS FAIRLY WET
BUT IS ALSO FAST MOVING AND IT TOO IS UNLIKELY TO CAUSE ANY
FLOODING. RECENT RUNS SHOW MOSTLY 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A FEW 3 INCH BULLSEYES.

SOME RECENT MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE SHOWN HEAVY RAIN NEXT WEEKEND.
CURRENTLY THE GFS IS VERY WET BUT THE EURO IS NEARLY DRY. CONFIDENCE
IS LOW IN THESE DAY 8 AND DAY 9 FORECASTS. BURKE

&&

.AVIATION...STRONG NW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER W WA THROUGH
SATURDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER N VANCOUVER
ISLAND AT 22Z WILL MOVE SE OVER NW WA AT 06Z AND W MT 18Z SATURDAY.
THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS WA
02Z-06Z.

PREDOMINANTLY MVFR CIGS MIXED WITH SPOTTY IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN LIFT SLIGHTLY TO A MIX OF MVFR AND VFR
CIGS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS EVENING. STRONG GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS ACROSS ALL AREAS...BOTH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WILL
LAST THROUGH TONIGHT.

KSEA...CIGS BKN-OVC007-015 ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 08Z. PERIODS OF RAIN
WILL CONTINUE...BUT VISIBILITIES BELOW 4SM ARE NOT EXPECTED. COLD
FRONT PASSAGE SHOULD BE 04Z-05Z. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT TO
BKN-OVC015-030 BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. LOW LEVEL WINDS ALOFT FROM
FL050-FL100 WILL REMAIN WESTERLY AROUND 40 KT THOUGH 05Z THEN SHIFT
NW 30 KT. SURFACE WIND WILL REMAIN SW15-20KT GUSTING 25-30KT. KAM

&&

.MARINE...A 990 MB SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL B.C. AT 22Z WILL MOVE SE
OVER NE WA AT 12Z SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SE
ACROSS W WA THIS EVENING BETWEEN 02Z AND 06Z. STRONG WESTERLY
ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW OVER JUST ABOUT ALL W WA
COASTAL AND INLAND WATERS. STRONGEST W WINDS ARE EXPECTED JUST
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS EVENING. GALES ARE POSTED FOR ALL
WATERS EXCEPT PUGET SOUND. HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER PUGET SOUND. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SATURDAY AS A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH FORMS OVER N WA...EXTENDING FROM COASTAL VANCOUVER
ISLAND ACROSS THE N INTERIOR.

THE STRONG W WINDS WILL RAISE 14 TO 20 FT COMBINED SEAS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA MONDAY...THEN MOVE
INLAND MONDAY NIGHT. KAM

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE CASCADES THROUGH 6 AM SAT.
PZ...GALE WARNING ALL WATERS EXCEPT PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR.

&&

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Central Coast

When
November 15, 8:42 PM PST to November 16, 1:54 AM PST
Where
Central Coast forecast zone
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Westport had sustained wind of 40 mph off and on for a few hours.

High Wind, Admiralty Inlet Area

When
November 15, 9:47 PM PST to 11:47 PM PST
Where
Admiralty Inlet Area forecast zone
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
ASOS

The KNUW ASOS reported sustained wind of 40 mph with a gust of 63 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, November 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 478775, 478774.