Isolated thunderstorms affected parts of east Kentucky during the afternoon and evening hours of June 30th. One storm in particular became briefly severe producing some tree damage in the Clearfield community of Rowan County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Isolated thunderstorms affected parts of east Kentucky during the afternoon and evening hours of June 30th. One storm in particular became briefly severe producing some tree damage in the Clearfield community of Rowan County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 2:40 PM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 340 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 500MB LOW MADE ITS WAY INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN KY THIS MORNING...BRINGING WITH IT AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER. AN OCCLUDED FRONT HAS ALSO SET UP ALONG THE APPALACHIANS...CREATING A GOOD ENVIRONMENT FOR MOISTURE LIFT AND PRECIP. 850-500MB QVECTOR CONVERGENCE IS ALSO IMPLYING A BROAD AREA OF LIFT ACROSS MUCH OF KY AND NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN IN...OHIO...AND WV...WITH THE BEST CONCENTRATION BEING OVER OHIO. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE GIVING INDICATIONS OF A BETTER CONVECTIVE DAY THAN YESTERDAY AS WELL /DESPITE TSRA THAT DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT LAST NIGHT/...WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED AFTER 18Z TODAY ONCE LLVL AND MID LEVEL CAPS HAVE BROKEN. SOME AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BASED ON THE DRY AIR ALOFT AND A STRONG JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. WITH PREDOMINATE SW TO NE FLOW...STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN MAKING THIS PATH THROUGH THE CWA AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. OVERNIGHT...THOUGH LOW WILL STILL PLAY A ROLE IN SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS...OCCLUDED FRONT AND BEST LIFT WILL BEGIN EXITING TO THE EAST. WE WILL BE LEFT WITH A GOOD MOISTURE SOURCE...BUT DAYTIME INSTABILITY WILL BE LACKING. AS A RESULT...WILL SEE MORE OF A RAIN SHOWER POTENTIAL...WITH SOME LINGERING TO ISOLATED TSRA STILL POSSIBLE. CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR...SOME VALLEY FOG COULD NOT BE OUTRULED IN THIS MOIST ENVIRONMENT...BUT WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING RAIN SHOWERS. THINGS WILL CHANGE BY TOMORROW /MONDAY/ HOWEVER...AS THE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE FURTHER SE TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL PULL THE OCCLUDED FRONT SLIGHTLY BACK WESTWARD AND PLACE A BULLSEYE OF QVECTOR CONV OVER NORTHERN KY...EASTERN IN...AND WESTERN OHIO...WITH REASONABLE CONV EXPECTED ACROSS ALL THREE STATES. WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND SLIGHTLY STEEPER LAPSE RATES...ALONG WITH A BETTER POOL OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...EXPECT MUCH HIGHER PROB OF CONVECTION AND TSRA POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN CWA. WILL KEEP WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING OF HIGH END CHANCE/LIKELY POPS FOR LATE AFTERNOON TOMORROW...AS INSTABILITY AND DAYTIME HEATING PEAK. AS WAS THE CASE TODAY AND PREVIOUS DAYS...THE SPEED SHEAR IS GOOD...BUT THE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IS LACKING...SO EXPECT STORMS TO FOLLOW THE FLOW OF THE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND DROP DOWN/REDEVELOP OFTEN. THE CHALLENGE IS THEN TRYING TO PINPOINT EXACT ONSET OF PRECIP AS WELL AS TRYING TO BEST TRACK WHERE THE CELLS WILL DEVELOP. .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 340 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 THE MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE CONFLUENCE OF THE OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND RETROGRADES WEST INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BY MIDWEEK. THIS TROUGH WILL BE SHUNTED WESTWARD BY THE STRENGTHENING BERMUDA HIGH PUSHING TOWARD THE EAST COAST HEADING TOWARD THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. EVENTUALLY THIS WILL WEAR DOWN THE PLAIN/S TROUGH HELPING IT TO FILL WHILE LESSENING ITS EFFECT ON THE WEATHER ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY. WHILE HEIGHTS WILL BE RISING LOCALLY AS THE TROUGH GIVES WAY TO RIDGING...SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH DEEP LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT WARMING TEMPERATURES AND PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. DURING THE EXTENDED...MINOR MID LEVEL WAVES WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE AREA...WITH LITTLE FORECASTABILITY THIS FAR OUT...BUT LIKELY TO PERIODICALLY ENHANCE THE CONVECTION. TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED RIDGING MAY BUILD IN ENOUGH TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION OVER THE AREA... BUT THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE POP HEAVY. ALL IN ALL...THE MODEL SIMILARITIES RAISE CONFIDENCE IN THE CONSENSUS SOLUTION THAT THE CR GRID LOAD WILL PROVIDE...THOUGH AM WARY OF THE HIGHER POPS THIS WEEKEND. