The drought continues to impact most of West Central Texas. S.
Every event with a place to put it; 23 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
The drought continues to impact most of West Central Texas. The U.S. Drought Monitor rated Haskell, Throckmorton, Fisher, Jones and Shackelford Counties in the exceptional category as water shortages continue. The remainder of the region was in a severe drought category.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 10:55 PM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1155 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013 .DISCUSSION... PLEASE SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION... LOW CLOUDS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...AND THE NAM HAS A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON THIS SO FAR...SO WILL TREND AVIATION FORECASTS TOWARD THE NAM GUIDANCE. THIS WILL BRING LOW CLOUDS IN EARLY WHICH WAS ALREADY IN THE FORECAST...AND POSSIBLY FARTHER NORTH...SO WILL INTRODUCE A TEMPO FOR LOW CLOUDS AT KABI...AND A PREVAILING GROUP FOR MVFR CIGS AT KSJT FOR 3 TO 5 HOURS IS POSSIBLE. THE COLD FRONT CAN BE SEEN BEGINNING TO MAKE PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK TO MOVE THROUGH KABI DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STILL EXPECT TO SEE CONVECTION DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MORE REFINEMENT TO THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST CAN BE MADE IN FUTURE FORECAST ISSUANCES. 20 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 716 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013/ DISCUSSION... SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. AVIATION... SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. MOISTURE WILL AGAIN MOVE NORTH INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BRINGING MVFR CIGS TO OUR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TAF SITES. THESE CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX OUT BEFORE 18Z. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TOMORROW AS WELL...LIKELY AFFECTING KABI WITH NORTHERLY WINDS BY 15Z...KSJT BY 18Z...AND SOUTHERN SITES AFTER 18Z. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INSERTED VCTS TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SITES WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY. 20 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013/ TONIGHT... INSTABILITY WAS HIGH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WITH RAP ML CAPES EXCEEDING 5000 J/KG. A STRONG CAP HOWEVER WAS PREVENTING STORM DEVELOPMENT. I DID ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES THIS EVENING...WHERE A CUMULUS FIELD WAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN AN AREA OF WEAK SURFACE CONVERGENCE EAST OF THE DRYLINE. AGAIN...LIKE YESTERDAY...IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY COULD RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A TORNADO IS ALSO NOT OUT OF QUESTION WITH VERY STRONG INSTABILITY PRESENT. OTHERWISE A WARM NIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUING TO FLOW FROM THE GULF MEXICO. STRATUS RETURNS AFTER MIDNIGHT...FROM THE HILL COUNTRY. 850 MB LOW LEVEL JET AGAIN PICKS UP TO 45-50 KTS TOWARD MIDNIGHT. PERSISTENCE FORECAST TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY... AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING...THINGS SHOULD STAY RELATIVELY QUITE. WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 DEGREES...SURFACE BASED CAPE WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 3500 J/KG BY MID AFTERNOON. WITH THE FORCING FROM THE FRONT...REALIZING THIS INSTABILITY SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM. THE CIN VALUES ARE REASONABLE...HIGH ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE INSTABILITY TO BUILD...BUT NOT TOO MUCH TO KEEP ANY OF IT FROM BEING RELEASED. SHEAR WILL NOT BE SPECTACULAR...BUT WITH 30 KTS THERE WILL BE ENOUGH FOR SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS LACKLUSTER...ONLY MAYBE 10 KTS...SO THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED...THOUGH IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IF A STORM CAN STAY ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR LONG ENOUGH...IT WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A CIRCULATION TO DEVELOP. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE AREA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BROWNWOOD...TO SAN ANGELO...TO OZONA. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF A LITTLE FROM FRIDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. LOWS WILL IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD MOVE OUT BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS ACROSS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY SOAR WITH THE RIDGE...WITH THE LOCATION OF THE THERMAL RIDGE SUGGESTING THAT READINGS AT LEAST NEAR THE 100 DEGREE MARK ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. THE GFS WEAKENS THE RIDGE FOR THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK...AND TRIES ANOTHER FRONT AND CONVECTION INTO THE ARE FOR THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. ECMWF SHOWS A LITTLE MORE PERSISTENT RIDGE...AND DELAYS ANY CONVECTION TIL FRIDAY. AT THIS POINT...THINK KEEPING THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW IS PROBABLY THE BEST OPTION...AND LET THE UNCERTAINTIES SETTLE A LITTLE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ABILENE 73 90 65 89 66 / 10 20 30 10 10 SAN ANGELO 74 93 71 91 69 / 5 30 30 20 10 JUNCTION 73 94 70 92 68 / 5 30 40 20 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 253 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-012000- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 253 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...IN THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY ACROSS HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES THIS EVENING. IF A STORM DOES DEVELOP...IT COULD RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
23 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Brown County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated mostly severe drought with some extreme drought conditions across eastern half of Callahan County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Coke County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Coleman County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Crockett County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated exceptional drought conditions across Fisher County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated exceptional drought conditions across Haskell County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Irion County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated exceptional drought conditions across Jones County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Kimble County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Mason County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across McCulloch County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Menard County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated mostly severe drought conditions across Nolan County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Runnels County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across San Saba County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated mostly severe drought with some extreme drought conditions across the southeast part of Schleicher County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated exceptional drought conditions across Shackelford County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated extreme drought conditions across Sterling County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Sutton County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated mostly severe drought conditions across Taylor County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated exceptional drought conditions across Throckmorton County during June.
The U.S. Drought Monitor indicated severe drought conditions across Tom Green County during June.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 462931, 462932, 462933, 462935, 462936, 462937, 462938, 462939, 462940, 462941, 462942, 462946, 463339, 463340, 463342, 463343, 463344, 463346, 463347, 463348, 463349, 463350, 463352.