Heavy showers developed along the southern slopes of the Appalachians over northeast Georgia during the early morning hours. A small area of flash flooding eventually developed from the heavy rain.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Heavy showers developed along the southern slopes of the Appalachians over northeast Georgia during the early morning hours. A small area of flash flooding eventually developed from the heavy rain.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 4:19 AM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 519 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND WILL REMAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH HUMID CONDITIONS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION BY NEXT FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 515 AM SAT...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AND HEAVIER OVER PARTS OF NE GA AND THE SRN NC MTNS. A COUPLE INCHES OF RAIN HAS PROBABLY FALLEN IN THIS AREA. ACTIVITY IS NOT AS HEAVY OVER THE REST OF THE ESCARPMENT...THOUGH NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE FALLING ALL THE WAY UP THE EAST SLOPES FROM NE GA TO NW NC ATTM. POPS HAVE BEEN RAISED IN THIS AREA FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A WEAKENING OF THE LLVL FLOW AFTER 12 UTC AND SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN AT THAT TIME. ACROSS THE REST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT IT/S DRY THIS MORNING...THOUGH A FEW AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE FINALLY BEEN REPORTED BY LOCAL AWOS AND ASOS SITES. IT/S MUCH TOO LOCALIZED TO ISSUE AN ADVISORY ATTM...BUT WE/LL KEEP AND EYE ON IT. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... THE NAM CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS ARE CLOSE TO ZERO OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH SUNRISE. WITH THE LACK OF MIXING...THE CEILINGS IN SOME PLACES AREA LOWERING ALL THE WAY TO THE GROUND...RESULTING IN PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE FOG. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED A LITTLE LATER THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...LIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN ESCARPMENT OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE PRECIPITATION IS CONFINED TO A FAIRLY NARROW ZONE ACROSS OVER THE MOUNTAINS. CLOSER TO THE TN LINE DOWNSLOPE IS DRYING THINGS OUT...WITH NO SHRA ACTIVITY TO SPEAK OF. OVER THE PIEDMONT THERE IS ALSO VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY. THIS GENERAL RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY STATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SO FAR THE SHOWERS HAVE NOT ANCHORED AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING LOOKS LOW ATTM. THE GFS HAS THE H5 RIDGE PUSHING WESTWARD TODAY...AND IT WILL BE CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS BY THIS EVENING. THERE WILL STILL BE A LIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW AND A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AND SCT SHRA AND TSTMS WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION IN THE AFTN. HOWEVER...I DON/T EXPECT PCPN WILL BE AS WIDESPREAD AT IT WAS ON FRIDAY. THE IS BORNE OUT BY THE SREF AND THE 4KM SPC WRF NMM...BOTH OF WHICH HAVE LIMITED PCPN OVER THE FA THIS AFTN. THE OUTLIER IS THE GFS WHICH TAKES A SEA-BREEZE OUTFLOW BNDRY INTO THE FA THIS EVENING...FIRING OFF QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTION. THIS LOOKS TO BE OVERDONE...THOUGH IT/S CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY. THE BNDRY LAYER FLOW WILL VEER MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD KEEP UPSLOPE SHRA FROM DEVELOPING. HOWEVER...AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN. THE NAM BUFKIT WHICH DOES QUITE A GOOD JOB CATCHING ON TO LOW STRATUS DECKS IS STRONGLY INDICATING THAT WE WILL SEE LOW CLOUDS AGAIN. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 2 AM SATURDAY...ON SUNDAY...A WEAK MID LEVEL TROF IS EXPECTED TO RIPPLE WEST...REACHING THE GA COAST BY 0Z MON. OTHERWISE...IT APPEARS THAT HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE MORE THAN 590DAM DURING THE AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...A WEAK LEE TROF MAY FORM ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. FORCING ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL...FAVORING AREAS ACROSS THE MTNS AND WITHIN THE LEE TROF TO SEE THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A SIGNIFICANT INVERSION AROUND 5 KFT...RESULTING IN AFTERNOON CIN VALUES OF 10 TO 20 J/KG EAST OF THE MTNS. CAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE BETWEEN 1000 TO 2000 J/KG. IT APPEARS THAT THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WILL REMAIN CAPPED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...POSSIBLY BREAKING THE CAP DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. HEATING OF THE RIDGES SHOULD RESULT IN TSRA BY EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. I WILL FORECAST 40S POPS ACROSS THE RIDGES WITH 30 TO 20 POPS EAST. COVERAGE SHOULD FADE DURING THE LATE EVENING. