Florida, 2013

Flash Flooding and Lightning Strike in Florida, June 10, 2013

June 10, 2013 · NWS MOB · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rains caused flooding in northwest Florida.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.

Heavy rains caused flooding in northwest Florida.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 10, 6:04 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 6:04 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
704 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

.UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED TO INCREASE POPS TO CATEGORICAL FOR MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA BASED ON LATEST RADAR
TRENDS. NO OTHER MAJOR CHANGES. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 438 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013/

SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THE AXIS OF THE LONG WAVE
TROF...CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE MID/LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLY...MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH
THE SOUTHERNMOST PORTION OF THE TROF AXIS WILL BE SLOWER TO MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS IT INTERACTS WITH BOTH RIDGING OVER THE
GULF AND AN UPPER LOW LOCATED NEAR SOUTHERN TEXAS.  THIS RESULTS IN
THE AXIS TAKING ON A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTATION WHILE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA WHICH IS SEEN IN THE CURRENT WATER VAPOR LOOP.  THE
CURRENT GOES PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGE SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OF 2-2.3 INCHES OVER THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER VALUES
NEAR 1.1 INCHES STARTING TO ADVANCE INTO NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

A COMPARISON OF THE RAP/NAM/GFS PRECIPITABLE WATER TO THE GOES IMAGE
SHOWS THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE.  WHILE AN EXTRAPOLATION OF THE GOES PRECIPITABLE WATER
LOOP BRINGS THE DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA QUICKER THAN INDICATED BY
GUIDANCE...EXPECT THE INTERACTION WITH GULF RIDGING AND UPPER LOW
OVER TEXAS TO SLOW THE PROCESS.  AS SUCH EXPECT THAT THE BEST DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE ORIENTED SOMEWHAT EAST THE I-65 CORRIDOR BY
18Z THEN BECOMING ORIENTED EAST-WEST ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES BY
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE DAY...AND THERE IS UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAINLY FROM I-65
EASTWARD ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 70-80 KNOT
JET.  WHILE 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS STILL FAIRLY VIGOROUS OVER
THE AREA...THIS WEAKENS SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE DAY.  THE CURRENT
RADAR LOOP SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS BEGINNING TO ADVANCE INTO COASTAL
SECTIONS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ADVANCING INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE AREA.  CONSIDERING THE CHANGING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND BEST 850
MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT...EXPECT THE HIGHEST QPF VALUES TO BE LOCATED
ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 THIS MORNING THEN MORE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LOWER OVERALL.

WHILE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .25 TO .5 INCH ARE EXPECTED EAST OF
I-65...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THIS
REGION AGAIN TODAY AND WILL MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.  AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM ANDALUSIA TO DAUPHIN ISLAND
RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN YESTERDAY WHICH RAISES A CONCERN FOR POTENTIAL
FLASH FLOODING...BUT THINK THAT THE RISK IS TOO LOW TO ISSUE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE OVERALL LOWER
EXPECTED QPF.  HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY POPS FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING EXCEPT FOR GOOD CHANCE POPS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTION...THEN POPS DECREASE SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL KEEP
LIKELY POPS GENERALLY FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.  SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AS THE DRIER AIR
CONTINUES TO WORK INTO THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE
SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE VALUES TODAY AND NEAR SEASONABLE TONIGHT.
/29

THE WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE TODAY.

LONG TERM...BROAD MID TO UPPER RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS WILL SHIFT EAST OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER AND
CENTRAL GULF STATES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THEN BREAK DOWN
MOSTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
RIVER VALLEY LATE THU INTO FRI AS A LONG WAVE TROF OVER THE NORTHEAST
CONUS DIGS SOUTHWARD GENERALLY EAST OF THE MS RIVER. WITH THIS
PATTERN EXPECT VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES THROUGH EARLY THU AFTERNOON
ALONG WITH MUCH WARMER TEMPS ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY MEASURABLE RAIN THROUGH THU
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST AND JUST OFFSHORE DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS AND OVER SOME INLAND AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY EACH DAY WITH
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 40
PERCENTILE RANGE FOR MOST INLAND AREAS AND IN THE MID 50 TO 60
PERCENTILE RANGE NEAR THE COAST. WITH GOOD SUBSIDENCE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE
FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY SOME PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE MOSTLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS NEAR SUNRISE.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S FOR MOST
INLAND AREAS INCLUDING MOST COASTAL COUNTIES AND IN THE UPPER 80S TO
NEAR 90 ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S FOR MOST AREAS EXCEPT THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ONE NOTE OF CONCERN HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES FOR MOST INLAND AREAS TUE THROUGH
THU.

FOR LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES OVER
MUCH OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS BUILDING EASTWARD OVER THE MS RIVER
VALLEY AND SE CONUS THROUGH SUN. AT THE SFC A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES OFFSHORE BY LATE FRI INTO SAT BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER
CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. FOR NOW RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO BE LOW FOR
THE WEEKEND ALSO. 32/EE

AVIATION...(12Z ISSUANCE)...EXPECT TO BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS AT THE THREE TAF SITES WITH A TEMPO GROUP IN THE MORNING
FOR MVFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS.  A VFR CEILING NEAR 3.5 KFT
WILL FOLLOW BY LATER THIS MORNING.  WILL HAVE VCTS BY MIDDAY AT
MOB/BFM BUT SHOULD NEED AN ADDITIONAL TEMPO GROUP FOR THUNDERSTORMS
AT PNS THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  VFR CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR
TONIGHT. /29

MARINE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF AND PROMOTE A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW
THROUGH THURSDAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A LIGHT TO
MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.  WINDS AND SEAS
WILL BE HIGHER NEAR STORMS TODAY. /29

FIRE WEATHER...RAIN CHANCE REMAIN HIGH FOR MOST OF THE TODAY AND
EARLY TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A MUCH DRIER PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS DEEP RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 40 PERCENTILE RANGE FOR MOST INLAND
AREAS AND IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENTILE RANGE NEAR THE COAST. WITH A
GOOD WIND FLOW GENERALLY FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK EXPECT DECENT DISPERSION INDICES EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI.

SOME PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE MOSTLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS NEAR SUNRISE. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      87  72  92  73  93 /  90  20  10  10  20
PENSACOLA   86  74  90  76  92 /  70  20  20  10  20
DESTIN      85  75  86  77  87 /  60  20  20  20  20
EVERGREEN   87  70  95  70  97 /  80  10  10  05  10
WAYNESBORO  89  69  96  70  96 /  50  10  05  05  10
CAMDEN      88  70  96  70  97 /  80  10  05  05  10
CRESTVIEW   87  70  94  70  97 /  80  20  20  10  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 6:07 AM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111000-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
707 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR THE STRONGER STORMS TO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WHICH MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-111000-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
707 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 106 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Santa Rosa

When
June 10, 7:15 AM CST to 11:15 AM CST
Where
Santa Rosa County, 0.83 mi ENE of Pace to 0.74 mi NE of Pace
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.606, -87.138

Heavy rains caused significant flooding in Pace.

Flash Flood, Escambia

When
June 10, 8:00 AM CST to 12:00 PM CST
Where
Escambia County, 3 mi NNW of Ensley to 1.15 mi SE of Gonzalez
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
30.560, -87.289

The Escambia county sheriff's office reported flooding at the intersection of U.S. Highway 29 and West Roberts Road.

Lightning, Santa Rosa

When
June 10, 9:22 AM CST to 9:23 AM CST
Where
Santa Rosa County, Pace
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.600, -87.150

Lightning struck a small utility shed causing a fire.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, June 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 465600, 464370, 464371.