A northwest flow pattern was in place with a deep trough across the eastern United States. A weak shortwave moved into the Southeast with only light scattered showers developing in the afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FFC wrote it up.
A northwest flow pattern was in place with a deep trough across the eastern United States. A weak shortwave moved into the Southeast with only light scattered showers developing in the afternoon. Otherwise, dry conditions prevailed across the area, though relative humidity values were not quite dry enough for fire danger conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 7:00 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 800 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... SHORT TERM BEGINS WITH NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BUT TRANSITIONS TO TROUGHINESS SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...SO SUNDAY MAX TEMPS SHOULD STILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE...VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY IN SOUTHERN ZONES BUT SLIGHTLY COOLER NORTH AS THE FRONT MOVES IN. MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AND WITH THE GENERAL TIMING OF THE FRONT BUT OVERALL THE MAV IS A LITTLE WARMER THAN THE MET...IN GENERAL LEANED A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE MAV BASED ON RECENT BIASES. FRONT LOOKS PRETTY ANEMIC AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA AND BOTH THE HRRR AND LOCAL WRF SEEM TO DISSIPATE ANY PRECIP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE STATE AROUND 06Z. HAVE KEPT VERY SIMILAR TRENDS WITH POP TIMING ON SUNDAY AS PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH POPS INCREASING TO CHANCE ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MLCAPES INCREASE TO ABOUT 700 J/KG ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA SO ALSO KEPT TREND IN THUNDER WORDING...GENERALLY KEEPING IT SOUTH OF THE METRO AREA. TEMPS SWING FROM ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND SUNDAY TO BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TONIGHT...AND HIGHS MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA. TDP .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... STORM SYSTEM WILL BE ONGOING AS LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA TUESDAY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP CURRENT POPS AS IS FOR NOW AS GFS CONTINUES TO HINT AT SOME SQUALL LINE DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTH WHICH COULD RESULT IN REDUCED MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST ARE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOULD NEW 12Z ECMWF COME IN WITH SIMILAR PRECIP COVERAGE AS LAST RUN...WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BUMP UP TO LIKELY OR HIGHER WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST IN THE FRONTS WAKE AND WE EVEN SEE AN INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS LATER IN THE WEEK WITH MODERATING TEMPS IN STORE. DEESE && .AVIATION... 00Z UPDATE... VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD EVERYWHERE BUT MCN WHERE MVFR FOG IS EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS STARTING AROUND 12Z. LIGHT SW WIND TONIGHT...WILL PICK UP ON SUNDAY TO AROUND 10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 18 KTS AND TURN MORE WESTERLY AHEAD OF A FRONT. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA AT MOST SITES THROUGH ABOUT 18Z BUT PROB30 WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR MCN AND CSG THEREAFTER. //ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE... HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS. 16 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 54 73 45 65 / 10 30 20 10 ATLANTA 58 71 45 63 / 10 20 10 10 BLAIRSVILLE 50 63 38 57 / 20 30 5 5 CARTERSVILLE 51 69 40 62 / 10 20 5 10 COLUMBUS 57 79 48 69 / 10 30 20 10 GAINESVILLE 55 69 44 61 / 10 20 10 10 MACON 53 80 46 68 / 10 30 30 10 ROME 51 66 37 61 / 20 20 5 10 PEACHTREE CITY 52 73 41 65 / 10 20 10 10 VIDALIA 55 82 55 69 / 5 40 30 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...TDP LONG TERM....DEESE AVIATION...TDP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 121 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-041730- BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA- CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA- CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL- FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE- GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON- JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON- MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY- MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH- PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON- SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS- TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN- WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES- WILKINSON- 121 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SYNOPSIS... A WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHWEST GEORGIA BY THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The National Forest Service reported that a wildfire of unknown cause burned 1 acre and resulted in $2,000 in damages.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 428212.