Arkansas, 2013Flood in Arkansas, December 15 to 31, 2013
December 15 to 31, 2013 · NWS LZK · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage during the latter half of December. This river remained above flood stage into January.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River to rise above flood stage during the latter half of December. This river remained above flood stage into January.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 5:25 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 5:25 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
525 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013
.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR OCNL MVFR DUE TO
BR AROUND KHRO AND KBPK NEAR SUNRISE.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 223 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013/
DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE LIMITED IN THE SHORT TERM TO
A TEMPERATURE FORECAST...WHILE POSSIBLE CHANCES OF RAIN AND
CONVECTION...AND ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE LONG TERM.
MORNING STRATUS HAS THINNED AND MOVED EAST OF AR...BRINGING SUNNY
SKIES BUT SITLL A BIT COOLER TEMPS. AFTERNOON TEMPS WERE WARNING
TO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S STATE WIDE. THE SURFACE HIGH HAS PUSHED
SOUTH TO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY WTIH A LIGHT SW FLOW COMING
BACK TO AR. ALOFT THE UPPER TROUGH WAS PULLING OFF TO THE NE U.S.
SOME HIGH MOISTURE IS SEEN IN THE UPPER NW FLOW...AND SOME CIRRUS
WILL STREAD SOUTH OVER AR.
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THE PERIOD WILL START WITH THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH
OF AR AND A S TO SW WIND FLOW WILL RETURN AND HELP WARM TEMPS.
THIS HOLDS THROUGH TUESDAY BUT THEN A WEAK COLD FRONT SAGS INTO
NORTHERN AR LATER IN THE DAY...BUT DOES NOT BRING MUCH WITH IT BUT
A WIND SHIFT OVER THE NORTH...THEN LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH BY
WEDNESDAY. SOME INCREASING CLOUDS LATER WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM TO AFFECT AR. AS MENTIONED TEMPS WILL WARM TO
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEK...REACHING THE 40S FOR
LOWS...WHILE HIGHS 50S TO STRAT...THEN 60S BY THURSDAY. ALSO DRY
WEATHER WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS NOT GREAT WITH THE LATEST
MODEL RUNS FROM THIS MORNING. BY THURSDAY A DEEP TROUGH WILL BE
DIGGING SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST...WITH BROAD AND WEAK UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. AT THE SURFACE..LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST THU NIGHT AND FRI...PUSHING A FRONT AND INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA. IN THIS...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT. HOWEVER THEY DIVERGE QUICKLY AFTER MIDDAY FRIDAY. THE
TAKES THE WEST COAST TROUGH AND TRANSITIONS IT TO A CUTOFF LOW
OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA...WHILE THE EURO MAINTAINS AN OPEN WAVE
AND BRINGS IT ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND. THE RESULT IS A
MUCH WETTER FORECAST IN THE EURO...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY
RAINS AND EVEN SOME SEVERE WEATHER. MEANWHILE THE GFS PUSHES THE
THU/FRI FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY FRI NIGHT AND HAS A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DO NOT FULLY BUY INTO EITHER SOLUTION AT THIS POINT GIVEN HOW FAR
OUT IT IS...AND THE EMERGENCE OF A DRIER PATTERN. SINCE THERE IS
SUCH DISAGREEMENT...DID LOWER POPS SIGNIFICANTLY FROM PREVIOUS
FORECASTS...THOUGH DID KEEP SLIGHT CHANCES GOING FRIDAY NIGHT ONWARD.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND ON
FRIDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD 60S FORECAST BOTH DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
FAL BACK TOWARDS NORMAL OR BELOW NORMAL VALUES DURING THE WEEKEND.
FINALLY...DID KEEP IN A MENTION OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE NORTH EARLY
SAT MORNING AS COLD AIR SLIDES INTO NW ARKANSAS BEHIND THE FRONT.
WHETHER THIS WILL BE AN ISSUE REMAINS TO BE SEEN AND WILL BE LARGELY
DEPENDENT ON HOW THE UPPER PATTERN EVOLVES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 30 51 32 55 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 32 60 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 30 53 32 55 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 32 60 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 32 58 33 60 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 32 59 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 31 60 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 29 52 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 31 51 32 56 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 32 59 35 61 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 30 56 31 59 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 32 54 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 33 55 34 58 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
AVIATION...28
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 5:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
505 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
505 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
ON FRIDAY...AND SHOULD TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. SHARPLY COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT IS NOT
CLEAR HOW FAR SOUTH THE COLD AIR WILL MAKE IT BEFORE THE FRONT
STALLS.
ON SATURDAY...A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED FRONT...AND
AREAS OF RAIN WILL BREAK OUT. SOME DATA IS SHOWING HEAVY RAIN IN
PLACES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN TO
THE NORTH OF THE STATE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE
READINGS COULD FALL BELOW FREEZING IN THE FAR NORTHWEST BY DAWN
SUNDAY. IF THIS HAPPENS...SOME FREEZING RAIN WOULD RESULT.
THIS SITUATION IS SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...AND THERE IS A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE EXPECTED EVENT. FORECAST CHANGES ARE
LIKELY AS MORE DATA IS RECEIVED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
51/59/46
Flood, Woodruff
- When
- December 15, 7:00 PM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Woodruff County, Patterson to 1.16 mi WNW of Cavell
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.250, -91.230
Heavy rainfall during the month caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise above flood stage during the evening hours on the 15th. This river remained above flood stage into January.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Lake-Effect Snow in Pennsylvania, December 15 to 16, 2013$250,000 · 2 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in New York, December 15 to 16, 2013$107,000 · 9 events
- Coastal Flood in Maine, December 15, 2013$25,000 · 1 event
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Maine, December 15 to 16, 201315 events
- Lake-Effect Snow in Michigan, December 15, 20134 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Hawaii, December 15, 201352 kt wind · 4 events
- Marine High Wind in Lake Superior, December 15, 201354 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Wind in Florida, December 15, 2013$1,000 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 490196.