Funnel Cloud in Florida, July 3, 2013

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1010 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013

.UPDATE...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWED DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
WAS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF AND STREAMING INTO THE
PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA. THIS DEEP MOISTURE WAS LOCATED TO THE EAST
OF THE RETROGRADING UPPER TROUGH/LOW CENTERED ACROSS MISSOURI.
MUCH DRIER MID LEVEL AIR WAS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BUILDS
TO THE SOUTHWEST. ALTHOUGH THE DEEPEST MOISTURE DOES NOT RESIDE
OVER THE REGION...THE 12Z SOUNDING THIS MORNING SHOWED
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF ALMOST 2.1 INCHES...WHICH WAS AROUND
ONE AND A HALF STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW EXTENDED FROM THE SURFACE TO ABOVE 500MB...WHICH WILL KEEP
STORMS MOVING AROUND 15 KNOTS TO THE NORTHWEST. MODEL GUIDANCE
POPS ARE IN THE NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD CATEGORIES TODAY. THIS
GUIDANCE SEEMS TOO HIGH FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS DUE TO THE
MORE DIURNAL NATURE OF THE CONVECTION AND THE DRIER AIR THAT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE REGION THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD ALSO PUSH QUICKLY INLAND THIS MORNING...SO
ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED BY THE MID
AFTERNOON FOR BROWARD COUNTY NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST. LEFT
THE HIGHER POPS IN FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AS MODELS INDICATE THAT
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND MOVE
TOWARDS THE KEYS AND DEEP SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL ACROSS GLADES COUNTY YESTERDAY PRODUCED FLOODING IN THE
PALMDALE AND MUSE AREAS...WITH MULTIPLE REPORTS OF HOMES HAVING
THEIR DRIVEWAYS BLOCKED DUE TO THE FLOODING. THE BEST CHANCE OF
RAIN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS THIS REGION...SO FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 723 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013/

AVIATION...

ONLY A FEW SHRAS AND TSRAS ARE LEFT THIS MORNING MAINLY ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS. LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS KEEP THE
ACTIVITY OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE MORNING. SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO COUNTERACT ANY GULF BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT. KEPT VCSH MENTION AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 16Z WITH VCTS
AFTER THAT. CD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  88  78  88  78 / 40 30 30 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  87  79  89  80 / 40 30 30 20
MIAMI            87  78  89  79 / 50 40 30 20
NAPLES           88  74  91  75 / 60 40 40 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL BROWARD-
     COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH.

AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...84/AK
AVIATION/RADAR...71/JE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
529 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
040030-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
529 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY...
...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG
GLADES...HENDRY...AND COLLIER COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE GULF WATERS.

WIND: WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN HEAVIER
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

FLOODING: BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED URBAN
FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AREAS...ESPECIALLY AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS FROM PREVIOUS RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK...PARTICULARLY OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES
OF SOUTH FLORIDA INTO THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND DUE TO THE
EASTERLY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND FLOODING TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
917 AM EDT WED JUL 03 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     FLOOD            PALMDALE                26.94N 81.31W
07/03/2013                   GLADES             FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM RECEIVED MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLOODING IN PALMDALE AND
            MUSE. SOME DRIVEWAYS WERE BLOCKED DUE TO FLOODING IN
            PALMDALE.

&&

RIVERA