A broad upper high was centered over Southern New Mexico with low level southeast winds bringing in modest moisture to the region. Training storms over the Blacks Range on the Silver Burn scar caused flooding once again on the western slopes.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
A broad upper high was centered over Southern New Mexico with low level southeast winds bringing in modest moisture to the region. Training storms over the Blacks Range on the Silver Burn scar caused flooding once again on the western slopes.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:19 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 319 PM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER HIGH OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL VERY SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH...REACHING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL INHIBIT SOME LOWLAND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT THE MOUNTAINS WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH THE LOWLANDS...MAINLY DEMING WESTWARD...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS. THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING...ESPECIALLY MONDAY...SO LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. UPPER HIGH TO PERSIST OVER COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LITTLE CHANGE TO OUR RAIN PATTERN... WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOUNTAINS AND WEST OF DEMING AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE. && .DISCUSSION... STAGNANT PATTERN CONTINUING AS ONLY VERY SLOW CHANGES TO THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN OCCUR THROUGHOUT HE FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER HIGH CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS BY WEDNESDAY. AT LOWER LEVELS MOISTURE WILL PERSIST WITH DEW POINTS CONTINUING IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WHILE THE HIGH IS HIGH OVERHEAD TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE VERY SLOW MEANING STORMS CAN DUMP LOTS OF RAIN IN ONE PLACE. DESPITE MOST OF TODAY'S STORMS BEING THE PULSE VARIETY (AND LIKELY AGAIN TOMORROW) THEY HAVE SHOWN THE ABILITY TO DROP .75-1.0 INCHES OF RAIN IN MUCH LESS THAN AN HOUR. MORE THE SAME FOR MONDAY. BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE UPPER HIGH WILL BE FAR ENOUGH NORTH OF THE CWA TO REDEVELOP SOME UPPER WINDS AND MOVE THE STORMS ALONG. WEAK INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY WITH LITTLE ACTUAL WEATHER. IT MAY HOWEVER SHIFT THE DEEPER MOISTURE FURTHER WEST SO CONTINUED HIGHER POPS WEST OF DEMING. DECENT MUCAPE AND LI'S WOULD SUGGEST STORMS APPROACHING SEVERE BUT LITTLE DIRECTIONAL OR SPEED SHEAR WILL MAKE ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS HARD TO MAINTAIN. BY WEDNESDAY AND LASTING INTO THE WEEKEND...MODELS SHOW THE EAST STABILIZING SOMEWHAT AND AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE DEEPER MOISTURE (HIGHER PW'S) ALSO PUSHED WEST. GIVEN THESE TWO FACTS KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS OUT WEST AND THE LOW (NO) POPS IN THE EAST. WILL BE INTERESTING TO WATCH THE LONG TERM (BEYOND CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD) AS BOTH GFS/ECMWF BRING BREAK OFF LOW FROM EAST COAST LOW BACK WESTWARD INTO TEXAS NEXT TUE/WED. ALSO A BACK DOOR PRECEDES THIS FEATURE EARLY MONDAY. COULD BE A REAL RAINMAKER BUT PLENTY OF TIME FOR THE MODELS TO GET COLD FEET ON THIS ONE. && .AVIATION...VALID 08/00Z-09/00Z. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THRU THE FCST PD. EASTERLY FLOW AT SFC WILL CONTINUE MOISTURE SUPPLY AND TOGETHER WITH SOME INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE SCT MTN AND ISOLD BASIN SHWRS AND TSTMS MAINLY 18Z-06Z. FEW-SCT 060-080 SCT-BKN 100-140 AND SCT-BKN 200-250. LCL BKN-OVC 040-060 OVC100 1-3SM +RA TSRAGS BLDU. && .FIRE WEATHER... A LARGE RIDGE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER NEW MEXICO AND WILL REMAIN SO FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK. THIS HIGH WILL ACT TO REDUCE THE INSTABILITY SOMEWHAT...