Rainfall on November 11th caused severe drought (D2) conditions across far western Marathon County to improve to at least moderate drought (D1) by the November 13th issuance of the Drought Monitor.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GRB wrote it up.
Rainfall on November 11th caused severe drought (D2) conditions across far western Marathon County to improve to at least moderate drought (D1) by the November 13th issuance of the Drought Monitor.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 9:47 PM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 1047 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2012 UPDATED AVIATION PORTION FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. SKIES CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY THIN OUT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION SHOULD CONTINUE THIS TREND EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER NORTHEAST WISCONSIN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT...ATTENTION WILL THEN TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WHERE MID DECK AND THEN STRATOCUMULUS DECK WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. SOME QUESTIONS ON HOW QUICK IT WILL MAKE INTO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE LEADING EDGE IS ERODING AS IT PUSHES SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS DUE TO THE MIXING OF A VERY DRY AIR MASS WHERE DEW POINTS TANKED TO 5 TO 15 DEGREES ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN. WINDS ARE ALSO NOT THAT STRONG ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN...SO THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO TANK. IF THIS HAPPENS...EVENING SHIFT WILL NEED TO LOWER MIN TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES AT THE TYPICAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS THE NORTH...INCLUDING LOCATIONS LIKE MERRILL...TOMAHAWK...LAND O LAKES AND WAUTOMA. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE DOOR PENINSULA... BUT NOTHING LIKE LAST NIGHT. GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE BAY ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. ON THURSDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO 4-6 THOUSAND FOOT DECK MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. FORECAST WILL PROBABLY COME OUT PARTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. COULD BE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ACROSS THE FAR NORTH DURING THE DAY. DID NOT STRAY FAR FROM GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS...BUT DID TREND TOWARD THE COOLER MAV GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS. .LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...THE MAIN FCST CONCERNS ARE PCPN TRENDS OVER THE WEEKEND...AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO WI ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE OVER NC/C WI ON THURSDAY NIGHT...WHICH ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP OFF. HAVE SHAVED 2-4 DEGREES OFF THE PREVIOUS MIN TEMP FCST OVER NC/C WI...BUT THIS MAY NOT BE ENOUGH. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR MID TO UPPER TEENS IN THE TYPICAL COLD SPOTS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPS NEAR NORMAL IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. MODELS DEPICT A SLOW MOVG UPPER TROF OR UPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND. HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE IDEA OF BRINGING SOME POPS INTO OUR SW COUNTIES LATER FRIDAY NIGHT...AS THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE IS SLOW TO SATURATE. HAVE INCREASED POPS ON SATURDAY... EXCEPT OVER FAR NE WI...WHERE ITS DEBATABLE WHETHER MEASURABLE PCPN WILL OCCUR. LOW-LEVEL TEMPS AND THICKNESSES SUPPORT A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW THAN RAIN...SO HAVE PUSHED THE FCST IN THAT DIRECTION. THE 12Z ECMWF JUST CAME IN FARTHER SW WITH THE PCPN ON SATURDAY...SO THIS PART OF THE FCST IS STILL A LOW CONFIDENCE BET. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT OUT OF THE RGN ON SAT NGT AND SUNDAY... SO WILL TAKE A SHOT AT A DRY FCST ON SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE BLO NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PCPN IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH CANADA...AND ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASES OVER WI. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MUCH MORE ROBUST THAN THE OTHER MODELS WITH PCPN DEVELOPMENT...SO THE SLGT CHC/CHC POPS FROM OUR PREFERRED MODEL BLEND MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD WITH SUBSEQUENT FCSTS. && .AVIATION...MAINLY VFR WEATHER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOME CLOUDS WILL BE ARRIVING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT BUT BASES SHOULD BE GENERALLY IN THE 4000 TO 8000 FOOT RANGE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A BRIEF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWER THURSDAY MORNING NORTH OF RHI BUT OTHERWISE DRY. EXCELLENT VISIBILITY EXPECTED WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS. RDM && .MARINE...GUSTY WINDS OR HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ACROSS THE ENTIRE MARINE FCST AREA INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE WATERS ADJACENT TO DOOR COUNTY. && .GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 238 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2012 WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-011945- VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE- MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE- WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET- MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO- 238 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS DOOR COUNTY COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS DOOR COUNTY COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. LMZ521-522-541>543-011945- THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN- 238 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO DUE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OR HIGH WAVES. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE BLUSTERY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. RE/TSK
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Rainfall on the 11th of the month caused severe drought (D2) conditions to improve to moderate drought (D1) across the northwest part of the county and abnormally dry (D0) across the rest of Marathon County by the November 13th Drought Monitor.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Wisconsin in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Wisconsin, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 413851.