Arkansas, 2013

Drought in Arkansas, February 1 to 28, 2013

February 1 to 28, 2013 · NWS LZK · 14 events in 14 counties and zones

Periodic rain in February shaved away part of the severe drought in western Arkansas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
14

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Periodic rain in February shaved away part of the severe drought in western Arkansas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:49 PM CST, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 11:49 PM CST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1149 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

.AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH ARKANSAS AND GUSTY NORTHWEST AND
NORTH WINDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH CLOUDS ARE ENTERING SOUTH
ARKANSAS FROM TEXAS AND LOUISIANA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE STATE OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED IN CENTRAL
AND SOUTH SECTIONS FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED MID CLOUDS IN THE NORTH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 553 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013/

AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHWEST AND NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT AS WELL AS
AN AREA OF CLOUDS. LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO HRO AND BPK SOON WITH
IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTH
AND WILL ONLY LAST A FEW HOURS. MAINLY MID CLOUDS WILL REACH INTO
SOUTH ARKANSAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE STATE LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH
SECTIONS FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE PRECIP CHANCES IN THE FIRST
PERIOD WITH THE COLD FRONT. THEN NEXT CHANCE OF ANY PRECIP
SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE AREA. THEN
OVERALL DRY WITH A WARMING TREND.

CURRENTLY THE COLD FRONT WAS DRIFTING INTO NW AR WITH A QUICK COOL
DOWN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW BEING REPORTED...AND A STRATUS DECK OF
CLOUDS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. WILL NEED SOME SLIGHT TO CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN MIXING WITH LIGHT SNOW THEN BECOMING LIGHT SNOW INTO
THE EVENING HOURS OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN AR. THE SURFACE HIGH HAS
MOVED SOUTH OF AR AND A S TO SW FLOW HAS RETURNED TO SOUTHERN
AR...WHILE A W TO NW FLOW TO NORTHERN AR. WIND SPEEDS HAVE COME UP
TO 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT HAD REBOUNDED INTO THE 50S OVER MOST OF AR THIS AFTERNOON.
THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST...WITH A STRONG NW UPPER
FLOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

WILL HAVE SOME CLOUDS AND SLIGHT TO A LOW CHANCE OF PRECIP OVER
PARTS OF NORTHERN AR...AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA
AND DEVELOPS SOME OVERALL LIGHT PRECIP. RAIN WILL START...BUT
QUICKLY MIX WITH OR BECOME SNOW WITH THE STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION. AT THIS TIME LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. A
DUSTING MAY BE SEEN IN SOME SPOTS. THE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LIMITED
AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST AND WILL END OVER
NORTHERN AREAS IN THE LATE EVENING OVER THE NE. THEN A COLD NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEARING SKIES WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. COOLER
FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER AR WITH HIGHS
FROM THE 30S NE...TO THE 40S SW. ON SATURDAY ANOTHER QUICK MOVING
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS AR WITH SOME CLOUDS AND LOW CHANCES OF
PRECIP. AT THIS TIME TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL
LIQUID...BUT NORTHERN AR WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
MIX OR SHORT PERIOD OF WINTER WEATHER IN THE MORNING THEN LATE
EVENING WHEN TEMPS MAY BE AROUND FREEZING. NO SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ON SUNDAY THE SURFACE HIGH AGAIN
SETTLES SOUTH OF AR AND A MODERATING SURFACE FLOW BRINGS HIGHS
BACK TO THE 50S TO SOME 60S WITH DRY WEATHER.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

GUIDANCE KEEPS TRENDING NORTH WITH MOISTURE RETURN ON MONDAY...SO
ADDED SMALL RAIN CHANCES TO THE FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY
FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND AFFECTS THE AREA THURSDAY.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES GO...TEMPERATURES FOR THE MOST PART WILL BE
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     17  38  30  53 /  20   0  10  20
CAMDEN AR         27  50  34  62 /  10   0  10  20
HARRISON AR       13  39  31  50 /  20   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    25  46  34  58 /  10   0  10  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  23  42  31  55 /  10   0  10  20
MONTICELLO AR     26  49  34  61 /  10   0  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      21  46  35  58 /  10   0  10  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  14  37  30  53 /  20   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        18  37  32  51 /  20   0  10  20
PINE BLUFF AR     26  44  33  57 /  10   0  10  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   19  46  30  53 /  10   0  10  20
SEARCY AR         20  39  27  53 /  10   0  10  20
STUTTGART AR      24  40  31  52 /  10   0  10  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST FRIDAY FOR BAXTER-BOONE-
FULTON-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE.

