Monthly precipitation amounts remained around a half to three-quarters of an inch below normal in March, making for a very dry start to 2012 across Eastern Utah. As a result, abnormally dry conditions with pockets of moderate drought conditions remained in place through the month of March.
Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GJT wrote it up.
Monthly precipitation amounts remained around a half to three-quarters of an inch below normal in March, making for a very dry start to 2012 across Eastern Utah. As a result, abnormally dry conditions with pockets of moderate drought conditions remained in place through the month of March.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 8:37 PM MST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
837 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012
.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 732 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TONIGHTS SYSTEM IS APPROACHING AS
EXPECTED. OROGRAPHIC CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ARE PRODUCING THE EXPECTED
AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CO AND UT
MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN CLOUD BAND OVER NW UT IS EXACTLY WHERE THE RUC
ANALYSIS AND EARLY PROJECTIONS SAY IT SHOULD BE. THIS CLOUD BAND
AND THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH NE UT BY 05Z...AND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH NW CO AND APPROACH THE GJT VCNTY ABOUT 09Z. ALL
THE WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS SEEM WELL ON TRACK.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 732 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NW COAST IS IN THE PROCESS OF DEEPENING
THIS AFTERNOON...MEANWHILE WARM ADVECTION AND MOISTURE ARE INCREASING OVER
OUR CWA PER SATELLITE AND MDL GUIDANCE. BY EARLY THIS EVENING THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STRETCHED FROM
NRN NV NORTHEASTWARD TO EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL WY. VERY LIGHT PRECIP
IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO FALL AT THE HIGHER MTN SITES ACROSS THE
NORTH. THIS ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
TONIGHT AS A COMBINATION OF JET LEVEL DYNAMICS AND OROGRAPHICS
PRODUCE LIFT. EMBEDDED WEAK VORT CENTERS WILL ALSO ENHANCE
SNOWFALL AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. AT THIS TIME IT STILL APPEARS
THE NRN MTN LOCATIONS WILL BE FAVORED FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOW
...MAINLY BECAUSE THE DURATION WILL LAST THE LONGEST THERE. THE
BEST OVERALL FORCING WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AS JET
SUPPORT...FRONTAL BAND AND MORE ORGANIZED SHRT WAVE COMBINE WITH
THE BEST MOISTURE. PRECIP WILL BE SPREADING SOUTHWARD DURING THE
DAY TO ENCOMPASS THE SRN MTNS. DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE THE SRN MTNS
TO A SNOW ADVISORY WHERE 8-15 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL...ALSO
WORDED THE UPPER UNCOMPAHGRE VALLEY FOR LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A NEARLY SATURATED LOWER LAYER
COMBINED WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS FRIDAY. ALSO ADDED THE GUNNISON
BASIN TO AN ADVISORY WHERE THE CERRO SUMMIT AREA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED WITH 4-7 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE EAST NEAR
GUNNISON. OTHERWISE REMAINING HIGHLIGHTS IN GOOD SHAPE. THURSDAYS FRONT
A BIT WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS MDLS HAD SUGGESTED...BECAUSE A
SECONDARY AND STRONGER SHORT WAVE UPSTREAM OVER THE GRT BASIN
ACTUALLY BACKS THE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
PRODUCING WAA. BUT THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON INTENSITY OF
PCPN. KUDOS TO LAST NIGHTS MID SHIFT AS I INHERITED A VERY GOOD
SET OF GRIDS.
.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 732 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012
ONE STRONG SYSTEM WORKS THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY
WITH ANOTHER WEAKER SYSTEM TIMED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY. IN
BETWEEN THE WEEKEND STARTS OUT COLD BUT WARMS NICELY INTO SUNDAY.
THURSDAY NIGHT...THE JET CARVES THROUGH NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WITH
AN ASSOCIATED STRONG VORT MAX RAKING THE SOUTHERN ZONES. A SURFACE
COLD FRONT WORKS NW-SE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SHIFTING THE MTN
TOP WINDS FROM WEST TO NORTH IN COLD ADVECTION.
