Rip Current in Florida, July 6, 2013

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
852 AM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

.DISCUSSION...

...BREEZY WITH POOR BOATING CONDITIONS AND CHOPPY SURF CONDITIONS...

LTST UPR AIR SOUNDING FROM XMR THIS MORNING SHOWS CONTINUED DRYING
AS EVIDENCED BY APCHG REGION OF MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE ON WV IMAGERY.
SCT MARINE BASED SC SUPPORTS VERY LITTLE IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS.
MORNING AND AFTERNOON MIXING ASCD WITH DEEP SE FLOW WL PRECLUDE
DEVELOPMENT OF SFC BOUNDARIES AND PRECIP POTENTIAL WL REMAIN BELOW
SEASONAL WITH LOWER END PWAT...LACK OF BOUNDARIES AND RELATIVELY
WARMER TEMP RUNNING NR -7C @ H5. DEEPER DRYING ASCD WITH APCHG
SUBSIDENT AREA WL FURTHER LIMIT PRECIP POTENTIAL AND WL MAKE
ADJUSTMENTS DOWNWARD TO TODAYS POP AREAWIDE. THE ADJUSTMENT WL KEEP
ALL AREAS IN ISOLD COVERAGE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WEST OF METRO
ORLANDO OVER LAKE COUNTY.

A DIFFUSE AT BEST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INLAND WITH HELP
FROM THE SOUTHEAST SYNOPTIC FLOW. GUSTY CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST
SOUTH OF CANAVERAL WILL NECESSITATE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 89S AT THE COAST TO THE LOWER 90S
WELL INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH EXCEPTION OF BRIEF CEILINGS AT THE COAST NR
035-040 THROUGH 17Z THEN INTERIOR TAF SITES AFTER AROUND 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...
CURRENT...CURRENT 8 SEC PERIOD @ BUOY 41009 WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS 15
TO 20 KNOTS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE THEN DIMINISHING
TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 4
TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE AND IN THE GULF STREAM.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. LUCIE.

AM...NONE.

&&

JP/MB/WU

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
454 AM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-061600-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
454 AM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AT THE COASTAL AREAS AS THE SEA BREEZE FIRST STARTS
MOVING INLAND. SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM
OVER THE INTERIOR MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE
CONTINUES TO PUSH WESTWARD. THE BEST AREAS FOR STRONGER STORMS
WILL BE WELL WEST OF ORLANDO WHERE THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE LATE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY WEATHER
HAZARDS FROM THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.AS IT PUSHES

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH AND BE GUSTY AT THE COAST
FROM COCOA AND COCOA BEACH SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. BOATERS ON LARGE
INLAND LAKES AND THE INDIAN RIVER LAGOON FROM COCOA SOUTH WILL
EXPERIENCE GUSTY EAST WINDS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
THERE IS A MODERATE HAZARD OF RIP CURRENTS. LOCAL BEACH PATROLS
HAVE BEEN REPORTING MANY RESCUES AT THE BEACHES THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE COMBINATION OF A RECEDING TIDE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...THE CHOPPY SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN THE SURF ZONE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL
WIND GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH OVER INLAND LAKES THIS AFTERNOON. BOATERS
SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR STORMS APPROACHING QUICKLY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND SHORT PERIOD SEAS WILL
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY. OPERATORS
OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS WILL OCCUR EACH
DAY. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER HAZARD.

A BUILDING EASTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL AND A RECEDING TIDE DURING
THE AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE THE RIP CURRENT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

WIMMER