An isolated severe thunderstorms produced flash flooding and some wind damage in McCreary County. The storm formed in a warm and unstable air mass ahead of an approaching cold front.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
An isolated severe thunderstorms produced flash flooding and some wind damage in McCreary County. The storm formed in a warm and unstable air mass ahead of an approaching cold front.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 2:29 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 329 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 329 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 ISOLD TO SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MORE SUBSTANTIAL AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FIRED OVER OHIO. HRRR HAS ACTUALLY BEEN DOING DECENT WITH CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. IN GENERAL IT KEEPS THE BULK OF ACTIVITY NORTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA...THOUGH RADAR TRENDS WOULD SUGGEST THAT OUR NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES MAY GET BRUSHED. INCREASED POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING TIME FRAME. PER THE HRRR...WITH COMPLEX OF STORMS PASSING GENERALLY TO OUR EAST THIS EVENING AND LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING GRADUALLY DROPPED POPS OFF THROUGH THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...RAMPED POPS BACK UP TOWARDS DAWN AS SHORT TERM HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF THE REMNANTS OF ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS ENTERING THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. OTHERWISE...MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND REFLECTED SFC COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PWATS OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS ARE SIGNIFICANT HITTING CLIMATOLOGICAL HIGHS AT TIMES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE NOT IN AS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO STORM MOTION THOUGH. THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH MOVEMENT WHEN COMPARED TO THE HIGHER RESOLUTION RAP AND NAM. REGARDLESS...WITH SUCH HIGH PWATS AND CONSIDERING A FAIRLY SATURATED GROUND FEEL THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR HYDRO ISSUES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. CONFIDENCE WAS LACKING WITH RESPECT TO A WIDESPREAD THREAT SO OPTED NOT TO ISSUE ANY TYPE OF FFA. BUT MAY RECONSIDER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WITH FUTURE FORECAST PACKAGES SHOULD MODELS COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO DETAILS...AND SHOW A MORE SIGNIFICANT THREAT. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO COVER THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO AND PASS CONCERNS ON TO FUTURE SHIFTS. GENERALLY FOLLOWED INHERITED TEMPS...NUDGING SLIGHTLY TOWARDS A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 329 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 THE MODELS HAVE A SIMILAR IDEA...THROUGH THE EXTENDED...OF A MID LEVEL PATTERN DOMINATED BY A LARGE AREA OF RIDGING...INITIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES EXPANDING NORTHEAST WITH TIME...AND DOWNSTREAM TROUGHING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES LATER AFFECTING MUCH OF THE EAST AND DEEP SOUTH. THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH STRENGTHENS A BIT ON THURSDAY AS ITS CORE MOVES EAST AND INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK BY 12Z FRIDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...ITS TRAILING AXIS AND MAIN ENERGY BAND WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY. THIS WILL ALLOW HEIGHTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH CUTS OFF OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND STARTS TO CONSOLIDATE. THOUGH THE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE RIDGE PLACEMENT...THEY DIFFER ON THE DETAILS REGARDING THE LOWER HEIGHT CENTERS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. INTO THIS MIX WILL ENTER THE UPPER HEIGHT FIELD OF CHANTAL...OR WHATEVER BECOMES OF HER...THAT COULD MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST PER THE GEM OR STAY LOCKED OUT TO THE SOUTH AS SEEN IN THE GFS AND ECMWF. EITHER WAY...ITS MOISTURE MAY START TO IMPACT THE AREA AS EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY...LINGERING THROUGH THE REST OF THE EXTENDED. FOR EAST KENTUCKY...THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL BE A KEY COMPONENT IN DETERMINING OUR WEATHER INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THE MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS FEATURE CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER IN GOING DRY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY SUNDAY. THEREAFTER...THE GFS...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE ECMWF...DOES BRING AN UPPER LOW WEST TOWARD THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. WITH THE DECENT AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS ON THE RIDGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...EXPECT THAT A BLEND WILL BE AN EFFECTIVE STARTING POINT THROUGH SUNDAY. AFTER THAT...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE WEAKER...LESS AMPLIFIED...00Z ECMWF. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL LIKELY FEATURE SOME ONGOING CONVECTION MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS PART OF THE STATE ON THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH EARLY IN THE DAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND BRING A RARE SUMMER TIME SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FROM THE NORTH. THIS SFC HIGH...AND THE DRY WEATHER...WILL BE SUSTAINED BY THE RIDGING BUILDING ALOFT AND SHOULD SERVE TO KEEP ANY TROPICAL DERIVED MOISTURE OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FOR THE BULK OF THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE BACK WEST BY LATE SUNDAY WHILE THE CORRESPONDING SFC HIGH WILL ALSO BREAK DOWN AND ALLOW HIGH DEWPOINTS INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHEAST. A DIURNAL REGIME SHOULD THEN GUIDE THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENTS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH BUILDING INSTABILITY AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CAPPING LEADING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. THE CR GRID LOAD CAME IN REASONABLE...THOUGH DID ADJUST POPS A BIT ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS TO BETTER EMPHASIZE THE DIURNAL NATURE OF THE CONVECTION. ALSO...TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOWS ON THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHTS TO ACCOUNT FOR TERRAIN BASED DIFFERENCES IN RADIATIONAL COOLING WHILE WE ARE BENEFITING FROM THE DRIER AIR MASS. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 215 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 EXTENSIVE CUMULUS FIELD WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH GENERALLY SCT SKY CONDITIONS AND CLOUD BASES FROM 3000 TO 5000 FEET. WENT WITH VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...STILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. DIURNAL HEATING AND INSTABILITY IS HELPING TO KICK OFF SOME SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA AT TAF ISSUANCE. ASSESSING THE DIRECT IMPACTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT EACH TERMINAL IS AT BEST DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY SINCE CELLS APPEAR TO HAVE A RELATIVELY SHORT LIFE CYCLE...BUILDING AND THEN DISSIPATING WITHIN AN HOUR. MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION MAY DROP SOUTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. CLOSELY WATCHING THE DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION OF UPSTREAM ACTIVITY. JKL WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO BE EFFECTED BY ANYTHING. PRECIP POTENTIAL...LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING RAINFALL WOULD BOOST POTENTIAL FOR BR/FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. BUT FOR NOW WENT MORE OPTIMISTIC THAN MODEL GUIDANCE WITH ONLY SOME LIGHT MIST. WINDS WILL RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...RAY LONG TERM...GREIF AVIATION...JMW/RAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 425 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-102330- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 425 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FROM ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORM. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS LATER WEDNESDAY COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. OUTSIDE OF THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY PERIOD...MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED...FAVORING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ARE ENCOURAGE TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY HAIL...OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. JMW/GREIF
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 101 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:17 UTC.
3 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was flowing across Granny Holt Knob Rd at mile marker 12.3. The rushing water caused trees and debris to fall onto and block a portion of the road.
Eight inches of water was flowing across the intersection of Hwy's 592 and 1470. The rushing water knocked over trees and carried them and other debris into the roadway. The flooding last just under an hour before the waters receded off the road.
Trees were blown down at the intersection of Highway 592 and 1470.
Flooding occurred along a portion of East Hwy 92 and Osborne Creek Rd near Hollyhill.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 459135, 459136, 467541, 459138.