Thunderstorms developed over southeastern Oklahoma during the morning hours of the 29th as an upper level low pressure system moved across northern Texas. Some of these storms produced locally heavy rainfall with just under 5 inches of rain falling near Stigler in Haskell County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TSA wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed over southeastern Oklahoma during the morning hours of the 29th as an upper level low pressure system moved across northern Texas. Some of these storms produced locally heavy rainfall with just under 5 inches of rain falling near Stigler in Haskell County. This excessive rainfall resulted in some flash flooding in and around Stigler.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 29, 5:07 AM CST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 607 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 .AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM. BAND OF ONGOING CONVECTION NEAR THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY IMPACT KFSM AND POSSIBLY MLC THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ALSO ONGOING IFR CEILINGS ACROSS FAR NW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY LIFTING INTO VFR RANGE BY TOWARD NOON. THE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION MAY WANE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OVER SE OK. KMLC/KFSM WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR FLIGHT IMPACTS...WITH DRY WEATHER FURTHER NORTH. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012/ DISCUSSION... UPPER TROUGH AXIS CURRENTLY EXTENDING ACROSS WRN OK INTO TX WILL DEEPEN AND CLOSE OFF AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND. MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE CUT OFF OCCURRING ACROSS WRN AR...JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIP CHANCES WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS THE BEST FORCING WILL BE TO THE EAST. AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION LESS ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY...HOWEVER WITHIN THE LIMITED FLOW...TROPICAL LIKE ENVIRONMENT EVEN ISOLATED ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY. ONCE THIS SYSTEM CLEARS OUT SUNDAY...SEVERAL NICE EARLY FALL DAYS ARE ANTICIPATED. BY MID WEEK...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST. NEXT BOUNDARY EXPECTED IN THE LATE THURSDAY TIME FRAME...WITH THE LATEST ECMWF NOW A LITTLE SLOWER. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE TIME PERIOD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HOWEVER WILL KEEP LOW POST FRONTAL POPS ACROSS NE OK AN NW AR FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA. CONSIDERABLY COOLER WEATHER IN STORE FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 79 60 81 57 / 20 20 10 10 FSM 77 61 78 56 / 40 30 20 10 MLC 76 63 80 56 / 60 30 20 10 BVO 79 56 80 51 / 20 10 10 10 FYV 77 53 77 50 / 20 10 10 10 BYV 77 54 75 51 / 20 10 10 10 MKO 78 60 80 55 / 30 20 10 10 MIO 78 54 77 53 / 20 10 10 10 F10 76 62 80 56 / 40 20 10 10 HHW 76 63 80 56 / 80 60 30 10 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && AVIATION...07
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 505 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301000- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 505 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TULSA TO FAYETTEVILLE. ONSET...ONGOING. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONSET...ONGOING. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...NORTHWEST OF A PAWNEE TO BARTLESVILLE LINE. ONSET...AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH WINDS ALOFT FAVORING SLOW MOVING CELLS. THIS SLOW MOVEMENT ALONG WITH A MOIST AIR MASS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAINS WILL BE NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 THIS MORNING...AND FOCUS FURTHER SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A STORM SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS. BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO AREAS NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER WHICH WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS. WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM OVER TEXAS MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH INCREASING WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE THURSDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES...WITH NOTICEABLY COLDER TEMPERATURES LIKELY BY LATE WEEK. WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:01 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A few roads in town were briefly closed due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, September 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 413850.