FRIDAY...DYNAMICAL SUPPORT ENDS BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS AND
COLD NORTH FLOW LOWERS 700MB TEMPS FROM -12 TO -16C THROUGH THE
DAY. THIS WILL EFFICIENTLY PRODUCE LOW DENSITY SNOW OVER THE NORTH
SLOPES THROUGH THE DAY. THE HIGHWAY 550 GORGE IS ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO BIG SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THIS REGIME. AN ADVISORY IS
VALID FOR THE SOUTHERN MTNS THOUGH THE PORTION OF HIGHWAY 550 FROM
OURAY TO RED MTN PASS COULD SEE WELL MORE THAN A FOOT OF SNOW FALL
ON FRIDAY.
FRIDAY NIGHT...WARM ADVECTION ALOFT BEGINS BUT SURFACE INVERSIONS
WILL BE STRONG AND EXPECT MUCH BELOW NORMAL LOW TEMPERATURES. A
WEAK FINAL VORT MAX PASSES OVER THE NORTH THAT MAY KEEP LIGHT
SNOWFALL GOING IN THE ELKHEADS-PARK-GORE-FLATTOPS-ELKS THROUGH THE
NIGHT.
SATURDAY-SUNDAY...DRY WARM ADVECTION IN NW FLOW DOMINATES THESE
PERIODS AS A RIDGE PROGRESSES INTO UTAH. MONDAY THE RIDGE FLATTENS
AND MTNS WEST WINDS INCREASE AS THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH WORKS ONTO
THE OREGON COAST.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON TIMING WITH
TROUGH PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY. THE FAVORED EC IS SLOWER AND MORE
SPLIT. THIS SYSTEM IS LESS ORGANIZED WITH A MILDER COLD CORE THAN
THE CURRENT SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 832 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012
A BAND OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL MOVE FROM NE AND CENTRAL UT
THROUGH NW AND CENTRAL CO BY 05Z. LOCAL MVFG CIGS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS THIS BAND MOVES THROUGH. ELSEWHERE
OROGRAPHIC SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING LOCAL MVFR CIGS
AND VSBYS AT MT TOP LEVEL THROUGH ABOUT 05Z IN THE CO AND UT
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MTS. CONDITIONS AT ALL TAFS SHOULD REMAIN VFR
THROUGH 06Z. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN DETERIORATING ABOUT 05Z OVER
THE CO AND UT CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...THEN SPREAD TO THE
LOWER VALLEYS AFTER 06Z. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AND THE KCAG...KHDN...KASE AND KEGE TERMINALS ARE
LIKELY TO SEE WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH PERIODS OF IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING IN SNOW AND FOG. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE OTHER LOWER VALLEY TERMINALS...BUT CONFIDENCE
STILL REMAINS TOO LOW TO PLACE THEM BELOW VFR CATEGORIES ATTM.
WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL AND MVFR/LOCAL IFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST FRIDAY FOR COZ002-003-005-
008.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM MST FRIDAY
FOR COZ017>019.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MST FRIDAY FOR COZ004-009-010-
012-013.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 9 AM MST FRIDAY
FOR COZ014.
UT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST FRIDAY FOR UTZ023-025.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM MST FRIDAY
FOR UTZ028.
&&
UPDATE...CC
SHORT TERM...MC
LONG TERM....JOE
AVIATION...CCHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 559 AM MST WED FEB 29 2012 COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011300- LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN- ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR- CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS- UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER- FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN- SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT- LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES- 559 AM MST WED FEB 29 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT AS ANOTHER STRONG PACIFIC STORM MOVES INTO THE REGION. PERIODS OF SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL OCCUR OVER THE MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. NUMEROUS WINTER STORM WARNINGS...ADVISORIES AND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR MORE DETAILS ON THIS LATEST WINTER STORM...GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GJT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS...WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE VALLEYS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE SNOW ENDS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS THEN SETTLING OVER THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Abnormally dry conditions, and a small area of moderate drought along the Arizona border, remained in place through March across much of the Four Corners region in southeast Utah as precipitation amounts were well below normal.
Abnormally dry conditions remained in place through March across the canyon lands of southeast Utah as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
Abnormally dry conditions remained in place through March across the mountains of southeast Utah as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
Abnormally dry conditions remained in place through March across the valleys and adjacent plateaus of east central Utah as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
Abnormally dry conditions remained in place through March across the high plateaus of east central Utah as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
Abnormally dry conditions remained place across the Eastern Uinta Basin through March as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
Moderate drought conditions remained in place across the eastern Uinta Mountains and adjacent foothills through March as well below normal precipitation amounts were recorded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Utah in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, March 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 372125, 372127, 372129, 372130, 372131, 372132, 372133.