Arkansas, 2013

Flood in Arkansas, December 15 to 31, 2013

December 15 to 31, 2013 · NWS LZK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage during the latter half of December. This river remained above flood stage into January.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage during the latter half of December. This river remained above flood stage into January.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 5:25 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 5:25 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
525 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR OCNL MVFR DUE TO
BR AROUND KHRO AND KBPK NEAR SUNRISE.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 223 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE LIMITED IN THE SHORT TERM TO
A TEMPERATURE FORECAST...WHILE POSSIBLE CHANCES OF RAIN AND
CONVECTION...AND ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE LONG TERM.

MORNING STRATUS HAS THINNED AND MOVED EAST OF AR...BRINGING SUNNY
SKIES BUT SITLL A BIT COOLER TEMPS. AFTERNOON TEMPS WERE WARNING
TO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S STATE WIDE. THE SURFACE HIGH HAS PUSHED
SOUTH TO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY WTIH A LIGHT SW FLOW COMING
BACK TO AR. ALOFT THE UPPER TROUGH WAS PULLING OFF TO THE NE U.S.
SOME HIGH MOISTURE IS SEEN IN THE UPPER NW FLOW...AND SOME CIRRUS
WILL STREAD SOUTH OVER AR.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

THE PERIOD WILL START WITH THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH
OF AR AND A S TO SW WIND FLOW WILL RETURN AND HELP WARM TEMPS.
THIS HOLDS THROUGH TUESDAY BUT THEN A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS INTO
NORTHERN AR LATER IN THE DAY...BUT DOES NOT BRING MUCH WITH IT BUT
A WIND SHIFT OVER THE NORTH...THEN LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH BY
WEDNESDAY. SOME INCREASING CLOUDS LATER WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM TO AFFECT AR. AS MENTIONED TEMPS WILL WARM TO
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEK...REACHING THE 40S FOR
LOWS...WHILE HIGHS 50S TO STRAT...THEN 60S BY THURSDAY. ALSO DRY
WEATHER WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS NOT GREAT WITH THE LATEST
MODEL RUNS FROM THIS MORNING. BY THURSDAY A DEEP TROUGH WILL BE
DIGGING SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST...WITH BROAD AND WEAK UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. AT THE SURFACE..LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST THU NIGHT AND FRI...PUSHING A FRONT AND INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA. IN THIS...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT. HOWEVER THEY DIVERGE QUICKLY AFTER MIDDAY FRIDAY. THE
TAKES THE WEST COAST TROUGH AND TRANSITIONS IT TO A CUTOFF LOW
OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA...WHILE THE EURO MAINTAINS AN OPEN WAVE
AND BRINGS IT ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND. THE RESULT IS A
MUCH WETTER FORECAST IN THE EURO...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY
RAINS AND EVEN SOME SEVERE WEATHER. MEANWHILE THE GFS PUSHES THE
THU/FRI FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY FRI NIGHT AND HAS A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

DO NOT FULLY BUY INTO EITHER SOLUTION AT THIS POINT GIVEN HOW FAR
OUT IT IS...AND THE EMERGENCE OF A DRIER PATTERN. SINCE THERE IS
SUCH DISAGREEMENT...DID LOWER POPS SIGNIFICANTLY FROM PREVIOUS
FORECASTS...THOUGH DID KEEP SLIGHT CHANCES GOING FRIDAY NIGHT ONWARD.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND ON
FRIDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD 60S FORECAST BOTH DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
FAL BACK TOWARDS NORMAL OR BELOW NORMAL VALUES DURING THE WEEKEND.

FINALLY...DID KEEP IN A MENTION OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE NORTH EARLY
SAT MORNING AS COLD AIR SLIDES INTO NW ARKANSAS BEHIND THE FRONT.
WHETHER THIS WILL BE AN ISSUE REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND WILL BE LARGELY
DEPENDENT ON HOW THE UPPER PATTERN EVOLVES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     30  51  32  55 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         32  60  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       30  53  32  55 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    32  60  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  32  58  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     32  59  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      31  60  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  29  52  32  54 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        31  51  32  56 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     32  59  35  61 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   30  56  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         32  54  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      33  55  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...28
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 5:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
505 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
505 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
ON FRIDAY...AND SHOULD TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. SHARPLY COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT IS NOT
CLEAR HOW FAR SOUTH THE COLD AIR WILL MAKE IT BEFORE THE FRONT
STALLS.

ON SATURDAY...A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED FRONT...AND
AREAS OF RAIN WILL BREAK OUT. SOME DATA IS SHOWING HEAVY RAIN IN
PLACES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN TO
THE NORTH OF THE STATE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE
READINGS COULD FALL BELOW FREEZING IN THE FAR NORTHWEST BY DAWN
SUNDAY. IF THIS HAPPENS...SOME FREEZING RAIN WOULD RESULT.

THIS SITUATION IS SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...AND THERE IS A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE EXPECTED EVENT. FORECAST CHANGES ARE
LIKELY AS MORE DATA IS RECEIVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

51/59/46

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Woodruff

When
December 15, 7:00 PM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Woodruff County, Patterson to 1.16 mi WNW of Cavell
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.250, -91.230

Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise above flood stage during the evening hours on the 15th. This river remained above flood stage into January.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, December 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 490196.