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE AROUND CLIMO. ON MONDAY...GFS INDICATES THAT MID LEVEL TROF WILL PIVOT OVER THE MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE NAM AND ECMWF MAINTAIN A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WITH A WEAK LOW OVER SOUTHERN GA/AL. I WILL FAVOR A NAM/ECMWF BLEND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE INVERSION FROM SUNDAY WILL WEAKEN AND CIN SHOULD BREAK DOWN A LITTLE EARLIER. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED NEAR THE SFC...YIELDING ANOTHER DAY OF MTN INITIATION DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEAKER CAPPING SHOULD ALLOW ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TO FORM NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THIS PROCESS SHOULD YIELD CHC POPS EAST WITH 30 TO 40 POPS ACROSS THE MTNS. TEMPS SHOULD WARM OVER SUNDAY VALUES BY A DEGREE OR TWO. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AS OF 230 AM SATURDAY...BROAD RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SFC FEATURES WILL REMAIN VERY SUBTLE. CONVECTION SHOULD FOLLOW A DIURNAL PATTERN BOTH DAYS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT EARLY AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER THE MTNS WITH COVERAGE SPREADING EAST DURING THE MID AFTERNOON. I WILL FORECAST COVERAGE AROUND 30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ON TUESDAY...AND POSSIBLY REACHING INTO THE MID 90S ON WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A LONGWAVE TROF WILL LIKELY DEEPEN ACROSS THE EAST COAST. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD...PUSHING INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH 30 TO 40 POPS AT NIGHT AND INCREASING TO 50 POPS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. && .AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AT KCLT...KCLT IS IN A BIT OF HOLE RIGHT NOW WITH LOW CIGS TO THE WEST OF UNDER THE REMNANTS OF THE WEAK WEDGE RIDGE...AND TO THE EAST WHERE FOG AND VLIFR CIGS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE HIGH DEWPOINT AIR. THE AIRFIELD MAY HOLD OUT ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO...BUT THEN LIFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. HOPEFULLY DENSE FOG WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS EAST OF THE AIRFIELD. THE CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT LATER THIS MORNING. BY AFTN SCT SHRA/TSTMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A GREAT AS YDAY. A PROB30 GROUP FOR TSTMS HAS BEEN ADDED FOR THE 20-24 UTC TIME RANGE. WINDS WILL BE SE TO SSE THROUGH THE DAY. ELSEWHERE...KGMU AND KGSP SHOULD SEE LIFR OR LOWER CIGS THROUGH MID MORNING AS LOW CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED QUICKLY IN THE REMNANTS OF THE WEDGE RIDGE. KAND WARMED AND MIXED MORE YDAY...AND LOW CLOUDS WILL TAKE LONGER TO RETURN...THOUGH THEY SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 8-10 UTC. PERIODIC SHRA WILL LIFT CIGS AT KAVL AT TIMES...BUT THEY SHOULD ALSO REMAIN IN THE LIFR RANGE. KHKY WILL DROP INTO THE IFR RANGE WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS AS WELL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD TURN OUT OF THE SE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE AFTER SUNRISE. SCT SHRA/TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTN...BUT THE STORMS SHOULD NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD AS YDAY. TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...VCTS HAS BEEN CARRIED AT ALL THE TERMINALS. OUTLOOK...BUILDING ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEAN MORE OF A DIURNAL NATURE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TSTMS WILL BE OVER MTNS EACH AFTN/EVE. PATCHY MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE PSBL EACH DAY AS WELL...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...NED NEAR TERM...MCAVOY SHORT TERM...NED LONG TERM...NED AVIATION...MCAVOY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 458 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-150900- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 458 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A FEW AREAS MAY SEE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. IN ADDITION...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
The Greer radar (KGSP), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:29 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Around 4 inches of rain fell across northern Rabun County during the early morning hours, causing Sutton Branch Creek to flood Neville Rd.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, July 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 400390.