During a roughly 30-hour period starting on Wednesday the 20th, but peaking in intensity on Thursday the 21st, the majority of the 24-county area experienced its heaviest snowfall of the 2012-2013 winter season. For some locations near the Kansas border this was actually one of the largest storm-total snowfalls on record. This included Red Cloud, where 13.5 inches ranked as the sixth-highest two-day total since 1894. According to NWS cooperative observers, essentially the entire area totaled at least 6-10, with the highest amounts of 10-14 concentrated in southwestern counties generally south of a line from Cozad-Holdrege-Nelson. In addition to 13.5 at Red Cloud, a few of the biggest totals included 14 at Harlan County Lake and Beaver City, 13.5 eight miles south of Elwood, 12.5 at Naponee and Nelson, and 12 near Blue Hill and Upland. The overall lowest amounts affected eastern areas near the Highway 81 corridor, including 6.5 at Osceola, 6 near York and 7 at Geneva and Bruning. In between these lowest and highest extremes were places such as Grand Island and Holdrege (10), and Hastings (9.5). Although the heavy snow itself created considerable impact across the region with very poor visibilities and at least minor drifting, the magnitude of blowing snow was held in check by sustained easterly to northerly winds that generally topped out around 20 MPH and mainly gusted under 25 MPH, keeping this storm from reaching blizzard status. Liquid-equivalent moisture between one-half inch and one inch was common, and also welcome across the drought-stricken area, with locally higher totals including 1.25 at Red Cloud.
Although accumulating snow fell off-and-on for roughly 30 hours across all of South Central Nebraska, the timing of the most intense snowfall varied. For most places, the first light accumulations got underway between the mid-morning and late afternoon hours on the 20th. Then from the evening of the 20th into the pre-dawn hours of the 21st, a heavier snow band affected primarily southwestern counties. By sunrise on the 21st, southern and western locations such as Cozad, Cambridge and Red Cloud had already totaled 5-8, while the majority of South Central Nebraska reported no more than 1-3. That changed in a big way during the daytime hours on the 21st, as the most intense snow bands of the event blossomed across the area, accompanied by steady northeast winds and temperatures generally hovering between 18-22 degrees. These snow bands gradually weakened and dissipated from south-to-north during the evening, with most of South Central Nebraska void of falling snow by 9 PM as a closed mid level low pressure system lifted farther north. On the synoptic scale aloft, this prolonged winter storm was forced by the approach and eventual passage of an expansive, amplified mid-upper level trough. The primary mid-level 700-500 millibar closed low tracked from southern California on the morning of the 20th, to the Texas Panhandle on the morning of the 21st, before deepening and lifting slowly north-northeast across central Kansas into southeast Nebraska during the daytime and evening hours. Periods of isentropic lift associated with smaller-scale shortwave troughs lifting out ahead of the main system were responsible for snowfall from the 20th into the morning of the 21st, with the most intense snow bands during the day on the 21st driven by pronounced deformation on the northwest periphery of the mid level low track. From a forecast perspective, although northern and eastern portions of South Central Nebraska did not receive quite as much snow as originally expected, this winter storm was overall one of the best-anticipated in recent memory thanks to unusually high consistency in computer model solutions. Although the finer details of timing and full snowfall potential did not come into focus until a few days out, signs of a potentially significant winter storm were recognized over one week in advance.