Heavy rainfall in February caused minor flooding on the White River above Augusta.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall in February caused minor flooding on the White River above Augusta.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 9:01 AM CST, 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 901 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013 .UPDATE... WEAK UPR IMPULSE PASSING ACRS THE FA ATTM IS PRODUCING SOME LGT SNOW AND SPRINKLES OVR WRN AR. DID A QUICK UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE PRECIP ASSOCD WITH THIS FEATURE. SYS WL PASS E OF THE AREA THIS AFTN...FOLLOWED BY BREEZY CONDS. UPDATES ALREADY SENT. /44/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 549 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013/ DISCUSSION... UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. AVIATION... MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...WITH THE SOUTHERN EDGE AFFECTING KRUE...KLIT...AND KSGT. SOUTH OF THAT LINE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE ONLY CLOUDS BEING CIGS AROUND 6K AND 12K FT LATE THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH. FOR KLIT...BKN-OVC025 CIGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE LIFTING JUST TO THE NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK FOR A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO WHETHER THEY WILL PUSH NORTH OF THE TERMINAL. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AMENDMENTS THAT PROLONG MVFR CIGS...BUT WILL GO WITH OPTIMISTIC FORECAST FOR NOW. FOR KHRO AND KBPK...OVC015-025 CIGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. CIGS MAY GO SCATTERED AROUND 2500FT AGL FOR A BRIEF TIME THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT FEEL THE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR. OTHERWISE...EXPECT GUSTY NW WINDS AROUND 18-22KT FOR MOST ALL SITES TODAY. SHOULD SEE STEADIER WIND GUSTS IN THE NORTH WHERE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE TIGHTER...BUT CLEARER SKIES IN THE SOUTH WILL PROMOTE DEEP MIXING SO WIND GUST SPEEDS WILL BE SIMILAR STATEWIDE. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 441 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT PERSISTENT NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP ARKANSAS COOL THROUGH THE NEAR TERM...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST. THE STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT THE LATEST ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WAS OVER THE GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS MORNING. WRAPAROUND MOISTURE WAS RESULTING IN CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. IT WILL BE PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY...WITH PERHAPS A SNOW FLURRY OR TWO TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER. BREEZY WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS CLOSE TO LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM WILL DEPART TONIGHT/THURSDAY...WITH SOME DECREASE IN CLOUDS. HOWEVER...A NEW SYSTEM ALOFT WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...BUT COULD BE A FEW SPRINKLES/FLURRIES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS SATURDAY MORNING...BUT EXPECTING SOME CLEARING AS THE PERIOD ENDS. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL START OFF WITH NORTHERLY FLOW...BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SITUATED TO THE EAST AND A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. UPPER FLOW WILL FLATTEN OUT SOMEWHAT LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY AS A PAIR OF DISTURBANCES MOVE ONTO THE WEST COAST. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE DURING THE LONG TERM...EXCEPT FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS THESE DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSOURI. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AS THESE WAVES CROSS THE ROCKIES...THEN SHIFT EAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND THE AR/MO BORDER MON NIGHT AND TUE MORNING. MODELS HINT AT SOME PRECIP DEVELOPING NORTH OF A WARM FRONT THAT WILL RESIDE IN SRN ARKANSAS AS THE SFC LOW MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. INTRODUCED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF PRECIPITATION PRECLUDE MY GOING HIGHER THAN THAT AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD. WENT WITH HIGHS/LOWS THAT WERE BETWEEN THE WARMER EURO AND COLD GFS VALUES. SUNDAY WILL DEFINITELY BE COOLER THAN NORMAL AS FLOW WILL BE NORTHERLY. AS SFC WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHERLY...A SLIGHT WARMING TREND WILL BE OBSERVED MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH TEMPS APPROACHING BUT LIKELY FALLING SHY OF SEASONAL VALUES. SOME LOW 60S MAY BE SEEN ON TUESDAY IF THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT MAKES IT INTO THE STATE INSTEAD OF RIDING THE AR/LA BORDER. && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 423 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281030- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 423 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain in the month of February fell on the White River, which was already high due to above-average winter precipitation. The river rose above flood stage on the 27th of February.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 427812.