Scattered thunderstorms affected east Kentucky during the afternoon and early evening hours. A particularly strong thunderstorm moved through Morgan and Johnson Counties late in the afternoon, producing some tree damage and dropping quarter sized hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms affected east Kentucky during the afternoon and early evening hours. A particularly strong thunderstorm moved through Morgan and Johnson Counties late in the afternoon, producing some tree damage and dropping quarter sized hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 16, 1:37 PM EST, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 237 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE NAM AND THE GFS AS TO DETERMINING HOW WIDESPREAD THE SHOWERS WILL BE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW. USED A MOS BLEND AND THEN NUDGED THE FORECAST TOWARD THE DRIER NAM RUN. AN ILL DEFINED FRONT WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA DURING THE SHORT TERM AND THEN SORT OF REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. A BIG QUESTION TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD IS WHETHER SOME WAVES WILL FORM OF THE FRONT. IF THIS HAPPENS...THEN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH DITCHES RUNNING FULL AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS MIGHT BE A FACTOR. IN ANY CASE...THIS WILL BE A WET PERIOD. FOR TEMPERATURES WENT WITH A MODEL BLEND. .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PART OF THE FORECAST WITH A 500 MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SCENARIO SUPPORTS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IDEA OF LIKELY PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF FORECAST AREA TO START TUESDAY...WITH A CHANCE IN THE NORTHWEST. ALL MODELS ARE ALSO HINTING AT A SECOND SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER IN THE DAY TUESDAY...BUT TIMING AND IMPACT OF THIS LESS CERTAIN. WHILE RAIN CHANCES WILL BE DECREASING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FIRST SHORT WAVE...AN UPTICK IN CHANCES MAY OCCUR AGAIN BY TUESDAY EVENING IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS IDEA IS SUPPORTED BY THE CONSENSUS BLEND WITH HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE FAR SOUTH AND FAR NORTH. HOWEVER WITH THE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT WILL LEAN TOWARDS NEIGHBORING WFO FORECASTS...AND WILL GO WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE NORTH FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH FROM THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY SHOULD RESULT IN GENERALLY DRY WEATHER ON THESE DAYS. MODELS HINT AT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST FOR BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE STANDARD BLENDED LOAD. THE EVOLUTION OF THE MEAN PATTERN LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND BECOMES MURKY WITH DECREASING MODEL AGREEMENT...BUT WITH EASTERN KY REMAINING ON THE NE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH WHICH WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PART OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE COMING WEEK. THE PATTERN COULD BE CONDUCIVE TO MCS DEVELOPMENT BUT TIMING AT THIS POINT IS UNCERTAIN. BEST BET IS TO FOLLOW THE BLENDED LOAD FOR RAIN CHANCES LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND WITH ONLY SOME MINOR MODIFICATIONS. DAILY TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...BUT THE GENERAL TREND WILL BE FOR SLOWLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 EXPECTING VARIABLE CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS NEAR THE TAF STATIONS WILL FACTOR INTO THE MORNING MIST/FOG FORECAST. HAVE PUT IN SOME IFR CIGS AND VSBY FOR FOR SME AND LOZ AS THEY ARE THE MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THEM. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF IN THE MORNING. THE FOG/MIST WILL BE BREAKING OUT AROUND 13Z AND THE THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD OF UNTIL AFTER 18Z. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...JJ LONG TERM...SBH AVIATION...JJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 426 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-171100- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 426 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS TODAY MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. JJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 515 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 KYZ044-051-162215- BATH-FLEMING- 515 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... NORTHERN BATH AND SOUTHERN FLEMING. AT 514 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF BETHEL...OR 16 MILES NORTH OF MOUNT STERLING...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...BETHEL AROUND 535 PM EDT...SHERBURNE AROUND 540 PM EDT...SHERBURNE AROUND 545 PM EDT...PEBBLE AROUND 550 PM EDT...ODESSA AROUND 555 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. RAY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 523 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 KYZ106-107-109-162215- JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-MORGAN- 523 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... WESTERN JOHNSON... NORTHERN MAGOFFIN AND EAST CENTRAL MORGAN. AT 523 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WONNIE...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF SALYERSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...PLUTARCH AROUND 530 PM EDT...EVER AROUND 535 PM EDT...LACEY AROUND 540 PM EDT...WIN AROUND 545 PM EDT...ELNA AROUND 550 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. RAY
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 48 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:42 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees were blown down and lots of tree litter covered a section of Highway 437, near the intersection with Highway 172.
A ten inch diameter tree was blown down near Highway 1614.
Quarter size hail fell just off of Highway 1614 on Jacks Drive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 458574, 458573, 458572.