An upper level disturbance interacted with a moist and unstable airmass across West Tennessee to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms during the morning of May 10, 2013. Storms continually moved across Carroll County resulting in several inches of rainfall and numerous reports of flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
An upper level disturbance interacted with a moist and unstable airmass across West Tennessee to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms during the morning of May 10, 2013. Storms continually moved across Carroll County resulting in several inches of rainfall and numerous reports of flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 9:25 AM CST, 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1025 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 .UPDATE... SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING STILL LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI AT THIS TIME. MEANWHILE...SOME CLEARING IS OCCURRING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS IS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS. THE CLEARING WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER SURFACE HEATING TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AS A RESULT...EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THUS WILL CONTINUE WITH 50 POPS ACROSS THE CWA. WILL ALSO CONTINUE WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS BUT AREAS ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS POSSIBLY AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS MEMPHIS WILL SEE SUNSHINE UNTIL THE REDEVELOPMENT OCCURS. HAVE BUMPED TEMPERATURES DOWN JUST A TAD DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER ACTIVITY LINGERING THIS MORNING. STILL EXPECT EASTERN ARKANSAS TO GET UP INTO THE UPPER 70S DUE TO THE EXPECTED SUNSHINE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY. KRM && .DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013/ UPDATED THE ZONE FORECASTS AND GRIDS TO ADJUST POPS FOR THIS MORNING...MAINLY DOWNWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EXCEPT MUCH OF WEST TN. WIDESPREAD RAIN WAS CONFINED TO MAINLY WEST TN EARLY THIS MORNING AND MOVING EAST WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS PUSHING INTO NORTHEAST MS FROM THE SOUTHEAST. MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS ALONG THE GULF COAST HAVE HELPED TO DECREASE THE RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH. STILL THINK DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. JCL && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013/ NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE EARLIER FORECAST. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE DAY NEXT WEDNESDAY AND SUPPORT THE EARLIER FORECAST. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF OCCUR IN THE LATE PORTION OF THE FORECAST...NEXT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE MIDSOUTH WILL BE AFFECTED TODAY BY A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE UNITED STATES. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE WESTERLIES WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. BY SUNRISE...THE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE MS RIVER WITH RAIN TAPERING OFF ACROSS EAST AR. BY NOON...THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE ALONG WITH THE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE PUSHED TO THE EAST OF THE MIDSOUTH. RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY THIS MORNING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1 1/2 AND 1 3/4 INCHES...AND SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER AND MID 60S. BY THIS AFTERNOON...A SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE WESTERLIES WILL SWING TOWARD THE MIDSOUTH PUSHING A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. INSTABILITY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME SUNSHINE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...SMALL HAIL AND POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MARGINAL FOR SEVERE. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH MS BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...A DEEPENING TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. THIS WILL PUSH A REINFORCING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE BEFORE MOVING INTO THE MIDSOUTH WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. THE NAM DOES SHOW SOME SHOWERS MAKING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FRONT...SO WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON LATER MODEL RUNS IN CASE POPS HAVE TO BE INTRODUCED IN LATER FORECASTS. UNSEASONABLY COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT AND CONTINUE OVER THE AREA INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN RAIN FREE WEATHER ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF DAYS OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES TO THE EAST. AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL RESULT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MODELS DIFFERENCES OCCUR BUT MOSTLY FOLLOWED THE ECMWF. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH AND THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. JCL && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF CYCLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MAINLY OVER WEST TENNESSEE THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST PRODUCING MAINLY MVFR VISIBILITIES AT KMEM AND KMKL. VFR CEILINGS WILL BE PREVALENT FOR MOST OF THE DAY TODAY WITH SOME PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION PRODUCING IFR CEILINGS AND POSSIBLY SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO FOG. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. ARS && && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 76 60 74 51 / 50 40 10 10 MKL 73 57 72 47 / 100 40 10 10 JBR 77 56 73 47 / 50 20 10 10 TUP 74 62 76 52 / 60 50 20 10 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1027 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-111200- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1027 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO ABOUT 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. KRM
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain produced flash flooding across much of northern and western Carroll County. About 20 roads were closed due to flooding. A couple of homes on Williams Street and Northwood Drive in Huntingdon were evacuated due to flooding.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, May 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 457019.