Hail and Damaging Winds in New Hampshire, May 21, 2013

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
434 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SNE TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING
TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE. COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVING SW FROM E MA. LOTS OF CU HAVE DEVELOPED
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WITH WIDELY SCT CONVECTION ACROSS SNE WITH
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING EWD FROM E NYS. ENVIRONMENT IS
RATHER UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES 2000+ J/KG ACROSS LOWER CT VALLEY
WITH DECREASING CAPES FURTHER E. EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE INTERIOR...MAINLY CENTRAL AND W ZONES AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY AS ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR STORMS. AS BACKDOOR
FRONT CONTINUES PUSHING WEST...FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL
SHIFT TO THE CT VALLEY LATE AFTERNOON AND TOWARD EVENING. 0-6KM
SHEAR IN THE UNSTABLE AIR IS 25-30 KT WHICH IS MORE THAN ENOUGH
FOR STORM ORGANIZATION GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF CAPE. EXPECT A FEW
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS INTO THIS EVENING.

TONIGHT...CONVECTION SHOULD WEAKEN THIS EVENING...BUT WITH
UNSTABLE AIR ALOFT PERSISTING AND BACKDOOR FRONT IN THE AREA CANT
RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM DURING THE NIGHT
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY. THE BACKDOOR
FRONT MAY MAKE IT TO THE CT VALLEY LATER TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TO REDEVELOP AGAIN
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE COASTAL PLAIN AND A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN. MIN TEMPS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 50S
WITH LOWER 60S IN THE LOWER CT VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
BACKDOOR FRONT WILL MOVE/JUMP TO THE NORTH ON WED AS LOW LEVEL SW
FLOW MIXES DOWN TO THE SURFACE. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL ERODE AS
SW FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED...BUT THE LOW CLOUDS/FOG MAY LINGER
MOST OF THE DAY OVER THE ISLANDS AND ESPECIALLY ACK. 850 MB TEMPS
15-16C SO IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY WITH TEMPS WELL
INTO THE 80S AWAY FROM THE S COAST AND POSSIBLY A FEW LOCATIONS
NEARING 90 IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS.

CONVECTION WILL BE A CONCERN ONCE AGAIN WED AFTERNOON AS
ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. HIGHEST MLCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG WILL BE
FOCUSED MOSTLY WEST OF I95 AS SW FLOW WILL ACT TO STABILIZE THE
COASTAL PLAIN. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS A BIT WEAKER WED AND MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE MARGINAL...BUT MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS
SCT STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND CANT RULE OUT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS IN THE INTERIOR.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
* COOLER AND LESS HUMID FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK

OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...

MEDIUM RANGE OPERATIONAL MODEL SUITE SIGNALING AN AMPLIFIED...
SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE LOWER 48. AT THE START...
NOTING LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER PLAINS INTO THE WESTERN
LAKES THOUGH SOME DIFFERENCES IN POSITIONING...ALONG WITH H5
CUTOFF LOW MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST. LOWER THAN AVERAGE
CONFIDENCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
OPERATIONAL SUITE...THOUGH GENERAL SURFACE SYSTEM POSITIONS AND
TIMING SIGNALS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND SEEM FAIRLY GOOD.
BETTER CONTINUITY AMONGST THE MODEL ENSEMBLES...SO LEANED CLOSER
TO THOSE BUT DID INCORPORATE A LITTLE OF THE 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF
INTO THE EARLY PORTION OF THE LONG TERM /WED NIGHT TO FRI/.

ANTICIPATE SLOW BUT STEADY CHANGE TO THE UPPER PATTERN LATE THIS
WEEK AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. FRI-SAT. THIS
WILL BRING AIRMASS CHANGE AS UPPER WINDS SHIFT TO NW...BRINGING
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE CONTINUES FOR THE THU-FRI
TIMEFRAME WITH PERIODIC PRECIP AND SCATTERED CONVECTION...THEN
COLD FRONT SHOULD SWEEP THROUGH FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT. MODERATE
CONFIDENCE BEYOND FRIDAY AS MAY SEE SOME TIMING ISSUES WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH SOMETIME SAT. FEW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE...BUT TIMING IS DIFFICULT. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS THIS WEEKEND
TO RUN UP TO 5 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. DOES LOOK TO BE DRY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CLOSE TO SEASONABLE TEMPS.

DETAILS...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BROAD UPPER RIDGING STARTS TO BREAK DOWN...
WHILE STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. MAY SEE WEAK WAVE MOVING ON THIS FRONT...WHICH COULD
BRING SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS FAR INTERIOR AREAS OF S NH/W MA/N
CENTRAL CT. KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING THERE. WITH SW FLOW IN
PLACE...EXPECT WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE
LOWER-MID 60S...EXCEPT THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

THURSDAY...H5 TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH WITH ITS ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT. RATHER AMPLIFIED UPPER SYSTEM...SO COLD FRONT
WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE ACROSS.

