Texas, 2012Drought in Texas, September 11 to 30, 2012
September 11 to 30, 2012 · NWS FWD · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Severe drought conditions (D2) began in the middle of month across Bell County after little rainfall occurred during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- $2,000
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Severe drought conditions (D2) began in the middle of month across Bell County after little rainfall occurred during the month.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 10:29 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 10:29 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1129 PM CDT MON SEP 10 2012
.AVIATION...
QUIET WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS. MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS
OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS MAY BRING SOME MVFR STRATUS INTO THE
PICTURE WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES...LIKELY
SOUTH OF THE METROPLEX. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS FORECAST CYCLE.
30
&&
.UPDATE...
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE. HAVE JUST MADE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS.
58
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT MON SEP 10 2012/
SOUTH WINDS HAVE RETURNED TO NORTH TEXAS...BUT DEW POINTS REMAIN
IN THE 30S AND 40S. THE GULF WILL NOT FULLY OPEN UNTIL
WEDNESDAY...ALLOWING FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY OF UNSEASONABLY
PLEASANT HUMIDITY. WITH RIDGING ALOFT...HIGHS WILL REMAIN NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH MIDWEEK. LOWS WILL GRADUALLY CLIMB TO
NEAR 70 DEGREES BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THE SHORTWAVE IN THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO BE
DRAWN NORTHWARD TOWARD THE POLAR STREAM...AND WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED IN THE PROCESS. HOWEVER...THE DISTURBANCE
WILL REMAIN INTACT...AND ITS PASSAGE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS COULD
COINCIDE WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE IN THE WEEK. AS THE POLAR
TROUGH NOW OVER THE CANADIAN ROCKIES REACHES THE LOWER TERRAIN
EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...IT WILL DIG SOUTHWARD. THIS AMPLIFICATION
WILL RESULT IN NORTHERLY FLOW UPSTREAM OF THE MAIN POLAR TROUGH...
ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO SURGE SOUTHWARD DOWN THE HIGH PLAINS.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLY MODEL DISPARITY IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THESE FEATURES...SOLUTIONS ARE GRADUALLY CONVERGING
ON TIMING OF FROPA...LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN
TROUGH AXIS WILL LIKELY LAG BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE
FRONT...PROLONGING PRECIP CHANCES. POPS REFLECT THIS...BUT
GENERALLY BELIE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIP OCCURRING. POPS ARE GENERALLY
UNDER GUIDANCE DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING. AT THIS TIME...
HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS DURING THE POSTFRONTAL TIME PERIOD THURSDAY
NIGHT. EVENT MAY BE DONE IN TIME FOR FRIDAY EVENING ACTIVITIES.
POSTFRONTAL TEMPS THIS TIME ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FLIRT WITH RECORD
LOWS...BUT SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE MORNING TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 65 92 69 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
WACO, TX 61 92 68 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
PARIS, TX 61 90 63 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
DENTON, TX 60 92 65 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY, TX 57 91 62 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
DALLAS, TX 66 92 70 92 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
TERRELL, TX 60 91 65 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA, TX 62 92 67 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 5
TEMPLE, TX 61 92 67 92 70 / 0 0 0 5 5
MINERAL WELLS, TX 59 92 66 92 69 / 0 0 0 0 5
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
30/58
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 7:06 PM CST, 4 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
806 PM CDT MON SEP 10 2012
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111115-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
806 PM CDT MON SEP 10 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO ALL NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST EARLY SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Drought, Bell
- When
- September 11, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Bell forecast zone
- Crop damage
- $2,000
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.038, -97.478 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions (D2) began in the middle of month after little rainfall occurred during the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in Nevada, September 11, 20121 death · $20 million · 5 events
- Flash Flooding in Utah, September 11, 2012$7.5 million · 6 events
- Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain in California, September 11, 2012$2.1 million · 5 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in California, September 11 to 12, 20122 injured · $25,000 · 1 in hail · 5 events
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in Arizona, September 11, 2012$27,000 · 2 events
- Drought in Minnesota, September 11 to 30, 20123 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, September 11, 20123 events
- Drought in Texas, September 11 to 30, 20121 event
- Drought in Minnesota, September 11 to 30, 20121 event
- Heavy Rain in Arizona, September 11, 20121 event
- Funnel Cloud in Puerto Rico, September 11, 20121 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 413047.