Flooding and Strong Wind in Massachusetts, June 7 to 8, 2013

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
719 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF POST-TROPICAL ANDREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF ANDREA...THEREAFTER
BECOMING DRY AND SEASONABLE INTO SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE USHERS ANOTHER
BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH 12 PM SATURDAY/...

** THE REMNANTS OF CURRENT POST-TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WILL BRING
 HEAVY RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING INTO SATURDAY MORNING **

COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTH. CLOSELY MONITORING CONVECTION FIRING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE DRY-SLOT WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF ANDREA. FEEL THE PLAUSIBILITY AND STRENGTH OF
CONVECTION WILL WEAKEN WITH APPROACH AS THE NIGHT SETTLES IN.
EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

IT IS FAIRLY CERTAIN THE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
DELMARVA PENINSULA ACROSS SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. BUT WHAT REMAINS UNCERTAIN IS THE AREA OF BEST FORCING
AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF RAINFALL WILL MATERIALIZE. MODELS
SLIGHTLY DIFFER FROM ONE ANOTHER CONCERNING THE SPECIFIC LOCATION
OF THE SURFACE LOW WITH PASSAGE...AS WELL AS THE ATTENDANT UPPER-
LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS KEY WITH RESPECT TO THE COASTAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND THE LOW-MID LEVEL FOCUS AND FORCING OF DEEP/RICH
TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD.

THE PRESENT THINKING HAS THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL SLIGHTLY
WEST. WITH THE RIGHT-REAR QUADRANT MORE ACROSS UPSTATE NY...FEEL
THE WARM-MOIST CONVEYER BELT HAS THE GREATEST ENHANCEMENT /DEEP
LAYER ASCENT/ TO THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE SURFACE LOW.
LOCALES ACROSS THE BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY ARE
UNDER THREAT OF SEEING 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT
OF PERIOD...POTENTIALLY ON THE ORDER OF 6-HOURS. WITH THE STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW...THERE IS LIKELY TO BE SOME
LOCALIZED OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE EAST-FACING SLOPES OF
HIGHER TERRAIN /BERKSHIRES...WORCESTER HILLS...MONADNOCKS/.

CLOSELY MONITORING THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPSTREAM DRY-SLOT WHICH
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
ENGLAND. WITH THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE RAINFALL AXIS...LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED SOUTH AND EAST. WILL STILL CONTINUE THE
FLOOD WATCH AS PLACES SUCH AS NEW BEDFORD AND FALL RIVER ARE
SUSCEPTIBLE WITH ONE INCH OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

CONTINUE TO OUTLINE MAIN THREATS FROM EARLIER...

1) HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING...

ANTICIPATING URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...PONDING OF WATER
ALONG ROADWAYS ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL BE OF
GREATEST CONCERN WITH THE EVENING COMMUTE ACROSS ALL METRO AREAS
OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

IN ADDITION...EXPECTING SMALL STREAMS TO BECOME FLASHY. ALREADY
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT
FITCHBURG AND THE PAWTUXET RIVER IN CRANSTON. PEOPLE WITHIN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE ON ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF THEIR
LOCATION BEING POTENTIALLY INUNDATED. THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES.

AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT IS POSED SW-NE THROUGH CENTRAL
NEW ENGLAND WITH 2 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN AS LITTLE AS
6-HOURS. STORM TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 5 INCHES WITHIN THE
CONNECTICUT VALLEY AND WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. COULD SEE
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE EAST-FACING SLOPES OF HIGHER
TERRAIN.

2) WINDS...

WITH THE EXPECTED TRACK...WIND IS MAINLY AN ISSUE ACROSS THE CAPE
AND THE ISLANDS...STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL CENTER AROUND MIDNIGHT
INTO EARLY MORNING SATURDAY. COOLER SURROUNDING OCEAN WATERS MAY
LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLING /STABLE SURFACE LAYER/ AND MAKE
IT DIFFICULT FOR 60 MPH WINDS 2-3 KFT ALOFT TO MIX-DOWN. AFTER
THOROUGH CONSIDERATION...ONLY NANTUCKET REACHES WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA AND WILL KEEP WIND-ADVISORY HEADLINES ACCORDINGLY.

