Montana, 2012

Damaging Wind in Montana, July 20, 2012

July 20, 2012 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Severe thunderstorm developed over Beaverhead County producing strong outflow winds.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Severe thunderstorm developed over Beaverhead County producing strong outflow winds.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 20, 10:40 AM MST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 10:40 AM MST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1140 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

.UPDATE...ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES TO BE EXPECTED TODAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL WAVE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SWINGS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH AN UNSEASONABLY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MY NORTHWEST ZONES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. GOING FORECAST FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
TO BE ON TRACK. HAVE MADE UPDATES FOR THE MORNING PERIOD INCREASE
SKY COVER AND THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS MY EASTERN ZONES.
HAVE ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE CLOUD
COVER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.
FINALLY...HAVE LOWERED SKY COVERAGE TO PARTLY CLOUDY FOR MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS A GOOD PUNCH OF DRY AIR PUSHING INTO THIS AREA. WILL NOT
REDUCE POPS IN THE SOUTH SINCE THE PARTIAL CLEARING WILL ALLOW THE
AIRMASS TO DESTABILIZE WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
IN THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON THEN MOVING INTO CENTRAL MONTANA
DURING THE EVENING. WILL ALSO UPDATE THE HWO PRODUCT IN ORDER TO
EMPHASIZE THAT MANY OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN
IN SHORT AND INTENSE BURSTS THAT COULD POSSIBLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING. MPJ

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1740Z.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD MID-LEVEL CEILINGS
OVER CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MT. UPPER LEVEL TROF CURRENTLY IN NORTHERN
OREGON WILL MOVE TO NORTHWEST MT BY THIS EVE. INCREASING INSTABILITY
AND VEERING WINDS FROM THE APPROACHING TROF WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED STRONG-TO-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTN/EVE...
ESPECIALLY ALONG LINE FROM KCTB TO KHVR. STORM ACTIVITY WILL ALSO
EXTEND SOUTH TO KGTF/KHLN/KLWT BUT HAVE LESSER CHANCE OF SEVERE
CONDITIONS THERE. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG SHIFTING OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORM CELLS. SKY
COVER WILL DIMINISH OVER AERODROMES AFTER 06Z. BRITTON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 550 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012/
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A RATHER ACTIVE WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED
OVER NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA TODAY...WHILE QUIETER AND WARM/HOT
TEMPERATURES RESIDE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
THIS MORNING...UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE ROCKIES. THE AIRMASS IS A BIT DRIER THEN IT HAS BEEN FOR AREAS
SOUTH OF GREAT FALLS...WITH DEW POINTS CURRENTLY IN THE 30S AND
40S...WHILE DEW POINTS ARE AROUND 60 UP NEAR THE US/CANADIAN
BORDER. THUS AS THE SHOWER ACTIVITY MOVES NORTHWARD THIS MORNING
FROM IDAHO AND THROUGH SOUTHWEST MONTANA...EXPECT THE PRECIP TO
BECOME HEAVIER...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF GREAT FALLS. THE AIRMASS
BECOMES QUITE UNSTABLE BETWEEN CUT BANK AND HAVRE AROUND 3 PM
TODAY...AND THIS AREA IS THE BEST LOCATION TO SEE SEVERE
WEATHER...THUS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN
ISSUED BY SPC FOR THIS REGION. DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL/HEAVY
RAIN/FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED FROM ANY SEVERE STORM
TODAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S/MID
90S. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT THE STORMS TO GRADUALLY END FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH. ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...EXPECT THE AIRMASS TO CONTINUE
TO GRADUALLY DRY OUT...WHILE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOUT 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS OVER THE
WEEKEND...BUT MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED
TO THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA. BRUSDA

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...LONG-RANGE FORECAST MODELS MAINTAINING
GOOD CONSISTENCY AND AGREEMENT ON EXPECTED CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD.  PERIOD BEGINS WITH BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DRIFTING INTO ERN
MT ON SUN EVE...ALLOWING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO GENERATE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUN NIGHT MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST MT.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR REGION STRENGTHENS ON MONDAY IN
RESPONSE TO A VIGOROUS PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAKING ITS WAY
ALONG THE US/CAN BORDER.  A SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD CROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE MONDAY EVE WHERE IT WILL TAP
INTO THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH MODELS SHOWING WIDER COVERAGE OF STORMS
PARTICULARLY OVER THE CENTRAL MT COUNTIES.  MODELS HAVE ALSO
SLIGHTLY INCREASED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...THOUGH SURFACE DEW
POINTS ARE SOMEWHAT DRY...SO A MIX OF DRY/WET STORMS SEEMS LIKELY.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL DOWNSTREAM BY TUES MORNING AS THE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER LIFTS INTO SRN ALBERTA.  WESTERLY FLOW AND A RETURN
TO DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG WITH SOME BREEZY TO
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ON TUES...LIKELY INCREASING WILDLAND FIRE DANGER
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MT.  THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
GRADUALLY REBUILDS OVER THE NRN ROCKIES THRU MIDWEEK AND THE NEXT
PUSH OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE BEGINS TO ARRIVE THURS WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURS AND FRI EVENING.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
REMAIN ABOUT 5-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON MON BUT THE COLD FRONT
PASSAGE WILL DROP BACK HIGHS INTO THE LOW-MID 80S FOR TUES/WED.
TEMPS THEN REBOUND UPWARD A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY FOR THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK...REACHING THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S BY FRIDAY.
WARANAUSKAS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  92  59  91  58 /  30  30  10  10
CTB  82  54  87  51 /  50  40  10  10
HLN  93  58  92  58 /  30  30  10  10
BZN  93  51  93  50 /  20  10  10  10
WEY  82  41  82  41 /  30  20  20  10
DLN  90  52  89  52 /  30  10  10  10
HVR  89  60  92  56 /  30  30  10  10
LWT  88  56  88  55 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 9:40 AM MST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1040 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

MTZ009>013-044>051-211200-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-
CHOUTEAU-TOOLE-LIBERTY-EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
1040 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA
AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA TODAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. VERY
HEAVY RAIN IN SHORT AND INTENSE BURSTS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO OCCUR WILL BE
FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM TODAY. BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
SPOTTER REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD GREATLY BE APPRECIATED.

MTZ008-014-015-052>055-211200-
BEAVERHEAD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-JEFFERSON-
BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
1040 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 165 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Beaverhead

When
July 20, 1:45 PM MST to 2:10 PM MST
Where
Beaverhead County, 5 mi E of Wisdom
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.620, -113.347

Outflow winds produced a wind gust of 52KT (60MPH) as reported 5 miles E of Wisdom.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, July 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 398257.