An upper level trough was moving over the Rocky Mountains, and a cold front was across the northwest Permian Basin. The upper level jet stream over the region provided additional lift.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper level trough was moving over the Rocky Mountains, and a cold front was across the northwest Permian Basin. The upper level jet stream over the region provided additional lift. This lift along with abundant moisture helped to create flash flooding across the northern Permian Basin.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 28, 3:10 AM CST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 410 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2013 .DISCUSSION... Upper level trough currently moving through the Rockies with the associated cold front entering the northwest Permian Basin. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring mainly across the northern Permian basin near the front. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase this morning across the Permian basin and lower Trans Pecos...especially eastern sections (likely pops) ahead of the front due to convergence along the front with enhanced lift from the right rear quadrant of the upper level jet. Precipitation chances will be on the decrease this afternoon from west to east as the front continues to progress toward central Texas and the upper jet weakens. Much cooler temperatures are expected today behind the front with guidance temperatures looking reasonable. The extreme southwest portion of the front will linger tonight and Sunday across the Concho valley and Edwards plateau due to weaker winds aloft in those areas so will keep a slight chance of showers and storms going across the extreme eastern Permian basin and or lower Trans Pecos region closest to the front these periods. High temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal tomorrow despite a decent amount of sunshine. Much above normal temperatures are expected to return by Monday through at least Friday across west Texas and southeast New Mexico due to low level thermal ridging developing with a surface trough in nearly zonal flow aloft. Will go with a dry forecast given a lack of significant instability or forcing progged. Guidance temperatures look too low per progged 850 millibar temperatures. Next cold front looks slated for late Friday with cooler temperatures by next Saturday. Precipitation chances with this front due not look good enough to mention at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 77 53 82 59 / 30 0 0 0 BIG SPRING TX 77 54 82 60 / 60 10 0 0 CARLSBAD NM 79 53 84 53 / 10 0 0 0 DRYDEN TX 87 66 84 66 / 40 30 10 0 FORT STOCKTON TX 85 59 85 63 / 30 10 0 0 GUADALUPE PASS TX 74 52 78 57 / 10 0 0 0 HOBBS NM 76 50 81 53 / 20 0 0 0 MARFA TX 79 50 79 49 / 10 10 0 0 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 79 56 82 62 / 40 0 0 0 ODESSA TX 79 55 82 62 / 40 0 0 0 WINK TX 84 56 84 60 / 20 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 10/12
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 458 AM CDT SAT SEP 28 2013 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-291000- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 458 AM CDT SAT SEP 28 2013 /358 AM MDT SAT SEP 28 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS PECOS TODAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME HOWEVER LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD STAY ABREAST OF DEVELOPING STORMS AS THEY MAY IMPACT FRIDAY NIGHT ACTIVITIES. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 89 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:00 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain moved across Dawson County and produced flash flooding four miles west of Lamesa. Highway 180 west of Lamesa was partially washed out. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 474278.