&&

AVIATION...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:45 PM CST, 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1145 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A FLURRY OR TWO AS IT
MOVES THROUGH BUT THAT SHOULD BE ABOUT IT.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. WIND CHILLS WILL
FALL TO NEAR ZERO ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST PART OF THE STATE AND AS
SUCH...A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE TEENS ACROSS THE NORTH
AND INTO THE MID 20S OVER THE SOUTH BY MORNING BEHIND THE ARCTIC
FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY...BUT NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

56

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

14 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Boone

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Boone forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered all of Boone County. Conditions improved early in the month. By the end of February, severe drought existed only in the southwestern corner of the county, with moderate drought elsewhere.

Drought, Marion

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Marion forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.268, -92.684 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered all of Marion County. Conditions improved early in the month. By the end of February, only moderate drought existed in the county.

Drought, Baxter

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Baxter forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.287, -92.337 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered all of Baxter County. Conditions improved early in the month. By the end of February, moderate drought existed in the county, except for only abnormally dry conditions in the southeastern part of the county.

Drought, Newton

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Newton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, extreme drought covered the northwestern part of Newton County, with severe drought elsewhere. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, severe drought covered the western part of the county, with only moderate drought elsewhere.

Drought, Searcy

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Searcy forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered most Searcy County, except for moderate drought in the eastern part of the county. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought covered the county, except for only abnormally dry conditions in the southeastern corner of the county.

Drought, Johnson

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Johnson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered all of Johnson County. Conditions improved somewhat during the month. At the end of the month, severe drought covered the western part of the county, with moderate drought in the eastern part.

Drought, Pope

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Pope forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered the northwestern half of Pope County, with only moderate drought over the southeastern half. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought covered the northwestern half of the county, with only abnormally dry conditions over the southeastern half.

Drought, Logan

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Logan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, extreme drought covered the western tip of Logan County, with severe drought elsewhere. Conditions improved somewhat early in the month. By the end of the month, severe drought covered the western two-thirds of the county, with moderate drought over the eastern third.

Drought, Scott

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Scott forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, extreme drought was occurring over the western part of Scott County, with severe drought elsewhere. Conditions improved somewhat early in the month. At the end of the month, severe drought covered all of Scott County, except for the east, where moderate drought was occurring.

Drought, Polk

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Polk forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered Polk County. Conditions changed little during the month.

Drought, Yell

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Yell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought covered the northwestern half of Yell County, with only moderate drought over the southeastern half. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought covered the northwestern half of the county, with only abnormally dry conditions over the southeastern half.

Drought, Montgomery

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Montgomery forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought existed over the western part of Montgomery County, with only moderate drought elsewhere. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought existed over most of the county, except for only abnormally dry conditions in the east.

Drought, Pike

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Pike forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.164, -93.656 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

At the beginning of February, severe drought was occurring in the northwestern tip of Pike County, with moderate drought elsewhere. Conditions improved slightly early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought covered the entire county.

Drought, Van Buren

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 5, 5:59 AM CST
Where
Van Buren forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

At the beginning of February, severe drought existed only in the northwestern corner of Van Buren County, with moderate drought elsewhere. Conditions improved early in the month. At the end of the month, moderate drought was occurring over the northwestern corner of the county, with only abnormally dry conditions elsewhere.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 427743, 427744, 427745, 427746, 427747, 427748, 427749, 427750, 427751, 427752, 427753, 427755, 427756, 427757.