High Surf, Niihau
- When
- November 29, 10:00 PM HST to November 30, 10:00 PM HST
- Where
- Niihau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A swell from a low north of the Aloha State generated surf of 12 to 16 feet along the north-facing shores of all the main islands except Lanai. No serious property damage or injuries were reported.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.
A swell from a low north of the Aloha State generated surf of 12 to 16 feet along the north-facing shores of all the main islands except Lanai. No serious property damage or injuries were reported.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 29, 8:30 PM HST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 830 PM HST THU NOV 29 2012 .SYNOPSIS... LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND SHOWERS TO LEEWARD AND INTERIOR AREAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONT APPROACHING THE ISLANDS FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL BRING MORE SHOWERS TO THE WESTERN ISLANDS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .DISCUSSION... THE SHORT TERM FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK. WE HAVE SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. NOT EXPECTING ANY GRID UPDATES TONIGHT FOR THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE...WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS MAINLY OVER LEEWARD AND INTERIOR LOCATIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE BIGGER QUESTION COMES WITH THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR 30N 175W TONIGHT. AN EXISTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR 40N 180 TODAY IS FORECAST TO THEN MERGE WITH THIS DEVELOPING LOW SATURDAY NIGHT NEAR 36N 170W. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH AND NEAR PLACEMENT OF THIS EVENT. THE LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...STALLING THE SURFACE LOW NEAR 30N 165W BY TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS SIMILAR AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE ECMWF IN THE UPPER LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. AT THAT TIME...THE ECMWF DEVELOPS A DEEPER TROUGH AND IS SLOWER TO MOVE THE TROUGH TO THE EAST. MEANWHILE...THE GFS DEPICTION IS NOT AS PRONOUNCED. THAT BEING SAID...BOTH INDICATE SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR KAUAI AND POSSIBLY OAHU FOR THE START OF THE WEEK. THE SURFACE SYSTEM HAS A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH IT THAT LOOKS TO REACH KAUAI AND POSSIBLE THE KAUAI CHANNEL ON MONDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS STICK AROUND FOR ANOTHER 24-48 HOURS. SO THE INCREASE IN POPS FOR KAUAI LOOK GOOD. WITH THE MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN AGREEMENT WITH INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL BE TWEAKING THE GRIDS FOR THAT TIME TO INCLUDE THE MENTION OF SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. WILL ALSO BE EXAMINING THE CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM. && .MARINE... A NORTH SWELL ARRIVING TONIGHT WILL BE PEAKING FRIDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR NORTH FACING SHORES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LONG PERIOD NORTH SWELL WILL ALSO IMPACT THE HARBORS EXPOSED TO THE NORTH...PRIMARILY KAHULUI AND HILO HARBORS...BRINGING MODERATE TO STRONG SURGES...AND THE THREAT OF WAVES BREAKING NEAR THE HARBOR ENTRANCES. && .AVIATION... THE STABLE ATMOSPHERE AND LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PRODUCE VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS FOR THE TERMINALS. LAND BREEZES SHOULD CLEAR OUT MUCH OF THE LOW CLOUDS OVER THE ISLANDS TONIGHT. FRIDAY...SEA BREEZES WILL RESULT IN THE LOW CLOUDS RETURNING WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS OVER ISLAND INTERIOR AND LEEWARD SECTIONS. A JET STREAM ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THE BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH FRIDAY. && .HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM HST SATURDAY FOR NIIHAU-KAUAI WINDWARD-KAUAI LEEWARD-OAHU NORTH SHORE-OAHU KOOLAU-OLOMANA-MOLOKAI-MAUI WINDWARD WEST-MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY- WINDWARD HALEAKALA-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST. &&
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
12 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Hawaii in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 416159, 416160, 416161, 416162, 416163, 416164, 416165, 416166, 416167, 416168, 416169, 416170.