Alabama, 2013

Flash Flooding in Alabama, July 28, 2013

July 28, 2013 · NWS MOB · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rain caused flooding in parts of southwest Alabama.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.

Heavy rain caused flooding in parts of southwest Alabama.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 11:04 PM CST, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 11:04 PM CST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1204 AM CDT SUN JUL 28 2013

.AVIATION [28.06Z KMOB/KBFM/KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF COAST
SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE KMOB AND KBFM TAF SITES BETWEEN 28.06Z AND
28.08Z. WHILE THERE IS A WELCOME BREAK IN THE RAIN...LOWER MVFR
CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. BASED ON
LATEST MAV/MET GUIDANCE...HAVE INTRODUCED PROB30 FOR ALL TAF SITES
AFTER 28.15Z. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CDT SAT JUL 27 2013/

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY...THE WATER VAPOR LOOP AND MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA INTO
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...WITH A POSSIBLE SURFACE WAVE IN THIS
POSITION...THEN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALABAMA. UNCLEAR AT THIS POINT IF THE SURFACE WAVE WILL
STRENGTHEN AS THE SHORTWAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL ADVANCE SLOWLY EASTWARD...MOVING TO FROM ABOUT
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT. A DEEP
TROPICAL AIRMASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THE AREA WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 2-2.2 INCHES...AND THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM ALL
SHOW FAVORED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
AREA WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF 100 KNOT JET. BASED ON THE TIMING
OF THE BEST DEEP LAYER LIFT...HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY POPS EAST OF THE
MOB-ANDALUSIA LINE WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
POPS DECREASE OVERALL TONIGHT AS SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE
SHORTWAVES AND ALSO DRIER AIR FLOWS INTO THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF
THE AREA...THOUGH THERE CONTINUES SUFFICIENT SUPPORT FOR CHANCE POPS
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. MAY SEE SOME STRONG STORMS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN THE DEEP TROPICAL AIRMASS...ESPECIALLY
THIS EVENING. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERS OVER GENERALLY THE SAME
AREA THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE A MORE BENIGN PATTERN FOLLOWS IN THE WAKE
OF THE SHORTWAVES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
CONTINUING TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY AND WORKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
AREA. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE POPS ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SUNDAY MORNING...GENERALLY FROM MOB TO ANDALUSIA...WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INLAND...THEN POPS DECREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONABLE VALUES. /29

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THE UPPER SHORTWAVE SWINGING
AROUND THE BASE OF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES HAS MOVED EAST
OF THE AREA...WITH A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FA. FEEL THE
GFS IS A BIT TO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE BOUNDARY...SO HAVE LEFT IT FARTHER
NORTHWEST THAN THE GFS IS ADVERTISING. THIS LEAVES MORE OF THE
FA...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS. DUE TO THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
BOUNDARY...IT QUICKLY WASHES OUT SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WEST OVER THE GULF OF MEX RE-ASSERTS
ITSELF MONDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRETCHING WEST OVER THE GULF
OF MEX AND MEX...WITH A MORE ORGANIZED SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH LOW LEVEL
FLOW RETURNING. THE GFS IS MORE CONSERVATIVE WITH THE RESULTANT CHANCE
OF WEATHER...WITH A STRONGER RIDGE THAN THE NAM. BOTH AND THE ECMWF
ARE ADVERTISING QPF AMOUNTS NORTHERN OF THE GULF COAST FOR
MONDAY...SO WENT ABOVE THE GFS FOR POPS FOR MONDAY. EVEN
SO...ISOLATED COVERAGE AT BEST IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY.

MONDAY NIGHT...CLEARING OUT...WITH TEMPS AROUND SEASONAL.

LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...AS THE REMNANTS OF THE
WEAKENING SURFACE FRONT DISAPPEAR...LOWERED CHANCES OF RAIN WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE COMBINATION OF THE BUILDING RIDGE AND
DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN EVEN LOWER RAIN CHANCES OF ISOLATED CATEGORY
MONDAY BUT INCREASE WITH A MODEST REBOUND TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
BACK INTO THE LOWER CHANCE AND CHANCE CATEGORY IN THE DAYTIME. THE
SEABREEZE WILL BE IN COMMAND OF THE CONVECTION AND THIS IS REFLECTED
IN THE GRIDS. UPPER HEIGHTS BEGIN TO DECREASE BY THURSDAY AS THE
RIDGE RETREATS SLIGHTLY WESTWARD ACROSS TEXAS. THIS WOULD INDICATE
DECREASING STABILITY WITH LI IN THE -4 TO -6 RANGE...CAPES 1500 TO
2000...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER AROUND 2 INCHES. THAT WOULD INDICATE A
CONTINUING REBOUND OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE LATTER PART
OF THE WEEK IN WHICH WE MAY SEE RISING CHANCES OF RAIN IN SUCCESSIVE
FORECASTS. LONG-WAVE OUTPUTS (WAVE-NUMBER 5) ARE SUGGESTING ANOTHER
EASTWARD DRIFT OF A LONG-WAVE TROUGH AXIS TO OUR EAST WHICH WOULD
RETURN US TO A NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW NEXT WEEKEND OR AFTER.
TEMPERATURE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. /77

MARINE...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ADVANCE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND
MOVE TO NEAR THE COAST TONIGHT WHILE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
PERSISTS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. WINDS BECOME WESTERLY TONIGHT THEN
SOUTHWESTERLY ON SUNDAY AS THE FRONT RETURNS NORTHWARD. AN ONSHORE
FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ON MONDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  90  73  92  73 /  50  30  05  20  05
PENSACOLA   75  90  75  92  76 /  60  40  10  20  05
DESTIN      76  88  77  90  77 /  60  50  10  20  05
EVERGREEN   70  91  69  94  71 /  50  20  05  20  05
WAYNESBORO  68  91  70  94  71 /  30  10  00  20  05
CAMDEN      68  90  69  94  71 /  40  10  05  20  05
CRESTVIEW   71  91  69  93  70 /  60  40  10  20  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 2:39 PM CST, 10 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 27 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-282045-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE IN
COVERAGE LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME STORMS MAY BE
STRONG AND PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WHICH MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLOODING
ISSUES.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS SUNDAY ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH FRIDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-282045-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR
MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 28, 12:39 AM CST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
139 AM CDT SUN JUL 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S BAYOU LA BATRE      30.39N 88.25W
07/28/2013                   MOBILE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLICE REPORT A FOOT OF WATER ON HWY 188 AND SUTTON.
            MAKING IT IMPASSIBLE.

&&

BRIAND

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 33 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Mobile

When
July 28, 1:32 AM CST to 2:32 AM CST
Where
Mobile County, 1 mi S of Bayou la Batre to 0.55 mi NNE of Coden
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
30.386, -88.230

Heavy rain caused a foot of water on Hwy 188 and Sutton...making it impassible.

Flash Flood, Baldwin

When
July 28, 9:32 AM CST to 11:00 AM CST
Where
Baldwin County, 2.29 mi NW of Josephine to 5 mi NW of Josephine
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
30.340, -87.561

Heavy rain caused flooding of roads in south Baldwin county.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alabama in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, July 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 472132, 472133.