WILL REMAIN WELL IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON
THURSDAY...SO EXPECT ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND SCT TSTMS. VERY HUMID
AIRMASS IN PLACE AS WELL...WITH PW VALUES AROUND 1.7 INCHES. WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH SOME SHOWERS...ALONG WITH HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS. MAY NOT QUITE REACH SEVERE THRESHOLDS AS CLOUDS
WILL BE MORE PREVALENT.  EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY TO REACH THE MID
AND UPPER 70S...THOUGH A FEW SPOTS MAY REACH 80 IF THE SUN BREAKS
THROUGH. WILL ALSO SEE GUSTY SW WINDS...UP TO 20-25 KT DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

TIMING OF COLD FRONT IS STILL IN QUESTION...THOUGH APPEARS IT
SHOULD SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION THU NIGHT...MAY REACH THE COAST BY
12Z FRI. HAVE CARRIED LIKELY TO CAT POPS AS COLD FRONT PASSES.
LOOKS LIKE BEST INSTABILITY MAY PASS E OVERNIGHT...BUT COULD STILL
SEE SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION SO KEPT SCT THUNDER IN THE FORECAST.
TEMPS DO START DROPPING BACK TO THE LOWER-MID 50S LATE ACROSS FAR
INTERIOR AREAS.

FRIDAY...COLD FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE E COAST DURING THE MORNING
BUT SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO MID MORNING ACROSS E MA.
OTHERWISE... EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE THOUGH IT WILL BE
NOTICEABLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID.

SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BLOCKING UPPER PATTERN CONTINUES
ACROSS LABRADOR INTO GREENLAND THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME...WHICH WILL
KEEP HIGH PRES BUILDING OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. LONG RANGE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. EXPECT DRY AND COOL
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ON
SATURDAY...EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY IN THE 60S...RUNNING 4 TO 8
DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS...THOUGH WILL MODIFY A BIT THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THIS TIMEFRAME.

DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON...KEPT PREVIOUS FORECAST
GOING FROM SUNDAY ONWARD...BUT LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

OVERVIEW...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND AREAL COVERAGE OF
STRATUS AND FOG THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH
IFR PERSISTING AT ACK AND STRATUS/PATCHY FOG ACROSS NE MA TO BOS
HARBOR. EXPECT THE IFR CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY EXPAND SW ACROSS
THE REGION LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE THE FOG BANK NEAR THE
ISLANDS GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH. SCT CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WITH BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS/TSTMS. WIDESPREAD
IFR/LIFR LIKELY TONIGHT...GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR 14-16Z AS SW
WINDS DEVELOP...BUT IFR MAY PERSIST MOST OF THE DAY AT ACK.

KBOS TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN LOWERING TREND...LOWER
CONFIDENCE IN TIMING. IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL
REDEVELOP...POSSIBLY AS SOON AS LATE AFTERNOON.

KBDL TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT CONDITIONS LOWER TO IFR
TONIGHT. EXACT TIMING UNCERTAIN.

OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE. EXPECT VARIABLE
CONDITIONS DEPENDING UPON SHOWER AND FOG DEVELOPMENT. BETTER SHOT
FOR IFR VSBYS IN FOG ALONG S COAST ON S-SW WINDS AND MILD TEMPS
MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THOUGH BEST SHOT ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS...WITH MVFR-IFR
CIGS/VSBYS. MAY SEE LOCAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS. LOW CONFIDENCE ON
TIMING AND PLACEMENT.

THURSDAY...LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE. VERY UNSETTLED PATTERN
AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. VARIABLE CONDITIONS BETWEEN VFR
AND MVFR/IFR IN SHRA/TSRA/PATCHY FOG. COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
REGION THU NIGHT...SO WILL SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN
AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT THU NIGHT...THEN INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS AFTER
06Z-07Z. MAY SEE SW WIND GUSTING UP TO 20-25 KT DURING THE DAY AS
WELL. WINDS SHIFT TO W-NW ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. MAY SEE LEFTOVER POCKETS OF
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE ACROSS E MA THROUGH 14Z-15Z FRI.
OTHERWISE...VFR.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA
THROUGH WED. INCREASING SW FLOW WILL RESULT IN SEAS BUILDING OVER
THE S COASTAL WATERS. LEANED MORE HEAVILY ON THE SWAN GUIDANCE FOR
SEAS FORECAST AS THE WNAWAVE GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE TOO HIGH. SEAS
COULD BUILD TO 5 FT OVER THE S COASTAL WATERS ON WED AND A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL
AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT INTO WED MORNING.

OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...HIGH CONFIDENCE. EXPECT SW WINDS GUSTING TO 25
KT AND SEAS UP TO 6-8 FT...HIGHEST ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS. VSBYS
LOWERED IN PATCHY FOG ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WATERS.

THURSDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL KEEP SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA WINDS AND SEAS IN PLACE. EXPECT LOW
VSBYS IN HEAVY SHOWERS...PATCHY FOG. SCT THUNDER AS WELL. WINDS
MAY SHIFT TO W-NW ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO
CLEAR THE WATERS...SO EXPECT SW WINDS IN PLACE FOR A PORTION OF
THE DAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO W-NW ACROSS THE EASTERN WATERS.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
SMALL CRAFT FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND ESPECIALLY ON THE OUTER
WATERS. NW GUSTS MAY APPROACH 25 KT.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KJC/EVT
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...KJC/EVT
MARINE...KJC/EVT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
600 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-NHZ011-RIZ001>004-222200-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-CHESHIRE NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
600 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 204 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECT TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE. MAIN THREATS WILL BE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ005>007-013>024-026-NHZ012-015-RIZ005>008-222200-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
600 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND
AND MOST OF MASSACHUSETTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MASS PIKE. THESE
STORMS COULD CONTAIN LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL AS
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECT TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AND INTO FRIDAY. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE. MAIN THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-222200-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
600 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF NORTH TO NORTHWEST GALES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
636 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

MAZ005-013>016-212300-
SUFFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
636 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 635 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM SUDBURY TO
NORWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOSTON...CAMBRIDGE...QUINCY...NEWTON...FRAMINGHAM...WALTHAM...
BROOKLINE...WESTON...WATERTOWN...NEEDHAM...WESTWOOD...WELLESLEY...
MILTON...DEDHAM...NATICK...WAYLAND...SUDBURY...DOVER...WEST ROXBURY
AND HYDE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET INDOORS WHEN THESE STORMS APPROACH. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE...SUCH AS DOWNED BRANCHES. MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4219 7127 4239 7158 4240 7115 4233 7104
      4231 7103 4230 7105 4229 7102 4231 7102
      4231 7101 4228 7102 4226 7097 4227 7095
      4225 7096 4226 7093 4222 7091
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 279DEG 25KT 4236 7147 4219 7119

JWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
647 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     HAIL             MANCHESTER              41.78N  72.52W
05/21/2013  M1.00 INCH       HARTFORD           CT   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
649 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     HAIL             MANCHESTER              41.78N  72.52W
05/21/2013  M1.00 INCH       HARTFORD           CT   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
651 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

NHZ011-015-212330-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
651 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 647 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WESTMINSTER...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF BELLOWS
FALLS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KEENE...SURRY...SULLIVAN...GILSUM...DUBLIN...WINDSOR...STODDARD...
NELSON...MARLBOROUGH...ROXBURY...HARRISVILLE...WALPOLE...
WESTMORELAND...HANCOCK AND ANTRIM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET INDOORS WHEN THIS STORM APPROACHES. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE...SUCH AS DOWNED BRANCHES. MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4309 7193 4282 7200 4295 7254 4297 7252
      4297 7247 4298 7246 4299 7247 4300 7245
      4302 7246 4305 7247 4308 7244 4312 7244
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 281DEG 19KT 4303 7242

RLG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
708 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

CTZ002-212345-
HARTFORD CT-
708 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...HEADS UP FOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING SOUTHWEST HARTFORD
COUNTY...

AT 700 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR LITCHFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

IF THIS STORM HOLDS TOGETHER...IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
CORNER OF HARTFORD COUNTY BETWEEN 745 PM AND 830 PM. THE STORM MAY
PRODUCE QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS POSSIBLY IMPACTED INCLUDE... NEW BRITAIN...BRISTOL...
NEWINGTON...FARMINGTON...PLAINVILLE...WETHERSFIELD...BERLIN...
SOUTHINGTON AND BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET INDOORS WHEN THIS STORM APPROACHES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL
HAZARDS RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 4180 7294 4170 7263 4164 7267 4163 7271
      4161 7271 4159 7275 4158 7275 4157 7280
      4155 7282 4157 7285 4155 7285 4156 7288
      4156 7295 4163 7293 4164 7294 4164 7299
      4180 7302 4180 7301
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 307DEG 16KT 4177 7317

JWD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
710 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

MAZ005-013>015-220000-
SUFFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
710 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 705 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WATERTOWN...OR 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WALTHAM...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOSTON...CAMBRIDGE...NEWTON...SOMERVILLE...WALTHAM...BROOKLINE...
WESTON...LINCOLN...MALDEN...MEDFORD...REVERE...ARLINGTON...EVERETT...
WOBURN...CHELSEA...WATERTOWN...BEDFORD...LEXINGTON...NEEDHAM AND
MELROSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET INDOORS WHEN THIS STORM APPROACHES. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE...SUCH AS DOWNED BRANCHES. MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 7105 4247 7105 4243 7100 4244 7096
      4236 7102 4237 7104 4239 7104 4239 7107
      4238 7105 4236 7105 4235 7102 4227 7108
      4226 7111 4225 7111 4228 7140 4253 7133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 274DEG 25KT 4237 7121

RLG