3) SEVERE WEATHER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

FEEL INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED AS THE DRY SLOT ASSOCIATED WITH
POST-TROPICAL ANDREA MOVES NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NOCTURNAL
PERIOD. NEVERTHELESS...WITH THE MINOR INSTABILITY UP TO 200 J/KG
HAVE CONTINUED WITH A MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS. CONSIDERING THE
ANTICIPATED SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MOISTURE IN THE AIR...ANY
THUNDERSTORMS COULD POSE THREATS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING
WINDS. STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO...THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/...

WITH THE DEPARTURE OF POST-TROPICAL ANDREA...A COOLER AIR MASS
MOVES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WITH THE PREVAILING W/NW FLOW. WITH THE
EXPECTATION OF CLEARING CONDITIONS...THE COMBINATION OF SUN AND
MID-LEVEL COOLING WILL ALLOW FOR A CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE PROFILE.
FAVORABLE DESTABILIZATION LOOKS PLAUSIBLE OVER INTERIOR NEW
ENGLAND ALLOWING FOR THE INITIATION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE STILL WILL BE AN
ABUNDANCE OF CLOUDS. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT LENDING TO UNI-
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY CONTAIN THE THREATS OF
HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS. CLOSELY MONITORING WHETHER BRIEF
SPIN-UPS ARE POSSIBLE. HODOGRAPHS NOT FULLY SUPPORTIVE...HAVE LOW
CONFIDENCE. HIGHS IN THE LOW-MID 70S.

ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN. TURNING COOLER WITH LOWS INTO THE LOW-MID 50S. PATCHY FOG
COULD BECOME AN ISSUE.

REMNANT SWELL AND WAVE HEIGHTS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG ALL OCEAN-FACING BEACHES. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL DAY SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

BIG PICTURE/PREFERENCES...

MIDWEST SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST DURING THE
WEEK...MOVING OFF TO OUR EAST ON FRIDAY.  THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER
ON SOME DETAILS BUT ARE GENERALLY SIMILAR WITH THIS FEATURE AND SO A
BLEND OF SOLUTIONS SHOULD WORK.  ENERGY HANGING BACK FROM THIS
SHORTWAVE FORMS A TROUGH OVER THE CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC BY THE
WEEKEND...BUT WITH HINTS OF A BUILDING RIDGE OVER NEW ENGLAND.
AGAIN...A GFS/ECMWF BLEND IS FAVORED.

THE DAILIES...

SUNDAY... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL MEAN A DRY DAY.  A
SHORTWAVE RACES UP THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND MAY BRING CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS TO OUR NORTH BUT THIS LOOKS TO BYPASS OUR AREA.  MIXING
SHOULD REACH TO AT LEAST 850 MB AND POSSIBLY TO 800 MB. MIXING THE
TEMPS T0 850 MB BRINGS MAX SURFACE TEMPS NEAR 80F...MIXING TO 800 MB
WOULD SUPPORT MAX TEMPS 83-84F.  SOUTH COAST AND CAPE ANN SEABREEZES
POSSIBLE.

MONDAY... UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE FOR PART OF MONDAY...THEN
MOVES EAST.  LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW MOVES SLOWLY
EAST FROM THE MIDWEST.  THIS PRESENTS A DRY PATTERN FOR NEW ENGLAND
TO START THE DAY. THE UPPER FLOW TURNS LATER IN THE DAY WITH A 30-40
KNOT SOUTHWEST FLOW FEEDING UP FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL DRAW
MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND RUN IT UP OVER THE SURFACE AIRMASS.  THE
RESULT WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS
FOR MUCH OF THIS PERIOD. ISENTROPIC LIFT MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE MAIN
LOW LEVEL JET AIMED FOR NY AND VERMONT.  SO THE INITIAL AREA OF BEST
RAINFALL SHOULD BE TO OUR WEST/NORTH.  WITH TIME AND AS A SECOND LOW
LEVEL JET MOVES UP...THIS MAXIMUM PRECIP WILL SHIFT ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND.  STABILITY PARAMETERS GROW MORE FAVORABLE FOR
CONVECTION DURING TUESDAY WITH TOTALS NEAR 48 AND LI VALUES -2 TO -
4.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.75 INCHES SUGGEST LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE.