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A RATHER DAMP...AND INITIALLY COOLER THAN NORMAL PATTERN...FOR EAST KENTUCKY DURING THE EXTENDED. THE DAILY SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL FAVOR THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...BUT STRAY ONES AND POSSIBLY EVEN SOME ORGANIZED CLUSTERS WILL REMAIN A POTENTIAL AT NIGHT...AS WELL. OVER THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE EAST MAY PUSH IN ENOUGH TO SUPPRESS THE CONVECTION FOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES. WITH THE BUILDING HEIGHTS EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM SOME EACH DAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH A RATHER CLOUDY AND DAMP ENVIRONMENT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE EXTENDED...DID NOT ADJUST THE RIDGES AND VALLEYS MUCH FOR LOWS. THE CR GRID LOAD CAME IN DECENT ENOUGH...BUT PERHAPS TOO HIGH WITH POPS DURING THE NIGHT AND ALSO OVER THE WEEKEND SO HAVE NUDGED THEM DOWN. IN ADDITION...BUMPED MAX TEMPS A BIT WARMER FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 147 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STARTED DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN KY...FOLLOWING A SW TO NE FLOW. WITH THIS HAS COME A QUICKLY DEVELOPING CU DECK AROUND 3K /BORDERING VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS/. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT. THE QUESTION IS IF ANY OF THIS DEVELOPING CONVECTION WILL MAKE A DIRECT IMPACT ON A TAF SITE. WITH THIS UNCERTAINTY AT PLAY...JUST WENT WITH VCTS AT THIS TIME. IF SHRA/TSRA DOES IN FACT MOVE OVER TAF SITE...VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED BRIEFLY DUE TO ONSET OF SOME POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. BEST INSTABILITY WILL DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT...THOUGH CONTINUED SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. COULD NOT RULE OUT SOME VALLEY FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT... BUT NOT FAVORABLE ENOUGH CONDITIONS AT THIS POINT TO INCLUDE IN TAF SITES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO REDEVELOP BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW...WITH A BETTER PROBABILITY OF COVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA /INCLUDING ALL TAF SITES/. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...JMW LONG TERM...GREIF AVIATION...JMW
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 415 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-012315- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 415 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. JJ/GREIF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
526 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HEAVY RAIN WEST LIBERTY 37.91N 83.27W
06/30/2013 E1.31 INCH MORGAN KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET REPORTED 1.07 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 15
MINUTES. A SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED TORRENTIAL RAIN NEAR
CANNEL CITY ALONG WITH A MUD SLIDE.
&&
RAYPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
532 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HEAVY RAIN WEST LIBERTY 37.91N 83.27W
06/30/2013 M1.07 INCH MORGAN KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET REPORTED 1.07 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 15
MINUTES. A SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED TORRENTIAL RAIN NEAR
CANNEL CITY ALONG WITH A MUD SLIDE. CORRECTED FOR
RAINFALL AMOUNT.
&&
RAYThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 65 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:18 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
One 3 to 4 inch diameter tree snapped and a couple of large branches broken.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 458575.