A line of strong to severe storms moved through southeast Kansas causing an isolated report of wind damage.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A line of strong to severe storms moved through southeast Kansas causing an isolated report of wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 13, 5:46 PM CST, 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 646 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012 ...UPDATE TO AVIATION... ...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION... .UPDATE... WE WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHING THE LINE SEGMENT COMING IN FROM NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING. WIND FIELDS IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUPPORT POTENTIAL SPIN-UPS WITH LINE SEGMENTS THAT BOW OUT AND SURGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. WE HAVE ALREADY NOTED SEVERAL CIRCULATIONS ON THE KINX RADAR WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THESE CIRCULATIONS HAVE BEEN A BIT STRONGER OF LATE DUE TO THE INDIVIDUAL SURGES WITHIN THE LINE. THIS GENERAL SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PLAY OUT AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR. WE WILL BE WATCHING FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT BACK TO THE WEST AS UPPER LEVEL ENERGY BEGINS TO OVERTAKE A COLD FRONT. THERE IS ALSO STILL A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AS INSTABILITY INCREASES LATER TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COOLING MID LEVELS. SCHAUMANN && .DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 335 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... CURRENTLY...BROAD WARM SECTOR HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY. AN AXIS OF WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM NORTHEAST MISSOURI SOUTHWESTWARD...CLIPPING THE NORTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND HEADING INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MILD/WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO THE MIDDLE 70S. SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE BEEN BREEZY AT TIMES...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH AT JOPLIN THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY...VERY COMPLEX FORECAST AND SOME QUESTIONS STILL REMAIN REGARDING THE SCOPE AND SEVERITY OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE AREA. HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE 12Z NAM/ECMWF FOR THE SPECIFICS AS THE GFS IS MUCH TOO QUICK WITH MOVING THIS SYSTEM THROUGH THE REGION. IN FACT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH OF INTEREST IS JUST NOW MOVING INTO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WITH A DRY LINE/COLD FRONT STRUCTURE OVER WESTERN KANSAS AND THE PANHANDLES OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THERE IS STILL SOME REAL ESTATE FOR THIS STORM SYSTEM TO TRAVEL. LARGE SCALE LIFT ANCHORED BY A COUPLED UPPER LEVEL JET STRUCTURE HAS RESULTED IN A RATHER WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST SO FAR TODAY. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO WATCH HOW THIS ACTIVITY BEHAVES...IF IT CAN PERSIST WELL INTO THE EVENING IT MAY HAVE AN AFFECT ON EXPECTED INSTABILITY VALUES. OVER THE PAST HOUR OR TWO... THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE/COLD FRONT ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSING EAST. WILL NEED TO MAINTAIN A CLOSE EYE ON THE ACTIVITY ALONG THE DRY LINE/COLD FRONT AS IT WILL LIKELY BE THE ORIGINS OF A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EXPECTED SHEAR AND DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE REALLY NO DIFFERENT FROM THE PAST FEW FORECASTS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTS ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET RAMPS UP. HOWEVER INSTABILITY REMAINS THE BIGGEST QUESTION. THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR MIXED LAYER CAPE AROUND/JUST ABOVE 1000 J/KG WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...WITH VALUES DECREASING WITH TIME AND TO THE EAST (ROUGHLY 500 - 750 J/KG). WITH THE UPPER TROUGH TENDING TO OVERTAKE THE SLOW MOVING SURFACE FRONT...SHEAR MAY MAINTAIN A GOOD ENOUGH ANGLE TO THE SURFACE FRONT TO SUPPORT A MIXED MODE OF THUNDERSTORM TYPES. AS THUNDERSTORMS OVER KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BECOME MORE ORGANIZED...CONGEAL AND DEVELOP A COLD POOL...THERE WILL BE A TRANSITION TO A LINEAR MODE...HOWEVER WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH IN THE LARGER LINE SEGMENTS. WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON HOW MESOSCALE TRENDS CHANGE AS WELL AS HOW THE CONVECTION TO OUR WEST EVOLVES WITH TIME. THE END RESULT...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED IMPACTS. STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY IMPACT. A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...WITH THE BETTER OPPORTUNITY FOR AREAS NEAR THE MO/KS STATE LINE. AT THIS TIME...TIMING FOR EXTREME SE KS AND W MO IS 7 PM TO 11 PM...FOR THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR 11 PM TO 4 AM...AND THE EASTERN OZARKS AFTER 4 AM. WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS (WIND BEING THE MAIN RISK). SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY...GRADUAL CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM EXITS STAGE EAST. MAIN CHANGE BEHIND THIS FRONT IS USHER IN A DRIER AIRMASS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...RIDGING WILL TAKE HOLD EARLY IN THE WEEK AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT/ABOVE AVERAGE. GAGAN LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)... 12Z SUITE OF MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE EXTENDED...WITH INCREASING SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS NOTED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. UPPER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO NORTHWEST FLOW DURING THE MIDWEEK TIME FRAME WITH A DISTURBANCE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN PRETTY GOOD AND WILL MAINTAIN HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. PATTERN THEN TRANSITIONS TO A POSITIVE PNA STRUCTURE WITH RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN STATES AND TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN STATES. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT AMONG MODEL OUTPUT REGARDING THE EXACT POSITION OF THIS TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. THE 00Z ECMWF INDICATES A CLOSED LOW LINGERING JUST EAST OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY...WHILE THE GFS/GEM/UKMET KEEP MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE AND HAVE THE TROUGH SLOWLY BUT PROGRESSIVELY SHIFT TO THE EAST. THE END RESULT IS WE WILL EXPERIENCE A COOLING TREND...JUST HOW LONG COOLER TEMPS LINGER DEPENDS ON HOW QUICKLY THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST. FOR NOW...WILL TAKE A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD APPROACH AND KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. GAGAN && .AVIATION... A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. MVFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS...ALONG WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO PERSIST. BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT BEFORE A PASSING COLD FRONT SWITCHES WINDS TO THE WEST DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED ONCE WE GET INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SCHAUMANN && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 138 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141845- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 138 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED TORNADO RISK. LIMITED HAIL RISK. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. LIMITED FLOODING RISK. SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK. LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK. DISCUSSION... SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK WITH THESE STORMS. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. IN ADDITION THERE IS A LIMITED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEXT WEDNESDAY...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AREA WIDE TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) GAGAN
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 116 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:05 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A roof was blown off a darn near Highway 166 and Highway 69.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, October 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 408394.