THE SURFACE LOW SWINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY
EVENING/NIGHT.  EXPECT DIMINISHING POPS BEHIND THE FRONT.  AN UPPER
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL TRAILING THE SYSTEM WILL SWING
OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY...SO EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDS AND LINGERING
SHOWERS THROUGH THAT TIME.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND
AND THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE PERIOD.  THIS SHOULD PROVIDE DRY
WEATHER MUCH OF THE PERIOD.  UPPER CYCLONIC FLOW MAY LINGER THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AND MAINTAIN A LOW-END CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.  LOW PRESSURE WITH THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM NEAR THE CAROLINAS
WILL ALSO GENERATE SHOWERS TO OUR SOUTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BUT WITH
BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT WE EXPECT THIS ACTION TO REMAIN TO OUR
SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

0Z UPDATE...

CHALLENGES IN FORECASTING THE CLEARING MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARDS
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. HAVE TIMING BETWEEN 1-2Z WITH TEMPO GROUPS
ALLOWING FOR SOME VFR AFTER EVALUATING UPSTREAM OBS. CLOSELY
MONITORING FOR TSRA...ALREADY A FEW STORMS DEVELOPING AROUND LONG
ISLAND. ANY TSRA ASSOCIATIONED WITH +RA AND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS.

OTHERWISE IFR-LIFR CIGS WITH +RA INTO THE EVENING AS POST-TROPICAL
ANDREA LIFTS TOWARDS KTAN AND ACROSS BY 12Z SATURDAY. VSBYS
DIFFICULT TO TIME...BUT RANGING BETWEEN MVFR-IFR.

EASTERLY FLOW BACKING OUT OF THE N/NE OVER THE INTERIOR...S/SE
ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KTS. WIND
ADVISORIES UP FOR ACK THIS EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TAPER...BACKING OUT OF THE NW...AS ANDREA MOVES OFF
N/E DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR.
THERE IS A RENEWED CHANCE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY FOR SHRA/TSRA
ACROSS INTERIOR TERMINALS...WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHING FROM BAF-BDL
TOWARDS THE I-95 CORRIDOR. ACTIVITY QUIETS DOWN DURING THE EVENING
PERIOD...PREVAILING VFR.

KBOS TERMINAL AND KBDL TERMINAL...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUNDAY...VFR.

MONDAY...VFR. CIGS/VSBYS SHOULD SHOW A LOWERING TREND TO MVFR LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHT AS SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY... MVFR AND LOW-END VFR CIGS/VSBYS IN
SHOWERS/SCATTERED TSTMS.  LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH THESE
SHOWERS.  THE HEAVIEST ACTION WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

NEAR-TERM /INTO SATURDAY NIGHT/...

POST-TROPICAL ANDREA MOVING ACROSS TAUNTON MASSACHUSETTS AROUND
SATURDAY MORNING. WILL SEE GALES ACROSS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WATERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY INTO MIDDAY SATURDAY...SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR ALL OTHER LOCALES. S/SE WINDS COULD GUST UP TO 50
KTS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET.

WAVE HEIGHTS ON THE OUTER SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WATERS OF 10 TO 15
FEET. HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
DANGEROUS HIGH SURF WILL EXIST ALONG THE SHORES...A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.

WHILE WINDS WILL BACK OUT OF THE WEST AND DIMINISH INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT...SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 5 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS. GALE
WARNINGS WILL NEED TO BE CONVERTED TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ACCORDINGLY.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUNDAY...LINGERING 5-FOOT SEAS ON THE SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS WILL
DIMINISH. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY REMAIN FOR THOSE WATERS UNTIL
THEY DIMINSH.  WINDS BELOW 25 KNOTS.

MONDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS REMAIN BELOW 25 KNOTS.  SEAS BUILD TO 5
FEET SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS MONDAY NIGHT.  SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATER IN
THE DAY AND AT NIGHT.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL BE 5-7 FEET ON THE EXPOSED SOUTHERN
WATERS.  WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 25 KNOTS.  SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS/POOR VISIBILITY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH
LOCALLY 5+ INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND WITHIN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY AND WORCESTER HILLS. MAY SEE
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS EAST-FACING SLOPES OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE HEAVIEST OF RAIN IS UPON US AND WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. ITS POSSIBLE THAT LOCATIONS WILL SEE 2 TO 3 INCHES
OF RAIN IN JUST 6-HOURS.

OUR BIGGEST CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING WHICH IS ALMOST A CERTAINTY. IN ADDITION...SOME SMALLER
RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY BE EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING DEPENDING ON
WHERE EXACTLY THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN SETS UP. ALREADY FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG AND
THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.

MOST OF OUR MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THEIR BANKS...
BUT A FEW MAY GO INTO MINOR FLOOD IF THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE REALIZED. PEOPLE IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE ON ALERT AND
BE READY TO TAKE ACTION.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

NO COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE E COAST OF MA. THERE IS
A LOW PROBABILITY OF VERY MINOR FLOODING...PRIMARILY ALONG THE
SHORES OF BUZZARDS BAY DURING THE SATURDAY MORNING TIDE CYCLE WITH
THE ANTICIPATED STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS. SURGE FORECASTS INDICATE
AROUND A 2 FOOT SURGE FOR BUZZARDS BAY...BUT ASTRO TIDES ARE
RATHER LOW.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR MAZ002>021-026.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EDT
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR MAZ007-014>016-019-020-022>024.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     MAZ024.
NH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR NHZ011-012-015.
RI...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR RIZ001>007.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EDT
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR RIZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ232-254>256.
     GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ231-
     233>235.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ236.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ237.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO NOON EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ250.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ251.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...SIPPRELL
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...WTB/SIPPRELL
MARINE...WTB/SIPPRELL
HYDROLOGY...SIPPRELL/FRANK
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...SIPPRELL/FRANK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>013-017-018-021-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>005-082030-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ007-014>016-019-020-RIZ006-007-082030-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ022-023-RIZ008-082030-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ024-082030-
NANTUCKET MA-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ232-254>256-082030-
NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230-236-237-251-082030-
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ250-082030-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO NOON EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ231-233>235-082030-
CAPE COD BAY-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
423 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

CTZ002-003-MAZ008>011-072200-
TOLLAND CT-HARTFORD CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...HEAVY RAIN WILL ARRIVE IN THE HARTFORD AND SPRINGFIELD AREAS
EARLY THIS EVENING...

AT 430 PM...HEAVY RAIN WAS LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA. IT WILL ARRIVE IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE HARTFORD AND SPRINGFIELD AREAS...
BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM.

RAINFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MINOR
URBAN FLOODING...INCLUDING ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SMALLER
STREAMS HAVE BEGUN RISING DUE TO THE RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN SO FAR...
AND SOME MAY COME OUT OF THEIR BANKS EARLY TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FLOODING. FLOOD
WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS WHERE FLOODING IS IMMINENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DRIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODED ROADWAYS THROUGH THE EVENING
COMMUTE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATED
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 4215 7307 4233 7301 4216 7213 4196 7216
      4196 7222 4174 7222 4167 7227 4159 7247
      4165 7253 4163 7271 4155 7285 4156 7295
      4163 7293 4164 7299 4180 7302 4181 7295
      4197 7289 4197 7303 4204 7301 4204 7306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 219DEG 31KT 4115 7343

JWD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
643 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

MAZ022>024-080015-
NANTUCKET MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
643 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...HEAVY RAIN HEADING FOR CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...

AT 640 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND...THAT WILL AFFECT CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS
BETWEEN 730 PM AND 9 PM.

RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
OF ROADS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BARNSTABLE...FALMOUTH...BOURNE...HYANNIS...EASTHAM...TRURO...
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADS.

&&

LAT...LON 4137 7002 4134 7003 4133 7004 4154 7011
      4132 7005 4165 7015 4165 7026 4155 7053
      4154 7052 4135 7045 4155 7054 4155 7057
      4135 7050 4125 7082 4176 7063 4176 7061
      4190 7007 4189 7007 4184 7005 4179 7003
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 231DEG 46KT 4124 7147 4077 7074

JWD