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING TO KEEP CONVECTION AT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LEVELS EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK. STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED OROGRAPHICALLY AND IN GENERAL WILL FAVOR AREAS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. WINDS ALOFT ARE QUITE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THUS STORMS WILL MOVE FAIRLY SLOWLY MAKING FLOODING OF LOW AREAS MORE LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM WITH DAILY HIGHS AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. IN GENERAL THE MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RUN IN THE 20% TO 30% FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY ACROSS THE ZONES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 78 98 76 98 76 / 10 10 20 10 10 SIERRA BLANCA 74 96 71 97 73 / 10 0 20 10 10 LAS CRUCES 73 97 69 96 71 / 20 10 20 10 10 ALAMOGORDO 74 97 73 97 75 / 20 10 20 20 10 CLOUDCROFT 51 75 50 75 48 / 30 40 20 40 20 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 73 96 69 95 71 / 20 20 20 20 20 SILVER CITY 64 89 64 88 62 / 40 30 30 30 30 DEMING 71 98 65 96 67 / 30 20 30 10 20 LORDSBURG 71 100 70 99 72 / 30 20 30 20 30 WEST EL PASO METRO 75 98 75 97 74 / 10 10 20 10 10 DELL CITY 71 97 67 96 70 / 10 0 20 10 10 FORT HANCOCK 81 100 78 99 81 / 10 0 20 10 10 LOMA LINDA 68 91 68 91 67 / 10 10 20 10 10 FABENS 80 99 74 99 77 / 10 0 20 10 10 SANTA TERESA 73 97 72 97 72 / 20 10 20 10 10 WHITE SANDS HQ 78 96 76 96 78 / 20 10 20 10 20 JORNADA RANGE 68 96 64 97 66 / 20 10 20 10 10 HATCH 75 94 72 93 74 / 20 20 20 10 10 COLUMBUS 74 98 72 96 74 / 20 20 20 10 20 OROGRANDE 72 97 70 98 72 / 20 10 20 20 10 MAYHILL 59 83 59 83 54 / 30 30 20 30 20 MESCALERO 56 86 55 85 52 / 30 40 20 40 20 TIMBERON 58 80 58 81 55 / 30 40 20 30 10 WINSTON 59 90 58 86 59 / 30 30 40 30 30 HILLSBORO 68 93 68 90 67 / 30 20 30 20 30 SPACEPORT 72 96 68 95 70 / 20 20 20 10 10 LAKE ROBERTS 61 91 59 88 56 / 30 40 40 30 30 HURLEY 62 89 66 89 63 / 30 30 30 30 30 CLIFF 58 98 55 97 57 / 30 20 30 30 30 MULE CREEK 55 97 52 95 51 / 30 30 30 20 30 FAYWOOD 65 93 65 90 64 / 30 30 30 20 30 ANIMAS 71 101 70 100 72 / 30 20 30 20 30 HACHITA 68 100 65 98 67 / 30 20 30 20 30 ANTELOPE WELLS 71 98 70 97 72 / 30 20 30 20 30 CLOVERDALE 65 97 69 92 68 / 30 20 30 20 30 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && HEFNER/NOVLAN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 1129 AM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-081715- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 1129 AM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAIN THREATS ARE HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. ALSO PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING...WITH BEST COVERAGE WEST OF DEMING. AGAIN BIGGEST THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR DAMAGE OR FLOODING TO THIS OFFICE. HEFNER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX 1239 PM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 NMZ414>417-071930- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET NM-OTERO MESA NM-SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET NM-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET NM- 1239 PM MDT SUN JUL 7 2013 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS... AT 1235 PM MDT...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL CREST OF THE SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...BASICALLY IN A BROKEN LINE FROM NEAR LAKE MESCALERO TO SILVER LAKE TO JUST NORTH OF TIMBERON. THESE STORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...AND ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL. SMALL HAIL MAY ACCUMULATE IN A FEW SPOTS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO OTHER PARTS OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS OUTFLOW DEVELOPS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TIMBERON... MESCALERO... CLOUDCROFT... ELK SILVER... SIXTEEN SPRINGS... SILVER LAKE... APACHE SUMMIT... MOUNTAIN PARK... SUNSPOT... WEED... BLUFF SPRINGS... LAKE MESCALERO... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. TORRENTIAL RAIN MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED ROADWAY. HARDIMAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
152 PM MDT SUN JUL 07 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM FLASH FLOOD MIMBRES 32.86N 107.98W
07/06/2013 GRANT NM FOREST SERVICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER EPZ1300514
HARDIMANThe El Paso radar (KEPZ), 169 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:58 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Forest Service personnel reported Mimbres River flooded access roads to the silver fire Incident Center. Low water crossings were impassable due to high water and debris flow. Minor flooding was also reported at Cold Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 467428.